UConn at Miami (OH) - 2026 Matchup Preview
UConn logo   UConn Huskies at Miami (OH) RedHawks  Miami (OH) logo
Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Yager Stadium - Oxford, OH

 
Huskies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1.5 - 1.5 (#91)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
CONN 2nd straight Road Game
CONN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -2  (SP+ CONN -8.5)
Projected Score: CONN: 28 - M-OH: 30 (58)
M-OH Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
CONN Travel: 653 miles
RedHawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (72 - 74)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UConn's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UConn vs Lafayette-21
Sat 9/12 UConn vs Maryland+2
Sat 9/19 UConn at Southern Miss-2
Sat 9/26 UConn at Miami (OH)+2
Sat 10/3 UConn vs Syracuse-5
Sat 10/10 UConn at Temple+0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 UConn vs Massachusetts-29.5
Sat 10/31 UConn at Air Force-2.5
Sat 11/7 UConn vs North Carolina-1
Sat 11/14 UConn vs James Madison+5.5
Sat 11/21 UConn vs Old Dominion-1
Sat 11/28 UConn at Wyoming-5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh+14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+8
Sat 9/26 Miami (OH) vs UConn-2

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#9 (.31)46% (29)35.346% (44)2.93 (69)16547% (22)2844.58 (14)#113 (.22)47% (126)2750% (133)43% (89)3.8 (81)48.30.21.3
M-OH#107 (.1)39% (106)23.543% (82)3.14 (33)15136% (119)1873.34 (107)#29 (.08)39% (36)21.739% (35)40% (52)3.39 (45)49.11.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1335.333.546%4.580.2214491652845.345%54%46%47%12%.31
M-OH Defense1421.722.739.1%3.391.4 - - - - - 49%49%39%40%18%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense132732.246.6%3.81.3 - - - - - 55%44%50%43%15%.22
M-OH Offense1423.532.339.2%3.341.1183381511874.352%47%43%36%13%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1328:5021.241%71%4.948.30.21.36.12.7030.4
Miami (OH)1429:4817.635%42%5.649.11.11.45.82.9331.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1345% (110)46% (44)30.9164.75.326 (36).21 (24)2.93 (69)82% (8)6% (3)1.04 (38)
M-OH Defense1449% (58)39% (35) - - - - .05 (40)2.71 (34)73% (87)11% (34)0.92 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1355% (121)50% (133) - - - - .21 (123)3.37 (132)67% (32)10% (70)0.95 (65)
M-OH Offense1452% (48)43% (82)35.1150.84.317 (78).07 (93)3.14 (33)66% (105)7% (14)0.87 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1354% (25)47% (22)23.634.7283.88.21230 (14)1 (1).44 (11)1.6 (48)32% (74)29% (83).48 (14)6% (55)2.5 (1)
M-OH Defense1449% (79)40% (52) - - - - - - 14 (12).19 (43)1.5 (27)34% (30)28% (43).22 (40)7% (22)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1344% (18)43% (89) - - - - - - 11 (55).28 (83)1.6 (68)26% (132)33% (115).4 (113)5% (95)2 (81)
M-OH Offense1447% (88)36% (119)13.126.3187.37.114.317 (86)11 (88).18 (106)1.7 (27)32% (84)28% (91).21 (103)6% (81)1.9 (104)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -10.02  #109
UConn's Offense Rating: 10.97  #80
UConn's Defense Rating: 25.99  #132
2026 Talent Rating: 678.00  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #57
UConn's 2026 Expected Record: 1.5 - 1.5
UConn's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #53
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #38
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #76

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 950.5
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -10.02   Miami (OH): -0.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 5.1   Miami (OH): -3.4




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.27  #80
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 7.62  #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 14.76  #60
2026 Talent Rating: 740.00  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #72
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4  #82
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #114
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 547.54
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 30
UConn 28

Projected Total Points: 58
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)000 Overs
UConn000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#109) CONN at (#80) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCONNM-OH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #109 #80
SP+SP+ #53 #82
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #80 #68
Blue ChipsBC% #57 #72
UConn Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Stable, Candle hire popular, 18 W's in 2 yrs
(2/17) My take: Candle underperformed badly at Toledo
(2/17) QB1? Osborne (Toledo) vs Merklinger (Tenn)
(2/17) 52 portal adds, 17 from Toledo, sneaky good
(2/17) RB 4 portals, none really stand out. Have depth
(2/17) WR 10 portal adds, 6 from Toledo. Should be good
(2/17) OL 10 portals, have 3 w starting exp, some depth
(2/17) DL 11 portals, only 4 have real exp, not sure
(2/17) DB 9 portals, one starting S and lots of PTers
UConn Injury Report
UConn on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CONN OffM-OH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #29 #36
ExplosiveExp #26 #33
PPAPPA #9 #29
PowerPwr #80 #60
SP+SP+ #38 #54
Pts POPPO #14 #45
HavocHav #11 #25
UConn Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CONN OffM-OH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #44 #35
Run ExplRExp #38 #48
PPAExp #24 #40
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #69 #34
Stuff RateStuff #40 #45
TackleTak - NR
UConn Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CONN OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #22 #52
Pass ExplPExl #48 #27
PPAExp #11 #43
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #3 #34
DB HavocDB #55 #22
Miami (OH) on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffCONN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #106 #126
ExplosiveExp #83 #42
PPAPPA #107 #113
PowerPwr #98 #132
SP+SP+ #114 #76
Pts POPPO #107 #81
HavocHav #34 #91
Miami (OH) Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffCONN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #133
Run ExplRExp #113 #65
PPAExp #93 #123
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #33 #132
Stuff RateStuff #47 #135
TackleTak - NR
Miami (OH) Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffCONN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #119 #89
Pass ExplPExl #27 #68
PPAExp #106 #83
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #14 #70
DB HavocDB #81 #95
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CONN's OC Marquel Blackwell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kalieb Osborne (Tr)325262%427308.2
Jake Merklinger (Tr)132454%173207.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenji Christian10552845.037
Trey Cornist (Tr)10446914.529
Kalieb Osborne (Tr)5128225.533
Cyncir Bowers (Tr)6324924.026
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shamar Porter17219112.956
Kenji Christian17193111.442
Ryder Treadway (Tr)13176313.524
Javon Brown (Tr)8156119.546

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Ryan Manalac (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K'Von Sherman (Tr)9315561
Esean Carter364331
Luke Murphy (Tr)364001
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K'Von Sherman (Tr)9315561
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
Esean Carter364331
Chamberlain Campbell (Tr)62200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
Zakaih Saez (Tr)131102
K'Von Sherman (Tr)9315561

M-OH's OC Gus Ragland (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Gotkowski388644%575416.7
Lynel Billups-Williams010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
D'Shawntae Jones6327774.446
Keith Reynolds2718606.932
Cade Yacamelli (Tr)3812803.412
Thomas Gotkowski3111513.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keith Reynolds3635219.869
Braylon Isom10141314.127
Lynel Billups-Williams65108.515
Josh Ringer63115.211

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick (Tr)846033
Malcolm Mccain667220
Mychal Yharbrough442004
Oscar McWood353241
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bai Jobe154440
James Schott143321
Brach Rice163201
Mikah Coleman (Tr)304210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Martin310007
Mychal Yharbrough442004
Blayne Myrick (Tr)846033