Bowling Green at Nebraska - 2026 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Lincoln, NE

 
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Nebraska -22.5  (SP+ NEB -19)

Projected Score: BGSU: 15 - NEB: 38 (53)
NEB Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
BGSU Travel: 682 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cornhuskers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (19 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Bowling Green at Nebraska+22.5
Sat 9/19 Bowling Green at Iowa State+21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Nebraska's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Nebraska vs Ohio-16
Sat 9/12 Nebraska vs Bowling Green-22.5
Sat 9/19 Nebraska vs North Dakota-29
Sat 9/26 Nebraska at Michigan State-5
Sat 10/3 Nebraska vs Maryland-6
Sat 10/10 Nebraska vs Indiana+20.5
Sat 10/17 Nebraska at Oregon+22.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Nebraska vs Washington+10
Sat 11/7 Nebraska at Illinois+8
Sat 11/14 Nebraska at Rutgers-4.5
Sat 11/21 Nebraska vs Ohio State+21.5
Fri 11/27 Nebraska at Iowa+10.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#128 (.02)36% (128)20.537% (125)2.88 (78)15635% (124)1513.19 (118)#61 (.15)41% (56)24.339% (40)42% (68)3.44 (48)611.21.3
NEB#77 (.16)46% (27)28.748% (22)3.16 (29)14845% (36)2253.93 (50)#101 (.21)43% (88)24.647% (117)39% (38)4.37 (128)43.50.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1220.52435.6%3.191.217307156151458%40%37%35%16%.02
NEB Defense1324.620.943.2%4.371 - - - - - 55%43%47%39%14%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1224.32940.6%3.441.3 - - - - - 53%46%39%42%19%.15
NEB Offense1328.736.146.2%3.930.8203721482254.349%49%48%45%13%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1231:1816.637%42%6.7611.21.36.21.8131
Nebraska1330:3520.346%36%4.643.50.8151.7231.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1258% (15)37% (125)39.3155.5413 (119).03 (112)2.88 (78)58% (133)10% (95)0.95 (76)
NEB Defense1355% (122)47% (117) - - - - .25 (132)3.25 (121)79% (119)10% (62)1.12 (128)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1253% (105)39% (40) - - - - .06 (48)2.74 (40)59% (9)13% (8)1.06 (116)
NEB Offense1349% (68)48% (22)34.2147.84.320 (60).13 (63)3.16 (29)76% (44)9% (53)0.81 (125)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1240% (122)35% (124)13.823.8151.36.410.913 (106)12 (119).07 (129)1.6 (47)34% (110)25% (121).19 (114)6% (65)2.1 (50)
NEB Defense1343% (10)39% (38) - - - - - - 6 (100).19 (44)1.5 (25)31% (87)35% (128).44 (127)5% (122)2 (47)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1246% (34)42% (68) - - - - - - 6 (75).28 (82)1.6 (95)33% (49)31% (86).32 (79)7% (43)2.1 (85)
NEB Offense1349% (72)45% (36)2029.1224.67.711.223 (14)7 (60).22 (83)1.4 (128)25% (5)32% (52).39 (35)4% (11)1.9 (94)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -15.79  #119
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 0.00  #132
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 20.79  #93
2026 Talent Rating: 552.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #24
Bowling Green's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Bowling Green's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6  #113
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #83

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 524.17
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -15.79   Nebraska: 8.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -12.6   Nebraska: 6.2




Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 8.2  #42
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 16.99  #25
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 16.79  #67
2026 Talent Rating: 956.00  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #24
Nebraska's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Nebraska's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2  #46
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #56
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #44

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Nebraska 38
Bowling Green 15


Projected Total Points: 53
Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nebraska000 Overs
Bowling Green000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#119) BGSU at (#42) NEB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUNEB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #119 #42
SP+SP+ #113 #46
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #97 #21
Blue ChipsBC% #24 #24
Bowling Green on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffNEB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #128 #88
ExplosiveExp #82 #80
PPAPPA #128 #101
PowerPwr #132 #67
SP+SP+ #128 #44
Pts POPPO #118 #128
HavocHav #80 #100
Bowling Green Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffNEB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #125 #117
Run ExplRExp #76 #128
PPAExp #112 #132
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #78 #121
Stuff RateStuff #66 #117
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffNEB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #124 #38
Pass ExplPExl #47 #25
PPAExp #129 #44
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #95 #62
DB HavocDB #65 #122
Nebraska on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatNEB OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #27 #56
ExplosiveExp #134 #105
PPAPPA #77 #61
PowerPwr #25 #93
SP+SP+ #56 #83
Pts POPPO #50 #48
HavocHav #23 #12
Nebraska Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
NEB OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #22 #40
Run ExplRExp #125 #116
PPAExp #63 #48
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #29 #40
Stuff RateStuff #19 #8
TackleTak - NR
Nebraska Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatNEB OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #36 #68
Pass ExplPExl #128 #95
PPAExp #83 #82
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #53 #8
DB HavocDB #11 #43
Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Najm336650%473547.2
Austin Novosad (Tr)1250%400020.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ke'Marion Baldwin (Tr)15977864.989
Austyn Dendy10849354.624
Chris McMillian8434234.133
Chris Edmonds72603.715
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Ridley4110127.587
Austyn Dendy464116.027
Winn Sharp54609.220
Ke'Marion Baldwin (Tr)83804.819

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Brandon Fisher (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kal-El Pascal804005
Armahn Hale (Tr)444001
Darius Lorfils341011
Preston EstoEsta291001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley206570
Eriq George265420
Andrew Hines III224110
Dorian Pringle276100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kal-El Pascal804005
Nick Sawyer (Tr)30002
Darius Lorfils341011

NEB's OC Dana Holgorsen (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)27541766%34592398.3
TJ Lateef7412360%904517.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)127650105.137
Mekhi Nelson2714725.438
Kwinten Ives2013326.728
TJ Lateef4012043.016
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nyziah Hunter43617514.364
Kwazi Gilmer (Tr)50535410.743
Jacory Barney Jr.45484510.852
Luke Lindenmeyer29312210.826

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC John Butler (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Chambliss (Tr)909445
Rex Guthrie632001
Vincent Shavers Jr.618110
Donovan Jones592005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Chambliss (Tr)909445
Williams Nwaneri275351
Kade Pietrzak166231
Cameron Lenhardt233231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Chambliss (Tr)909445
Donovan Jones592005
Victor Evans III (Tr)411004