Fri, Aug 30 2024
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Week 1
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🏟 Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
New Orleans, LA
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Turf
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30,000 cap
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Tulane wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Tulane -28.5
O/U 55.5
ESPN Bet
SE Louisiana 2024 Schedule
SE Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/29 | SE Louisiana at Tulane | +28.5L0–52 | 55.5 | L0–52 | U | N |
| Sat 9/7 | SE Louisiana at Southern Miss | +17.5L10–35 | 53.5 | L10–35 | U | N |
Tulane 2024 Schedule
Tulane's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/29 | Tulane vs SE Louisiana | -28.5W52–0 | 55.5 | W52–0 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/7 | Tulane vs Kansas State | +8.5L27–34 | 47.5 | L27–34 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/14 | Tulane at Oklahoma | +13.5L19–34 | 48.5 | L19–34 | O | N |
| Sat 9/21 | Tulane at Louisiana | -1.5W41–33 | 53.5 | W41–33 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/28 | Tulane vs South Florida | -4.0W45–10 | 60.5 | W45–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/5 | Tulane at UAB | -19.5W71–20 | 52.0 | W71–20 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Tulane vs Rice | -21.5W24–10 | 53.5 | W24–10 | U | N |
| Sat 10/26 | Tulane at North Texas | -7.5W45–37 | 70.5 | W45–37 | O | Y |
| Thu 10/31 | Tulane at Charlotte | -14.5W34–3 | 55.5 | W34–3 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/9 | Tulane vs Temple | -25.5W52–6 | 50.5 | W52–6 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/16 | Tulane at Navy | -7.5W35–0 | 49.0 | W35–0 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Thu 11/28 | Tulane vs Memphis | -12.5L24–34 | 54.5 | L24–34 | O | N |
| Fri 12/6 | Tulane at Army | -4.5L14–35 | 46.5 | L14–35 | O | N |
| Fri 12/20 | Tulane vs Florida | +10.0L8–33 | 50.5 | L8–33 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
SE Louisiana Edge
SE Louisiana +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Tulane Edge
Tulane +48.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓

