SE Louisiana at Tulane Week 1 College Football Matchup SE Louisiana at Tulane Matchup - Week 1
Fri, Aug 30 2024 · Week 1 · 🏟 Benson Field at Yulman Stadium New Orleans, LA · Turf · 30,000 cap
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Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
SE Louisiana
23
SELA +28.5
Tulane
31
P&R Line Tulane -8.5
P&R Total O/U 54
Confidence 75 Good
Vegas Tulane -28.5 · O/U 55.5
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
76%
Tulane wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Tulane -28.5
O/U 55.5
ESPN Bet
SE Louisiana 2024 Schedule
SE Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29SE Louisiana at Tulane+28.5L0–5255.5L0–52UN
Sat 9/7SE Louisiana at Southern Miss+17.5L10–3553.5L10–35UN
Tulane 2024 Schedule
Tulane's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29Tulane vs SE Louisiana-28.5W52–055.5W52–0UY
Sat 9/7Tulane vs Kansas State+8.5L27–3447.5L27–34OY
Sat 9/14Tulane at Oklahoma+13.5L19–3448.5L19–34ON
Sat 9/21Tulane at Louisiana-1.5W41–3353.5W41–33OY
Sat 9/28Tulane vs South Florida-4.0W45–1060.5W45–10UY
Sat 10/5Tulane at UAB-19.5W71–2052.0W71–20OY
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/19Tulane vs Rice-21.5W24–1053.5W24–10UN
Sat 10/26Tulane at North Texas-7.5W45–3770.5W45–37OY
Thu 10/31Tulane at Charlotte-14.5W34–355.5W34–3UY
Sat 11/9Tulane vs Temple-25.5W52–650.5W52–6OY
Sat 11/16Tulane at Navy-7.5W35–049.0W35–0UY
— Bye Week —
Thu 11/28Tulane vs Memphis-12.5L24–3454.5L24–34ON
Fri 12/6Tulane at Army-4.5L14–3546.5L14–35ON
Fri 12/20Tulane vs Florida+10.0L8–3350.5L8–33UN
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? SE Louisiana Edge
Avg sequences created per game
SE Louisiana
0.00
Tulane #32
1.08
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
SE Louisiana
0.00
Tulane #45
1.08
SE Louisiana +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Tulane Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
SE Louisiana #133
12.6
Tulane #12
61.0
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
SE Louisiana #128
61.0
Tulane #15
22.0
Tulane +48.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself