Louisville at NC State - 2011 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals vs NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Tuesday, December 27th 2011 (8:00 PM EST)
NC State 31 - Louisville: 24  (BELK BOWL)

 
Cardinals (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (26 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wolfpack (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (37 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Louisville vs Murray State-23.5
Fri 9/9 Louisville vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 9/17 Louisville at Kentucky+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Louisville vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 10/8 Louisville at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/15 Louisville at Cincinnati+2.5
Fri 10/21 Louisville vs Rutgers-23.5
Sat 10/29 Louisville vs Syracuse-23.5
Sat 11/5 Louisville at West Virginia+2.5
Sat 11/12 Louisville vs Pittsburgh-23.5
Sat 11/19 Louisville at UConn+2.5
Fri 11/25 Louisville at South Florida+2.5
Tue 12/27 Louisville vs NC State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
NC State's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 NC State vs Liberty-23.5
Sat 9/10 NC State at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 9/17 NC State vs South Alabama-23.5
Thu 9/22 NC State at Cincinnati+2.5
Sat 10/1 NC State vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/8 NC State vs Central Michigan-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 NC State at Virginia+2.5
Sat 10/29 NC State at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/5 NC State vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/12 NC State at Boston College+2.5
Sat 11/19 NC State vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 11/26 NC State vs Maryland-23.5
Tue 12/27 NC State vs Louisville-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.0439%21.937%2.5612240%229-0.18-39%20.139%38%-0.156.51.61.7
NCST-.0137%28.234%2.7710538%258-0.25.0141%24.739%42%-0.3933.82.12.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1321.925.539.4%-0.181.6163331222293.450%49%37%40%2%.04
NCST Defense1324.722.441.5%-0.392.7 - - - - - 48%51%39%42%3%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1320.122.538.9%-0.11.7 - - - - - 47%52%39%38%3%0
NCST Offense1328.236.737.2%-0.252.118345105258346%53%34%38%2%-.01

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1319:5216.539%41%6.956.51.61.700232.3
NC State1319:1118.443%48%4.633.82.12.700432.7
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1350%37%35.8121.53.413-.052.5666%0%0.79
NCST Defense1348%39% - - - - -.072.6450%0%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1347%39% - - - - -.072.5962%0%0.7
NCST Offense1346%34%34.5104.8310-.122.7762%0%0.62

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1349%40%18.729.3229.37.812.31913.141.234%28%.212%1.7
NCST Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 27.081.231%30%.23%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 10.081.133%28%.143%1.5
NCST Offense1353%38%22.435.82587.211.53212.11.232%29%.172%1.6

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2011 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    NC State: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    NC State:




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 0 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2011 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 21.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Louisville's 2011 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 26
Louisville 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 25
Louisville 20

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
NC State 27
Louisville 24

Total Points: 51
NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.4

NC State's 2011 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/29NC State10Louisville13Louisville -3.5NC State56.5Under
202211/19Louisville25NC State10Louisville -4Louisville43.0Under
202110/30NC State28Louisville13NC State -6NC State57.0Under
201911/16NC State20Louisville34Louisville -4.5Louisville52.0Over
201811/17Louisville10NC State52NC State -16NC State65.0Under
201710/05NC State39Louisville25Louisville -3.5NC State67.0Under
201610/22Louisville54NC State13Louisville -20Louisville65.0Over
201510/03NC State13Louisville20NC State -5Louisville47.5Under
201410/18Louisville30NC State18Louisville -14.5NC State0
201112/27NC State31Louisville24
200709/29NC State10Louisville29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State452 Overs
Louisville746 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 55 - 43 - 22 - 2
Road Teams5 - 64 - 52 - 22 - 3

Louisville Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2011Belk Bowl Louisville vs NC State  L 24 - 31
2010S Bowl Louisville vs Southern Miss  W 31 - 28
2006Orange Bowl Louisville vs Wake Forest  W 24 - 13
2005Gator Bowl Louisville vs Virginia Tech  L 24 - 35
NC State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2011Belk Bowl NC State vs Louisville  W 31 - 24
2010Sports Bowl NC State vs West Virginia  W 23 - 7
2008N/A NC State vs Rutgers  L 23 - 29
2005N/A NC State vs South Florida  W 14 - 0
  
(#) LOU at (#) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUNCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCat
LOU OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCatNCST OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCatNCST OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
()
NC State won vs Louisville this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat NC State in 2023 (13-10)
Louisville beat NC State in 2022 (25-10)

  
LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LOU's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD