Liberty at Western Kentucky - 2020 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Saturday, September 19th 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -15.5 (52.0)
Liberty 30 - Western Kentucky: 24

 
Flames (10 - 1) (9 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 21 (30 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2  (SP+ LIB -8.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 29 - WKU: 28 (57)
WKU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
LIB Travel: 402 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hilltoppers (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (20 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Liberty at Western Kentucky+15.552.0W 30 - 24OY
Sat 9/26 Liberty vs Florida International-10.061.0W 36 - 34ON
Sat 10/3 Liberty vs North Alabama-33.065.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/10 Liberty vs UL Monroe-17.063.5W 40 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Liberty at Syracuse-3.055.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/24 Liberty vs Southern Miss-14.059.5W 56 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Liberty at Virginia Tech+16.567.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/14 Liberty vs Western Carolina-39.063.0W 58 - 14OY
Sat 11/21 Liberty at NC State+4.066.5L 14 - 15UY
Fri 11/27 Liberty vs Massachusetts-35.057.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 12/26 Liberty vs Coastal Carolina+6.560.0W 37 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Western Kentucky at Louisville+13.055.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 9/19 Western Kentucky vs Liberty-15.552.0L 24 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee-7.052.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/10 Western Kentucky vs Marshall+7.043.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 10/17 Western Kentucky at UAB+11.044.0L 14 - 37ON
Sat 10/24 Western Kentucky vs Chattanooga-14.053.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 10/31 Western Kentucky at BYU+28.5
Sat 11/7 Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic+6.538.5L 6 - 10UY
Sat 11/14 Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss-8.045.0W 10 - 7UN
Sat 11/21 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-6.541.5W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sun 12/6 Western Kentucky at Charlotte+3.047.0W 37 - 19OY
Sat 12/26 Western Kentucky vs Georgia State+3.550.5L 21 - 39ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.3250%38.253%3.2725347%2303.73.1742%20.546%37%2.9855.41.51.5
WKU.0541%1944%2.7412537%1653.18.1540%25.341%37%3.7240.11.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1138.23050.4%3.731.5254822532305.858%42%53%47%16%.32
WKU Defense1225.321.239.6%3.720.8 - - - - - 57%43%41%37%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1120.523.841.6%2.981.5 - - - - - 50%50%46%37%17%.17
WKU Offense121919.840.5%3.181.3162901251653.948%52%44%37%17%.05

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1132:1824.848%76%5.955.41.51.55.42.4130.8
Western Kentucky1228:5616.432%56%4.540.11.30.86.21.9127.7
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1158%53%43.8252.65.827.283.2775%11%1.04
WKU Defense1257%41% - - - - .152.9379%10%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1150%46% - - - - .153.1970%11%0.96
WKU Offense1248%44%32.41253.911.032.7475%11%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1142%47%17.527.8229.68.313.2257.381.627%38%.565%2.2
WKU Defense1243%37% - - - - - - 6.151.634%31%.258%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1150%37% - - - - - - 11.21.634%29%.266%1.8
WKU Offense1252%37%17.330.8165.35.49.5124.061.333%29%.26%1.6

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2020 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6  #44
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #34
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #62

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Western Kentucky: 1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 5.6   Western Kentucky: -3.0




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 1 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2020 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0  #86
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6  #117
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #37

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 38.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Liberty's 2020 Record
Record: 10 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 29
Western Kentucky 28

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 34
Liberty 28

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 29
Western Kentucky 21

Total Points: 50
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Western Kentucky's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Liberty38Western Kentucky21Liberty -1Liberty56.5Over
202310/24Western Kentucky29Liberty42Liberty -4Liberty61.5Over
202009/19Western Kentucky24Liberty30Western Kentucky -15.5Liberty52.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky003 Overs
Liberty330 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 12 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#) LIB at (#) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBWKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #86
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #127 #84
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffWKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatWKU OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #62
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatWKU OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Average G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 65° - Wind: 5 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Western Kentucky -15.5 (52.0)
Liberty won at Western Kentucky this year (30-24)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Western Kentucky last year (38-21)
Liberty beat Western Kentucky in 2023 (42-29)

  
LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WKU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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WKU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD