Sat, Aug 31 2024
·
Week 1
·
🏟 Raymond James Stadium
Tampa, FL
·
Turf
·
65,857 cap
Bethune-Cookman✈ 117 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
South Florida wins
Strong
Bethune-Cookman 2024 Schedule
Bethune-Cookman's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | Bethune-Cookman at South Florida | +1.5 | — | — | — | — |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/14 | Bethune-Cookman at Western Michigan | +33.5L31–59 | 54.5 | L31–59 | O | Y |
South Florida 2024 Schedule
South Florida's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman | -22.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/7 | South Florida at Alabama | +33.5L16–42 | 65.5 | L16–42 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/14 | South Florida at Southern Miss | -13.0W49–24 | 58.5 | W49–24 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/21 | South Florida vs Miami | +17.0L15–50 | 64.5 | L15–50 | O | N |
| Sat 9/28 | South Florida at Tulane | +4.0L10–45 | 60.5 | L10–45 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/12 | South Florida vs Memphis | +10.0L3–21 | 61.0 | L3–21 | U | N |
| Sat 10/19 | South Florida vs UAB | -14.0W35–25 | 55.5 | W35–25 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Fri 11/1 | South Florida at Florida Atlantic | -1.5W44–21 | 48.0 | W44–21 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/9 | South Florida vs Navy | +4.5L7–28 | 59.5 | L7–28 | U | N |
| Sat 11/16 | South Florida at Charlotte | +1.5W59–24 | 53.5 | W59–24 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/23 | South Florida vs Tulsa | -17.5W63–30 | 60.0 | W63–30 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/30 | South Florida at Rice | -5.5L28–35 | 53.5 | L28–35 | O | N |
| Tue 12/24 | South Florida vs San José State | -1.5W41–39 | 66.5 | W41–39 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Bethune-Cookman Edge
Bethune-Cookman +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
South Florida Edge
South Florida +35.7
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓