Troy at Mississippi State - 2013 Matchup Preview
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Troy Trojans at Mississippi State Bulldogs

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Saturday, September 21st 2013 (7:30 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -13 (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 62 - Troy: 7

 
Trojans (6 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TROY 2nd straight Road Game
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
TROY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TROY: 26 - MSST: 28 (54)
MSST Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
TROY Travel: 201 miles
Bulldogs (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Troy vs UAB-6.0
Sat 9/7 Troy vs Savannah State-45.0
Thu 9/12 Troy at Arkansas State+10.0
Sat 9/21 Troy at Mississippi State+13.0
Sat 9/28 Troy at Duke+10.0
Sat 10/5 Troy vs South Alabama-2.5
Sat 10/12 Troy at Georgia State-16.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Troy at Western Kentucky+7.5
Thu 10/31 Troy vs UL Monroe-3.0
Thu 11/7 Troy at Louisiana+13.0
Sat 11/16 Troy at Ole Miss+28.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/29 Troy vs Texas State-4.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Mississippi State vs Oklahoma State+13.0
Sat 9/7 Mississippi State vs Alcorn State-42.5
Sat 9/14 Mississippi State at Auburn+6.0
Sat 9/21 Mississippi State vs Troy-13.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Mississippi State vs LSU+9.5
Sat 10/12 Mississippi State vs Bowling Green-8.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-11.0
Sat 11/2 Mississippi State at South Carolina+11.5
Sat 11/9 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+19.0
Sat 11/16 Mississippi State vs Alabama+24.5
Sat 11/23 Mississippi State at Arkansas-3.0
Thu 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+3.0
Tue 12/31 Mississippi State vs Rice-7.050.5W 44 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1145%23.544%2.9316745%332-0.08.0940%23.940%37%-0.1767.62.31.7
MSST.0344%30.442%2.8614443%238-0.08.0945%30.242%46%0.1939.81.32.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1223.523.445.4%-0.082.3264991673324.445%54%44%45%2%.11
MSST Defense1330.227.944.8%0.192.5 - - - - - 52%47%42%46%3%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1223.925.940.1%-0.171.7 - - - - - 54%44%40%37%2%.09
MSST Offense1330.433.944%-0.081.3203811442384.447%51%42%43%4%.03

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1230:3125.749%43%7.767.62.31.700128.3
Mississippi State1329:4420.435%62%4.739.81.32.500332.7
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1245%44%38.1167.34.422.042.9356%0%0.77
MSST Defense1352%42% - - - - .073.0271%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1254%40% - - - - .032.8469%0%0.81
MSST Offense1347%42%32.6143.54.418-.042.8659%0%0.65

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1254%45%28.142.4331.57.811.82212.191.228%39%.392%1.6
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 19.14130%31%.23%1.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1244%37% - - - - - - 6.191.533%30%.142%1.4
MSST Offense1351%43%19.232.6237.87.312.42810.09133%35%.24%1.3

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2013 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2013 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 28
Troy 26

Projected Total Points: 54
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201510/10Mississippi State45Troy17Mississippi State -31.5Troy59.0Over
201309/21Mississippi State62Troy7Mississippi State -13Mississippi State0
201209/15Troy24Mississippi State30
200210/12Mississippi State11Troy8
200110/13Mississippi State9Troy21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State411 Overs
Troy110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) TROY at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Mississippi State -13.0 (0)
Mississippi State won vs Troy this year (62-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD