Bethune-Cookman at Western Michigan Week 3 College Football Matchup Bethune-Cookman at Western Michigan Matchup - Week 3
Sat, Sep 14 2024 · Week 3 · 🏟 Waldo Stadium Kalamazoo, MI · Turf · 30,200 cap
Bethune-Cookman✈ 939 miSame TZ
31 59
Final
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Bethune-Cookman
34
Western Michigan
26
P&R Line Bethune-Cookman -8
P&R Total O/U 60
Confidence 75 Good
Vegas Western Michigan -33.5 · O/U 54.5
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
76%
Western Michigan wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Western Michigan -33.5
O/U 54.5
ESPN Bet
🛋 Bethune-Cookman Coming off BYE
Bethune-Cookman 2024 Schedule
Bethune-Cookman's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31Bethune-Cookman at South Florida+1.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/14Bethune-Cookman at Western Michigan+33.5L31–5954.5L31–59OY
Western Michigan 2024 Schedule
Western Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30Western Michigan at Wisconsin+24.0L14–2857.0L14–28UY
Sat 9/7Western Michigan at Ohio State+37.5L0–5654.5L0–56ON
Sat 9/14Western Michigan vs Bethune-Cookman-33.5W59–3154.5W59–31ON
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/28Western Michigan at Marshall+3.5L20–2753.5L20–27UN
Sat 10/5Western Michigan at Ball State-10.0W45–4257.5W45–42ON
Sat 10/12Western Michigan vs Akron-9.5W34–2448.5W34–24OY
Sat 10/19Western Michigan at Buffalo-1.0W48–4149.5W48–41OY
Sat 10/26Western Michigan vs Kent State-19.0W52–2161.0W52–21OY
— Bye Week —
Wed 11/6Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois+2.5L28–4251.5L28–42ON
Tue 11/12Western Michigan at Bowling Green+9.5L13–3157.5L13–31UN
Tue 11/19Western Michigan at Central Michigan-6.0L14–1656.0L14–16UN
Sat 11/30Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-6.5W26–1856.5W26–18UY
Sat 12/14Western Michigan vs South Alabama+6.0L23–3053.5L23–30UN
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Bethune-Cookman Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Bethune-Cookman
0.00
Western Michigan #114
0.55
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Bethune-Cookman
0.00
Western Michigan #94
1.46
Bethune-Cookman +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Western Michigan Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Bethune-Cookman #142
4.2
Western Michigan #84
37.6
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Bethune-Cookman #142
90.6
Western Michigan #103
49.9
Western Michigan +33.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself