Virginia at Florida State - 2011 Matchup Preview
 
Cavaliers (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (25 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU 2nd straight Home Game
FSU is playing their 7th straight game
UVA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UVA: 19 - FSU: 27 (46)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 620 miles
Seminoles (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (31 - 12 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Virginia vs William & Mary-23.5
Sat 9/10 Virginia at Indiana+2.5
Sat 9/17 Virginia at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 9/24 Virginia vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 10/1 Virginia vs Idaho-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/22 Virginia vs NC State-23.5
Thu 10/27 Virginia at Miami+2.5
Sat 11/5 Virginia at Maryland+2.5
Sat 11/12 Virginia vs Duke-23.5
Sat 11/19 Virginia at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/26 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 12/31 Virginia vs Auburn+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Florida State's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Florida State vs UL Monroe-23.5
Sat 9/10 Florida State vs Charleston Southern-23.5
Sat 9/17 Florida State vs Oklahoma-23.5
Sat 9/24 Florida State at Clemson+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Florida State at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 10/15 Florida State at Duke+2.5
Sat 10/22 Florida State vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 10/29 Florida State vs NC State-23.5
Thu 11/3 Florida State at Boston College+2.5
Sat 11/12 Florida State vs Miami-23.5
Sat 11/19 Florida State vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 11/26 Florida State at Florida+2.5
Thu 12/29 Florida State vs Notre Dame+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0642%23.240%2.9816242%247-0.24-35%23.835%33%-0.1841.22.21.5
FSU.0543%30.640%2.5911243%279-0.08-.0334%15.132%34%-0.3867.31.52
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1323.224.841.7%-0.242.2214001622474.351%48%40%42%2%.06
FSU Defense1315.111.733.7%-0.382 - - - - - 48%51%32%34%3%-.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1323.821.235%-0.181.5 - - - - - 50%49%35%33%3%0
FSU Offense1330.631.443.3%-0.081.5193691122793.345%52%40%43%3%.05

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1320:2620.941%45%5.241.22.21.500129.1
Florida State1318:051938%29%7.967.31.5200234.2
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1351%40%38.2162.14.318-.012.9872%0%0.75
FSU Defense1348%32% - - - - -.112.2662%0%0.71
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1350%35% - - - - -.082.551%0%0.85
FSU Offense1345%40%33.6112.23.320-.062.5950%0%0.68

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1348%42%19.634.1246.97.312.61716.151.331%36%.292%1.6
FSU Defense1351%34% - - - - - - 16.071.235%27%.193%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1349%33% - - - - - - 12.081.434%29%.193%1.6
FSU Offense1352%43%1929.5278.69.514.72512.161.132%34%.213%1.2

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2011 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Florida State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Florida State:




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2011 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Virginia's 2011 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 27
Virginia 19

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 26
Virginia 19

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 27
Virginia 19

Total Points: 46
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 30.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.4
Defense: 15.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.7

Florida State's 2011 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/26Virginia46Florida State38Florida State -7Virginia59.5Over
201909/14Virginia31Florida State24Virginia -7Push54.5Over
201411/08Florida State34Virginia20Florida State -21.5Virginia0
201111/19Florida State13Virginia14
201010/02Virginia14Florida State34
200611/04Florida State33Virginia0
200510/15Virginia26Florida State21
200410/16Florida State36Virginia3
200310/18Virginia14Florida State19
200208/31Florida State40Virginia19
200110/20Virginia7Florida State43
200010/20Florida State37Virginia3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State802 Overs
Virginia420 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 41 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams4 - 81 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#) UVA at (#) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVAFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 72° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 12
()
Virginia won at Florida State this year (14-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UVA's OC ()
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FSU's OC ()
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FSU's DC ()
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