North Carolina at NC State - 2011 Matchup Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, November 5th 2011 (12:30 PM EDT)
NC State 13 - North Carolina: 0 (ACC)

Tar Heels (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.1 MPH
UNC is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 29 - NCST: 34 (63)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 20 miles

Wolfpack (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (37 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNC Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Carolina's 2011 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	North Carolina vs James Madison	-23.5
Sat 9/10	North Carolina vs Rutgers	-23.5
Sat 9/17	North Carolina vs Virginia	-23.5
Sat 9/24	North Carolina at Georgia Tech	+2.5
Sat 10/1	North Carolina at East Carolina	+2.5
Sat 10/8	North Carolina vs Louisville	-23.5
Sat 10/15	North Carolina vs Miami	-23.5
Sat 10/22	North Carolina at Clemson	+2.5
Sat 10/29	North Carolina vs Wake Forest	-23.5
Sat 11/5	North Carolina at NC State	+2.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/17	North Carolina at Virginia Tech	+2.5
Sat 11/26	North Carolina vs Duke	-23.5
Mon 12/26	North Carolina vs Missouri	-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

NC State's 2011 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	NC State vs Liberty	-23.5
Sat 9/10	NC State at Wake Forest	+2.5
Sat 9/17	NC State vs South Alabama	-23.5
Thu 9/22	NC State at Cincinnati	+2.5
Sat 10/1	NC State vs Georgia Tech	-23.5
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Central Michigan	-23.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	NC State at Virginia	+2.5
Sat 10/29	NC State at Florida State	+2.5
Sat 11/5	NC State vs North Carolina	-23.5
Sat 11/12	NC State at Boston College	+2.5
Sat 11/19	NC State vs Clemson	-23.5
Sat 11/26	NC State vs Maryland	-23.5
Tue 12/27	NC State vs Louisville	-23.5

Important Stats (2011)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	.07	42%	28	39%	2.76	139	44%	270	-0.08	.02	41%	24.8	37%	41%	0	47.9	2	1.8
NCST	-.01	37%	28.2	34%	2.77	105	38%	258	-0.25	.01	41%	24.7	39%	42%	-0.39	33.8	2.1	2.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	#65 (.2)	42% (80)		47% (34)	3.32 (22)	175	37% (114)	216	4.08 (52)	#70 (.17)	41% (53)		44% (82)	37% (26)	4.01 (90)	59.8	1.2	1.2
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2011

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Offense	13	28	24.4	41.9%	-0.08	2	19	393	139	270	4.1	50%	49%	39%	44%	3%	.07
NCST Defense	13	24.7	22.4	41.5%	-0.39	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	39%	42%	3%	.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Defense	13	24.8	30.2	40.6%	0	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	37%	41%	2%	.02
NCST Offense	13	28.2	36.7	37.2%	-0.25	2.1	18	345	105	258	3	46%	53%	34%	38%	2%	-.01

Additional Stats 2011

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Carolina	13	17:41	19.2	41%	46%	5.4	47.9	2	1.8	0	0	1	31.2
NC State	13	19:11	18.4	43%	48%	4.6	33.8	2.1	2.7	0	0	4	32.7

Run Game Stats (2011)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Offense	13	50%	39%	34	138.8	4.1	22	-.08	2.76	66%	0%	0.63
NCST Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.07	2.64	50%	0%	0.75

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Defense	13	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.65	72%	0%	0.77
NCST Offense	13	46%	34%	34.5	104.8	3	10	-.12	2.77	62%	0%	0.62

Pass Game Stats (2011)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Offense	13	49%	44%	19.2	28.5	270.3	9.5	14.1	26	14	.24	1.3	30%	31%	.3	3%	1.7
NCST Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	27	.08	1.2	31%	30%	.2	3%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.09	1.2	34%	33%	.25	2%	1.6
NCST Offense	13	53%	38%	22.4	35.8	258	7.2	11.5	32	12	.1	1.2	32%	29%	.17	2%	1.6

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2011 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: NC State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: NC State:

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2011 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

North Carolina's 2011 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 34
North Carolina 29

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 38
North Carolina 33

Total Points: 71

Based on Entire Season
NC State 30
North Carolina 25

Total Points: 55

NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.4

NC State's 2011 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	NC State	42	North Carolina	19	NC State -7	NC State	48.5	Over
2024	11/30	North Carolina	30	NC State	35	North Carolina -2.5	NC State	54.5	Over
2023	11/25	NC State	39	North Carolina	20	North Carolina -2	NC State	55.0	Over
2022	11/25	North Carolina	27	NC State	30	North Carolina -6.5	NC State	56.0	Over
2021	11/26	NC State	34	North Carolina	30	NC State -6.5	North Carolina	62.0	Over
2020	10/24	North Carolina	48	NC State	21	North Carolina -15.0	North Carolina	62.0	Over
2019	11/30	NC State	10	North Carolina	41	North Carolina -11	North Carolina	57.0	Under
2018	11/24	North Carolina	28	NC State	34	NC State -7.5	North Carolina	61.5	Over
2017	11/25	NC State	33	North Carolina	21	NC State -14.5	North Carolina	57.0	Under
2016	11/25	North Carolina	21	NC State	28	North Carolina -10	NC State	63.0	Under
2015	11/28	NC State	34	North Carolina	45	North Carolina -6	North Carolina	65.0	Over
2014	11/29	North Carolina	7	NC State	35	North Carolina -6	NC State	0
2013	11/02	NC State	19	North Carolina	27	North Carolina -3	North Carolina	0
2012	10/27	North Carolina	43	NC State	35
2011	11/05	NC State	13	North Carolina	0
2010	11/20	North Carolina	25	NC State	29
2009	11/28	NC State	28	North Carolina	27
2008	11/22	North Carolina	10	NC State	41
2007	11/10	NC State	31	North Carolina	27
2006	11/18	North Carolina	23	NC State	9
2005	09/24	NC State	24	North Carolina	31
2004	10/09	North Carolina	30	NC State	24
2003	09/27	NC State	47	North Carolina	34
2002	10/12	North Carolina	17	NC State	34
2001	09/29	NC State	9	North Carolina	17
2000	10/13	North Carolina	20	NC State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	17	6	8 Overs
North Carolina	9	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 14	4 - 9	2 - 6	2 - 3
Road Teams	14 - 12	9 - 4	3 - 2	6 - 2

(#) UNC at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNC	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	NR	NR
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Carolina Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	UNC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 50° - Wind: 16 mph

Rematch from Week 10
()
NC State won vs North Carolina this year (13-0)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat North Carolina last year (35-30)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2023 (39-20)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2022 (30-27)

UNC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD