South Alabama at NC State - 2011 Matchup Preview
 
Jaguars (0 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 34 (19 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USA: 17 - NCST: 26 (43)
USA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
USA Travel: 644 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wolfpack (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (37 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Alabama's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 South Alabama at NC State+2.5
Sat 9/24 South Alabama at Kent State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
NC State's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 NC State vs Liberty-23.5
Sat 9/10 NC State at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 9/17 NC State vs South Alabama-23.5
Thu 9/22 NC State at Cincinnati+2.5
Sat 10/1 NC State vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/8 NC State vs Central Michigan-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 NC State at Virginia+2.5
Sat 10/29 NC State at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/5 NC State vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/12 NC State at Boston College+2.5
Sat 11/19 NC State vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 11/26 NC State vs Maryland-23.5
Tue 12/27 NC State vs Louisville-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA-.0441%1944%2.46037%00.0437%3433%40%0000
NCST-.0137%28.234%2.7710538%258-0.25.0141%24.739%42%-0.3933.82.12.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense2191940.7%000000041%58%44%37%0%-.04
NCST Defense1324.722.441.5%-0.392.7 - - - - - 48%51%39%42%3%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense2343436.7%00 - - - - - 65%33%33%40%0%.04
NCST Offense1328.236.737.2%-0.252.118345105258346%53%34%38%2%-.01

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama20:000NAN%0%000000032.3
NC State1319:1118.443%48%4.633.82.12.700432.7
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense241%44%0000-.012.4667%0%0.62
NCST Defense1348%39% - - - - -.072.6450%0%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense265%33% - - - - -.162.7267%0%0.42
NCST Offense1346%34%34.5104.8310-.122.7762%0%0.62

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense258%37%0000000-.061.135%33%.170%1.8
NCST Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 27.081.231%30%.23%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense233%40% - - - - - - 0.451.835%31%.330%1.8
NCST Offense1353%38%22.435.82587.211.53212.11.232%29%.172%1.6

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2011 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama:    NC State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama:    NC State:




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2011 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

South Alabama's 2011 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 26
South Alabama 17


Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 19
South Alabama 13

Total Points: 32

Based on Entire Season
NC State 33
South Alabama 21

Total Points: 54
NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.4

NC State's 2011 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201509/26South Alabama13NC State63NC State -16.5NC State55.5Over
201209/15NC State31South Alabama7
201109/17NC State35South Alabama13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State311 Overs
South Alabama000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 21 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#) USA at (#) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSANCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
USA OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
USA OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
USA OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCatNCST OffUSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCatNCST OffUSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 59° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 3
()
NC State won vs South Alabama this year (35-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USA's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USA's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NCST's OC ()
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NCST's DC ()
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