San José State at Air Force - 2019 Matchup Preview

San José State Spartans at Air Force Falcons

Friday, September 27th 2019 (8:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -19.5 (58.5)
Air Force 41 - San José State: 24 (Mountain West)

Spartans (5 - 7) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (34 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Thunderstorm Predicted
Wind: 14.5 MPH
SJSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ AFA -19)
Projected Score: SJSU: 21 - AFA: 34 (55)
AFA Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
SJSU Travel: 931 miles, 1 hrs behind

Falcons (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 20 (33 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SJSU Players
AFA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San José State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	San José State vs Northern Colorado	-17.5	59.5	W 35 - 18	U	N
Sat 9/7	San José State vs Tulsa	+6.5	53.5	L 16 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	San José State at Arkansas	+20.0	61.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Fri 9/27	San José State at Air Force	+19.5	58.5	L 24 - 41	O	Y
Fri 10/4	San José State vs New Mexico	-6.5	70.0	W 32 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/12	San José State at Nevada	+3.0	60.5	L 38 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/19	San José State vs San Diego State	+7.5	45.5	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/26	San José State at Army	+10.0	55.0	W 34 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/2	San José State vs Boise State	+16.0	60.0	L 42 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/9	San José State at Hawai'i	+7.5	78.5	L 40 - 42	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	San José State at UNLV	-7.0	65.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	San José State vs Fresno State	+1.0	60.5	W 17 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Air Force's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Air Force vs Colgate	-23.5	43.5	W 48 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Air Force at Colorado	+3.0	58.0	W 30 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Air Force at Boise State	+7.5	53.0	L 19 - 30	U	N
Fri 9/27	Air Force vs San José State	-19.5	58.5	W 41 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/5	Air Force at Navy	-3.0	46.5	L 25 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/12	Air Force vs Fresno State	-2.5	50.5	W 43 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Air Force at Hawai'i	-4.5	66.5	W 56 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Air Force vs Utah State	-4.0	58.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Air Force vs Army	-17.0	44.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/9	Air Force at New Mexico	-21.0	56.5
Sat 11/16	Air Force at Colorado State	-11.0	63.5	W 38 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Air Force at New Mexico	-24.0	56.5	W 44 - 22	O	N
Sat 11/30	Air Force vs Wyoming	-13.5	41.5	W 20 - 6	U	Y
Fri 12/27	Air Force vs Washington State	-3.0	73.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	.2	45%	30.1	41%	2.44	89	46%	338	4.15	.21	47%	31.9	48%	43%	3.75	50.3	1	2.4
AFA	.28	53%	34.1	54%	3.39	299	45%	123	4.21	.13	40%	19.8	34%	43%	3.38	28.3	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	#71 (.18)	44% (56)		41% (98)	2.27 (133)	88	46% (28)	322	3.6 (96)	#27 (.1)	41% (57)		42% (66)	39% (47)	3.58 (44)	61.5	2.2	2.2
AFA	#103 (.13)	42% (77)		45% (60)	3.03 (68)	225	31% (131)	90	4.02 (56)	#88 (.2)	42% (68)		41% (47)	43% (89)	3.97 (84)	28	1.3	1

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Offense	12	30.1	33.7	45.3%	4.15	1	21	427	89	338	3.5	35%	62%	41%	46%	22%	.2
AFA Defense	13	19.8	13.5	39.9%	3.38	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	34%	43%	21%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Defense	12	31.9	35.8	47%	3.75	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	48%	43%	19%	.21
AFA Offense	13	34.1	33.3	53.1%	4.21	1.4	22	422	299	123	5.1	83%	15%	54%	45%	13%	.28

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San José State	12	26:25	21.4	41%	44%	6.1	50.3	1	2.4	7.6	2.4	0	29.5
Air Force	13	34:28	22	54%	76%	3.2	28.3	1.4	1.6	5.6	2.5	3	29.7

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense	12	35%	41%	25.7	89.4	3.5	19	-.04	2.44	63%	9%	0.74
AFA Defense	13	45%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.71	69%	13%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense	12	60%	48%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.22	80%	12%	0.97
AFA Offense	13	83%	54%	58.1	298.5	5.1	41	.2	3.39	88%	10%	0.78

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense	12	62%	46%	25.4	41.4	338	8.2	13.3	24	7	.37	1.6	33%	38%	.43	13%	1.8
AFA Defense	13	54%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.27	1.6	34%	27%	.16	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense	12	39%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.24	1.5	28%	36%	.35	6%	1.8
AFA Offense	13	15%	45%	5.2	9.7	123.2	12.7	23.6	14	6	.71	2.5	22%	36%	.37	2%	1.9

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San José State's 2019 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #99
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #56
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #116

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: Air Force: 8.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -7.2 Air Force: 12.1

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 8.55 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2019 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #25
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #17
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #53

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

San José State Scoring
Offense: 30.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.7
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

San José State's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Air Force 34
San José State 21

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 34
San José State 18

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 34
San José State 24

Total Points: 58

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.3
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Air Force's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	San José State	16	Air Force	26	San José State -6	Air Force	67.5	Under
2024	09/07	Air Force	7	San José State	17	Air Force -1.5	San José State	43.5	Under
2023	09/22	San José State	20	Air Force	45	Air Force -6	Air Force	45.5	Over
2020	10/24	San José State	17	Air Force	6	Air Force -7.5	San José State	63.5	Under
2019	09/27	Air Force	41	San José State	24	Air Force -19.5	San José State	58.5	Over
2016	11/19	San José State	38	Air Force	41	Air Force -11	San José State	54.5	Over
2015	09/12	Air Force	37	San José State	16	Air Force -7	Air Force	58.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Air Force	5	3	3 Overs
San José State	2	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	3 - 4	1 - 3	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 3	4 - 3	1 - 2	3 - 1

(#) SJSU at (#) AFA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SJSU	AFA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#25
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#100	#131
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San José State Injury Report

Air Force Injury Report

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	AFA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#53
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	AFA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	AFA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Air Force on Offense


CategoryCat	AFA Off	SJSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Air Force Run Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Air Force Pass Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions: Thunderstorm
Temp: 70° - Wind: 15 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Air Force -19.5 (58.5)
Air Force won vs San José State this year (41-24)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Air Force last year (17-7)
Air Force beat San José State in 2023 (45-20)

SJSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AFA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD