Virginia at North Carolina - 2011 Matchup Preview
 
Cavaliers (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (25 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA 2nd straight Road Game
UNC 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UVA: 22 - UNC: 29 (51)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 150 miles
Tar Heels (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (31 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Virginia vs William & Mary-23.5
Sat 9/10 Virginia at Indiana+2.5
Sat 9/17 Virginia at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 9/24 Virginia vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 10/1 Virginia vs Idaho-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/22 Virginia vs NC State-23.5
Thu 10/27 Virginia at Miami+2.5
Sat 11/5 Virginia at Maryland+2.5
Sat 11/12 Virginia vs Duke-23.5
Sat 11/19 Virginia at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/26 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 12/31 Virginia vs Auburn+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
North Carolina's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 North Carolina vs James Madison-23.5
Sat 9/10 North Carolina vs Rutgers-23.5
Sat 9/17 North Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 9/24 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/1 North Carolina at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/8 North Carolina vs Louisville-23.5
Sat 10/15 North Carolina vs Miami-23.5
Sat 10/22 North Carolina at Clemson+2.5
Sat 10/29 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 11/5 North Carolina at NC State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/17 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/26 North Carolina vs Duke-23.5
Mon 12/26 North Carolina vs Missouri-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0642%23.240%2.9816242%247-0.24-35%23.835%33%-0.1841.22.21.5
UNC.0742%2839%2.7613944%270-0.08.0241%24.837%41%047.921.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1323.224.841.7%-0.242.2214001622474.351%48%40%42%2%.06
UNC Defense1324.818.740.6%01.8 - - - - - 46%52%37%41%2%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1323.821.235%-0.181.5 - - - - - 50%49%35%33%3%0
UNC Offense132831.141.9%-0.082193931392704.150%49%39%44%3%.07

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1320:2620.941%45%5.241.22.21.500129.1
North Carolina1317:4119.241%46%5.447.921.800131.2
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1351%40%38.2162.14.318-.012.9872%0%0.75
UNC Defense1346%37% - - - - -.042.6572%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1350%35% - - - - -.082.551%0%0.85
UNC Offense1350%39%34138.84.122-.082.7666%0%0.63

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1348%42%19.634.1246.97.312.61716.151.331%36%.292%1.6
UNC Defense1352%41% - - - - - - 14.091.234%33%.252%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1349%33% - - - - - - 12.081.434%29%.193%1.6
UNC Offense1349%44%19.228.5270.39.514.12614.241.330%31%.33%1.7

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2011 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2011 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Virginia's 2011 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 29
Virginia 22

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 31
Virginia 21

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 26
Virginia 23

Total Points: 49
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

North Carolina's 2011 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25North Carolina16Virginia17Virginia -12.5North Carolina51.5Under
202410/26Virginia14North Carolina41Virginia -3.5North Carolina58.5Under
202310/21North Carolina27Virginia31North Carolina -24Virginia58.0Push
202211/05Virginia28North Carolina31North Carolina -7Virginia61.5Under
202109/18North Carolina59Virginia39North Carolina -7.5North Carolina67.0Over
202010/31Virginia44North Carolina41North Carolina -7.0Virginia0
201911/02North Carolina31Virginia38Virginia -1Virginia48.0Over
201810/27Virginia31North Carolina21Virginia -7.5Virginia51.0Over
201710/14North Carolina14Virginia20Virginia -3Virginia54.5Under
201610/22Virginia14North Carolina35North Carolina -9North Carolina68.5Under
201510/24North Carolina26Virginia13North Carolina -12North Carolina58.0Under
201410/25Virginia27North Carolina28Virginia -7.5North Carolina0
201311/09North Carolina45Virginia14North Carolina -14North Carolina0
201211/15Virginia13North Carolina37
201109/17North Carolina28Virginia17
201010/16Virginia10North Carolina44
200910/03North Carolina3Virginia16
200810/18Virginia16North Carolina13
200709/15North Carolina20Virginia22
200610/19Virginia23North Carolina0
200510/22North Carolina7Virginia5
200409/11Virginia56North Carolina24
200310/04North Carolina13Virginia38
200210/19Virginia37North Carolina27
200110/13North Carolina30Virginia24
200010/27Virginia17North Carolina6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1273 Overs
Virginia1466 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 137 - 64 - 33 - 3
Road Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 33 - 4

(#) UVA at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVAUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 61° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 3
()
North Carolina won vs Virginia this year (28-17)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Virginia last year (41-14)
Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-27)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2022 (31-28)

  
UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD