Miami at Louisville - 2020 Matchup Preview
Miami logo (#5)Miami Hurricanes at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Saturday, September 19th 2020 (7:30 PM EDT)
Miami -2.5 (65.5)
Miami 47 - Louisville: 34  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (8 - 3) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (36 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LOU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -0  (SP+ MIAMI -5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 28 - LOU: 32 (60)
MIAMI Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MIAMI Travel: 905 miles
Cardinals (4 - 7) (5 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (38 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/10 Miami vs UAB-15.555.0W 31 - 14UY
Sat 9/19 Miami at Louisville-2.565.5W 47 - 34OY
Sat 9/26 Miami vs Florida State-12.554.0W 52 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Miami at Clemson+14.059.5L 17 - 42UN
Sat 10/17 Miami vs Pittsburgh-12.547.5W 31 - 19ON
Sat 10/24 Miami vs Virginia-13.554.5W 19 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/6 Miami at NC State-10.057.5W 44 - 41ON
Sat 11/14 Miami at Virginia Tech+2.067.5W 25 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Miami at Duke-14.562.0W 48 - 0UY
Sat 12/12 Miami vs North Carolina-3.072.5L 26 - 62ON
Sat 12/19 Miami vs Georgia Tech-9.5
Tue 12/29 Miami vs Oklahoma State+2.558.5L 34 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Louisville's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Louisville vs Western Kentucky-13.055.0W 35 - 21OY
Sat 9/19 Louisville vs Miami+2.565.5L 34 - 47ON
Sat 9/26 Louisville at Pittsburgh+3.053.0L 20 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/9 Louisville at Georgia Tech-4.062.0L 27 - 46ON
Sat 10/17 Louisville at Notre Dame+16.062.5L 7 - 12UY
Sat 10/24 Louisville vs Florida State-5.063.0W 48 - 16OY
Sat 10/31 Louisville vs Virginia Tech+3.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Louisville at Virginia+5.564.5L 17 - 31UN
Fri 11/20 Louisville vs Syracuse-20.555.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 11/28 Louisville at Boston College+1.057.0L 27 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Louisville vs Wake Forest-1.562.5W 45 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI.2442%3441%2.7516443%2774.27.243%2746%40%3.7972.21.11.5
LOU.2743%29.543%2.8220043%2443.75.1640%26.641%39%3.5852.52.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense113436.242.2%4.271.1234411642774.349%51%41%43%20%.24
LOU Defense1126.624.540.1%3.581.1 - - - - - 57%43%41%39%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense112728.242.9%3.791.5 - - - - - 48%52%46%40%20%.2
LOU Offense1129.537.842.8%3.752.2214442002445.254%46%43%43%19%.27

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1127:1122.740%68%7.872.21.11.58.52.8027.8
Louisville1131:2820.845%54%6.352.52.21.15.61.9026.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1149%41%38.1163.64.318.142.7577%13%1.06
LOU Defense1157%41% - - - - .072.8771%11%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1148%46% - - - - .182.7276%14%1.04
LOU Offense1154%43%38.2199.95.221.252.8272%15%1.31

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1151%43%21.734.6277.3812.8266.351.734%34%.448%2.1
LOU Defense1143%39% - - - - - - 5.281.836%32%.387%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1152%40% - - - - - - 7.211.533%29%.256%1.9
LOU Offense1146%43%18.428.6244.28.513.32012.31.735%37%.544%2.3

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami's 2020 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.5  #21
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7  #33
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami:    Louisville: 6.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 13.5   Louisville: 8.5




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 6.75 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2020 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5  #35
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8  #15
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #75

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Miami Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.2
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.2

Miami's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 32
Miami 28

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 34
Miami 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 31
Miami 30

Total Points: 61
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.8
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.5

Louisville's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/17Miami21Louisville24Miami -10.5Louisville49.5Under
202410/19Louisville45Miami52Miami -4.5Miami61.5Over
202311/18Miami31Louisville38Miami -1.5Louisville46.5Over
202009/19Louisville34Miami47Miami -2.5Miami65.5Over
201911/09Miami52Louisville27Miami -6.5Miami49.0Over
201409/01Louisville31Miami13Louisville -5.5Louisville55.5Under
201312/28Louisville36Miami9Louisville -5.5Louisville60.0Under
200609/16Louisville31Miami7
200410/14Miami41Louisville38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville544 Overs
Miami433 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 43 - 43 - 20 - 2
Road Teams4 - 54 - 32 - 02 - 3

(#) MIAMI at (#) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMILOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #35
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #16 #48
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami on Offense
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffLOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami Run Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Miami Pass Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCatLOU OffMIAMI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #30
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCatLOU OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 67° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Miami 2.5 (65.5)
Miami won at Louisville this year (47-34)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Louisville last year (52-45)
Louisville beat Miami in 2023 (38-31)

  
MIAMI's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MIAMI's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LOU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD