Western Kentucky at Louisville - 2020 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Saturday, September 12th 2020 (8:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -13 (55.0)
Louisville 35 - Western Kentucky: 21

 
Hilltoppers (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ LOU -12)
Projected Score: WKU: 28 - LOU: 31 (59)
LOU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
WKU Travel: 93 miles, 1 hrs behind
Cardinals (4 - 7) (5 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (38 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Western Kentucky at Louisville+13.055.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 9/19 Western Kentucky vs Liberty-15.552.0L 24 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee-7.052.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/10 Western Kentucky vs Marshall+7.043.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 10/17 Western Kentucky at UAB+11.044.0L 14 - 37ON
Sat 10/24 Western Kentucky vs Chattanooga-14.053.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 10/31 Western Kentucky at BYU+28.5
Sat 11/7 Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic+6.538.5L 6 - 10UY
Sat 11/14 Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss-8.045.0W 10 - 7UN
Sat 11/21 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-6.541.5W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sun 12/6 Western Kentucky at Charlotte+3.047.0W 37 - 19OY
Sat 12/26 Western Kentucky vs Georgia State+3.550.5L 21 - 39ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Louisville's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Louisville vs Western Kentucky-13.055.0W 35 - 21OY
Sat 9/19 Louisville vs Miami+2.565.5L 34 - 47ON
Sat 9/26 Louisville at Pittsburgh+3.053.0L 20 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/9 Louisville at Georgia Tech-4.062.0L 27 - 46ON
Sat 10/17 Louisville at Notre Dame+16.062.5L 7 - 12UY
Sat 10/24 Louisville vs Florida State-5.063.0W 48 - 16OY
Sat 10/31 Louisville vs Virginia Tech+3.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Louisville at Virginia+5.564.5L 17 - 31UN
Fri 11/20 Louisville vs Syracuse-20.555.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 11/28 Louisville at Boston College+1.057.0L 27 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Louisville vs Wake Forest-1.562.5W 45 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.0541%1944%2.7412537%1653.18.1540%25.341%37%3.7240.11.30.8
LOU.2743%29.543%2.8220043%2443.75.1640%26.641%39%3.5852.52.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense12191840.5%3.181.3162901251653.948%52%44%37%17%.05
LOU Defense1126.624.540.1%3.581.1 - - - - - 57%43%41%39%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1225.326.539.6%3.720.8 - - - - - 57%43%41%37%18%.15
LOU Offense1129.537.842.8%3.752.2214442002445.254%46%43%43%19%.27

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1228:5616.432%56%4.540.11.30.86.21.9127.7
Louisville1131:2820.845%54%6.352.52.21.15.61.9026.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1248%44%32.41253.911.032.7475%11%0.75
LOU Defense1157%41% - - - - .072.8771%11%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1257%41% - - - - .152.9379%10%1.05
LOU Offense1154%43%38.2199.95.221.252.8272%15%1.31

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1252%37%17.330.8165.35.49.5124.061.333%29%.26%1.6
LOU Defense1143%39% - - - - - - 5.281.836%32%.387%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1243%37% - - - - - - 6.151.634%31%.258%1.9
LOU Offense1146%43%18.428.6244.28.513.32012.31.735%37%.544%2.3

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2020 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0  #86
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6  #117
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #37

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Louisville: 6.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -3.0   Louisville: 8.5




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 6.75 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2020 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5  #35
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8  #15
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #75

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Western Kentucky's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 31
Western Kentucky 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 35
Louisville 32

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 30
Western Kentucky 22

Total Points: 52
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.8
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.5

Louisville's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202009/12Louisville35Western Kentucky21Louisville -13Louisville55.0Over
201909/14Western Kentucky21Louisville38Louisville -10.5Louisville49.0Over
201809/15Louisville20Western Kentucky17Louisville -24.5Western Kentucky53.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville322 Overs
Western Kentucky011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 22 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#) WKU at (#) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKULOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #86 #35
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #84 #48
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffLOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCatLOU OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCatLOU OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 75°Rain: 0.063
Rematch from Week 2
Louisville -13.0 (55.0)
Louisville won vs Western Kentucky this year (35-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WKU's OC ()
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WKU's DC ()
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LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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LOU's DC ()
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