Sat, Sep 7 2024
·
Week 2
·
🏟 M. M. Roberts Stadium
Hattiesburg, MS
·
Turf
·
36,000 cap
SE Louisiana✈ 87 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
67.1%
Southern Miss wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
Southern Miss -17.5
O/U 53.5
ESPN Bet
SE Louisiana 2024 Schedule
SE Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/29 | SE Louisiana at Tulane | +28.5L0–52 | 55.5 | L0–52 | U | N |
| Sat 9/7 | SE Louisiana at Southern Miss | +17.5L10–35 | 53.5 | L10–35 | U | N |
Southern Miss 2024 Schedule
Southern Miss's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | Southern Miss at Kentucky | +25.5L0–31 | 50.5 | L0–31 | U | N |
| Sat 9/7 | Southern Miss vs SE Louisiana | -17.5W35–10 | 53.5 | W35–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/14 | Southern Miss vs South Florida | +13.0L24–49 | 58.5 | L24–49 | O | N |
| Sat 9/21 | Southern Miss at Jacksonville State | +6.0L7–44 | 59.5 | L7–44 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Southern Miss vs Louisiana | +17.5L13–23 | 57.5 | L13–23 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/12 | Southern Miss at UL Monroe | +4.5L21–38 | 41.0 | L21–38 | O | N |
| Sat 10/19 | Southern Miss vs Arkansas State | +7.0L28–44 | 57.0 | L28–44 | O | N |
| Sat 10/26 | Southern Miss at James Madison | +24.0L15–32 | 54.0 | L15–32 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Southern Miss vs Marshall | +13.5L3–37 | 53.5 | L3–37 | U | N |
| Sat 11/16 | Southern Miss at Texas State | +27.5L3–58 | 56.5 | L3–58 | O | N |
| Sat 11/23 | Southern Miss vs South Alabama | +24.0L14–35 | 54.0 | L14–35 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/30 | Southern Miss at Troy | +17.5L20–52 | 48.5 | L20–52 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
SE Louisiana Edge
SE Louisiana +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Southern Miss Edge
Southern Miss +18.3
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓