Virginia at North Carolina - 2011 Matchup Preview
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Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina logo
Saturday, September 17th 2011 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina 28 - Virginia: 17  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'11 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA 2nd straight Road Game
UNC 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UVA: 28 - UNC: 21 (49)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 150 miles
Tar Heels (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'11 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Virginia vs William & Mary-23.5
Sat 9/10 Virginia at Indiana+2.5
Sat 9/17 Virginia at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 9/24 Virginia vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 10/1 Virginia vs Idaho-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/22 Virginia vs NC State-23.5
Thu 10/27 Virginia at Miami+2.5
Sat 11/5 Virginia at Maryland+2.5
Sat 11/12 Virginia vs Duke-23.5
Sat 11/19 Virginia at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/26 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 12/31 Virginia vs Auburn+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
North Carolina's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 North Carolina vs James Madison-23.5
Sat 9/10 North Carolina vs Rutgers-23.5
Sat 9/17 North Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 9/24 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/1 North Carolina at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/8 North Carolina vs Louisville-23.5
Sat 10/15 North Carolina vs Miami-23.5
Sat 10/22 North Carolina at Clemson+2.5
Sat 10/29 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 11/5 North Carolina at NC State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/17 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/26 North Carolina vs Duke-23.5
Mon 12/26 North Carolina vs Missouri-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2010)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0844%30.845%3.0913942%2780.0641%19.642%36%072.11.91.3
UNC.0942%19.340%2.6712642%2840.0139%24.539%38%058.21.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1230.828.644%01.921405139278445%53%45%42%1%.08
UNC Defense1324.52639.5%01.8 - - - - - 47%51%39%38%3%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1219.623.240.6%01.3 - - - - - 57%41%42%36%4%.06
UNC Offense1319.32142.2%01.8193901262843.745%52%40%42%2%.09

Additional Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1218:3921.337%57%8.172.11.91.300228.9
North Carolina1319:2118.939%61%7.658.21.81.800227.6
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1245%45%34.9139.3417-.013.0971%0%0.61
UNC Defense1347%39% - - - - -.052.8778%0%0.66
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1257%42% - - - - .022.8768%0%0.78
UNC Offense1345%40%33.8125.73.718-.042.6761%0%0.66

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1253%42%21.836.9277.87.512.72017.171.333%36%.271%1.3
UNC Defense1351%38% - - - - - - 19.071.233%31%.183%1.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1241%36% - - - - - - 11.121.433%35%.314%1.6
UNC Offense1352%42%21.832.7284.48.713.1199.251.332%29%.232%1.5

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2011 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2011 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2011 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 28
North Carolina 21

Projected Total Points: 49
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2011 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25North Carolina16Virginia17Virginia -12.5North Carolina51.5Under
202410/26Virginia14North Carolina41Virginia -3.5North Carolina58.5Under
202310/21North Carolina27Virginia31North Carolina -24Virginia58.0Push
202211/05Virginia28North Carolina31North Carolina -7Virginia61.5Under
202109/18North Carolina59Virginia39North Carolina -7.5North Carolina67.0Over
202010/31Virginia44North Carolina41North Carolina -7.0Virginia0
201911/02North Carolina31Virginia38Virginia -1Virginia48.0Over
201810/27Virginia31North Carolina21Virginia -7.5Virginia51.0Over
201710/14North Carolina14Virginia20Virginia -3Virginia54.5Under
201610/22Virginia14North Carolina35North Carolina -9North Carolina68.5Under
201510/24North Carolina26Virginia13North Carolina -12North Carolina58.0Under
201410/25Virginia27North Carolina28Virginia -7.5North Carolina0
201311/09North Carolina45Virginia14North Carolina -14North Carolina0
201211/15Virginia13North Carolina37
201109/17North Carolina28Virginia17
201010/16Virginia10North Carolina44
200910/03North Carolina3Virginia16
200810/18Virginia16North Carolina13
200709/15North Carolina20Virginia22
200610/19Virginia23North Carolina0
200510/22North Carolina7Virginia5
200409/11Virginia56North Carolina24
200310/04North Carolina13Virginia38
200210/19Virginia37North Carolina27
200110/13North Carolina30Virginia24
200010/27Virginia17North Carolina6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1273 Overs
Virginia1466 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 137 - 64 - 33 - 3
Road Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 33 - 4

(#) UVA at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVAUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
()
North Carolina won vs Virginia this year (28-17)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat North Carolina last year (17-16)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2024 (41-14)
Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-27)

  
UVA's OC ()
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UVA's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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UNC's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD