Florida State at Louisville - 2020 Matchup Preview
Florida State logo Florida State Seminoles at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Saturday, October 24th 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -5.0 (63.0)
Louisville 48 - Florida State: 16  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (3 - 6) (3 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 36 (19 - 45 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ LOU -11)
Projected Score: FSU: 28 - LOU: 36 (64)
LOU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
FSU Travel: 543 miles
Cardinals (4 - 7) (5 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (38 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-13.549.0L 13 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Florida State at Miami+12.554.0L 10 - 52ON
Sat 10/3 Florida State vs Jacksonville State-27.052.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 10/10 Florida State at Notre Dame+21.054.0L 26 - 42OY
Sat 10/17 Florida State vs North Carolina+13.565.0W 31 - 28UY
Sat 10/24 Florida State at Louisville+5.063.0L 16 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Florida State vs Pittsburgh+2.052.5L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/14 Florida State at NC State+12.061.0L 22 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Florida State vs Duke-3.056.5W 56 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Louisville's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Louisville vs Western Kentucky-13.055.0W 35 - 21OY
Sat 9/19 Louisville vs Miami+2.565.5L 34 - 47ON
Sat 9/26 Louisville at Pittsburgh+3.053.0L 20 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/9 Louisville at Georgia Tech-4.062.0L 27 - 46ON
Sat 10/17 Louisville at Notre Dame+16.062.5L 7 - 12UY
Sat 10/24 Louisville vs Florida State-5.063.0W 48 - 16OY
Sat 10/31 Louisville vs Virginia Tech+3.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Louisville at Virginia+5.564.5L 17 - 31UN
Fri 11/20 Louisville vs Syracuse-20.555.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 11/28 Louisville at Boston College+1.057.0L 27 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Louisville vs Wake Forest-1.562.5W 45 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU.1941%25.850%3.2719932%1973.19.2648%3648%48%4.0179.21.91.6
LOU.2743%29.543%2.8220043%2443.75.1640%26.641%39%3.5852.52.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense925.818.541.4%3.191.9213951991975.152%48%50%32%19%.19
LOU Defense1126.624.540.1%3.581.1 - - - - - 57%43%41%39%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense9364547.6%4.011.6 - - - - - 53%47%48%48%14%.26
LOU Offense1129.537.842.8%3.752.2214442002445.254%46%43%43%19%.27

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State930:2920.636%54%8.979.21.91.65.41.1128.3
Louisville1131:2820.845%54%6.352.52.21.15.61.9026.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense952%50%39198.85.119.353.2782%12%1.19
LOU Defense1157%41% - - - - .072.8771%11%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense953%48% - - - - .22.9266%10%1.1
LOU Offense1154%43%38.2199.95.221.252.8272%15%1.31

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense948%32%17.832.6196.7611.11013.011.634%29%.338%2.1
LOU Defense1143%39% - - - - - - 5.281.836%32%.387%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense947%48% - - - - - - 8.341.628%38%.585%2.2
LOU Offense1146%43%18.428.6244.28.513.32012.31.735%37%.544%2.3

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9  #84
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #69
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State:    Louisville: 6.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: -2.9   Louisville: 8.5




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 6.75 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2020 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5  #35
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8  #15
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #75

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Florida State's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 36
Florida State 28

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 35
Florida State 31

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 37
Florida State 24

Total Points: 61
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.8
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.5

Louisville's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/02Florida State16Louisville6Florida State -3.5Florida State51.0Under
202209/16Louisville31Florida State35Florida State -2.5Florida State57.0Over
202109/25Florida State23Louisville31Florida State -1.5Louisville61.0Under
202010/24Louisville48Florida State16Louisville -5.0Louisville63.0Over
201909/21Florida State35Louisville24Florida State -6.5Florida State61.0Under
201809/29Louisville24Florida State28Florida State -4.5Louisville47.5Over
201710/21Florida State28Louisville31Florida State -7Louisville58.0Over
201609/17Louisville63Florida State20Florida State -4.5Louisville65.0Over
201510/17Florida State41Louisville21Florida State -9Florida State47.0Over
201410/30Louisville31Florida State42Florida State -8.5Florida State0
200209/26Louisville26Florida State20
200009/22Florida State31Louisville0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville556 Overs
Florida State753 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 56 - 44 - 22 - 2
Road Teams5 - 74 - 62 - 22 - 4

(#) FSU at (#) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFSULOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #35
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #15 #48
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCat
FSU OffLOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCatLOU OffFSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCatLOU OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

FSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 48° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Louisville -5.0 (63.0)
Louisville won vs Florida State this year (48-16)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Louisville in 2023 (16-6)
Florida State beat Louisville in 2022 (35-31)

  
FSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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FSU's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LOU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD