NC State at Virginia - 2011 Matchup Preview
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Virginia Cavaliers(#18)Virginia logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2011 (3:30 PM EDT)
NC State 28 - Virginia: 14  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (16 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA 4th straight Home Game
NCST coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NCST: 23 - UVA: 28 (51)
NCST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 155 miles
Cavaliers (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 NC State vs Liberty-23.5
Sat 9/10 NC State at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 9/17 NC State vs South Alabama-23.5
Thu 9/22 NC State at Cincinnati+2.5
Sat 10/1 NC State vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/8 NC State vs Central Michigan-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 NC State at Virginia+2.5
Sat 10/29 NC State at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/5 NC State vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/12 NC State at Boston College+2.5
Sat 11/19 NC State vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 11/26 NC State vs Maryland-23.5
Tue 12/27 NC State vs Louisville-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Virginia's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Virginia vs William & Mary-23.5
Sat 9/10 Virginia at Indiana+2.5
Sat 9/17 Virginia at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 9/24 Virginia vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 10/1 Virginia vs Idaho-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/22 Virginia vs NC State-23.5
Thu 10/27 Virginia at Miami+2.5
Sat 11/5 Virginia at Maryland+2.5
Sat 11/12 Virginia vs Duke-23.5
Sat 11/19 Virginia at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/26 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 12/31 Virginia vs Auburn+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST-.0137%28.234%2.7710538%258-0.25.0141%24.739%42%-0.3933.82.12.7
UVA.0642%23.240%2.9816242%247-0.24-35%23.835%33%-0.1841.22.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1328.215.837.2%-0.252.118345105258346%53%34%38%2%-.01
UVA Defense1323.82335%-0.181.5 - - - - - 50%49%35%33%3%-
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1324.72841.5%-0.392.7 - - - - - 48%51%39%42%3%.01
UVA Offense1323.22241.7%-0.242.2214001622474.351%48%40%42%2%.06

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1319:1118.443%48%4.633.82.12.700432.7
Virginia1320:2620.941%45%5.241.22.21.500129.1
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1346%34%34.5104.8310-.122.7762%0%0.62
UVA Defense1350%35% - - - - -.082.551%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1348%39% - - - - -.072.6450%0%0.75
UVA Offense1351%40%38.2162.14.318-.012.9872%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1353%38%22.435.82587.211.53212.11.232%29%.172%1.6
UVA Defense1349%33% - - - - - - 12.081.434%29%.193%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 27.081.231%30%.23%1.8
UVA Offense1348%42%19.634.1246.97.312.61716.151.331%36%.292%1.6

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2011 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    Virginia: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State:    Virginia:




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2011 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

NC State's 2011 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 28
NC State 23

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 30
NC State 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Virginia 25
NC State 23

Total Points: 48
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 22
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Virginia's 2011 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06NC State35Virginia31NC State -3.0NC State53.0Over
202309/22Virginia21NC State24NC State -8.5Virginia47.5Under
202010/10Virginia21NC State38Virginia -7NC State59.0Push
201809/29NC State35Virginia21NC State -5.5NC State52.5Over
201211/03NC State6Virginia33
201110/22Virginia14NC State28
200710/27NC State29Virginia24
200610/28Virginia14NC State7
200311/01NC State51Virginia37
200211/16Virginia14NC State9
200110/27NC State24Virginia0
200011/17Virginia24NC State17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia412 Overs
NC State831 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 43 - 12 - 11 - 0
Road Teams4 - 81 - 30 - 11 - 2

(#) NCST at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 8
()
NC State won at Virginia this year (28-14)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Virginia in 2023 (24-21)

  
NCST's OC ()
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UVA's DC ()
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