Air Force at New Mexico - 2019 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 9th 2019 (2:00 PM EST)
Air Force -21 (56.5)
University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM (Mountain West)

Falcons (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNM is playing their 9th straight game
AFA is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ AFA -29)
Projected Score: AFA: 26 - UNM: 30 (56)
AFA Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
AFA Travel: 289 miles

Lobos (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AFA Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Air Force's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Air Force vs Colgate	-23.5	43.5	W 48 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Air Force at Colorado	+3.0	58.0	W 30 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Air Force at Boise State	+7.5	53.0	L 19 - 30	U	N
Fri 9/27	Air Force vs San José State	-19.5	58.5	W 41 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/5	Air Force at Navy	-3.0	46.5	L 25 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/12	Air Force vs Fresno State	-2.5	50.5	W 43 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Air Force at Hawai'i	-4.5	66.5	W 56 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Air Force vs Utah State	-4.0	58.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Air Force vs Army	-17.0	44.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/9	Air Force at New Mexico	-21.0	56.5
Sat 11/16	Air Force at Colorado State	-11.0	63.5	W 38 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Air Force at New Mexico	-24.0	56.5	W 44 - 22	O	N
Sat 11/30	Air Force vs Wyoming	-13.5	41.5	W 20 - 6	U	Y
Fri 12/27	Air Force vs Washington State	-3.0	73.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule

New Mexico's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	New Mexico vs Sam Houston	-6.5	62.5	W 39 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	New Mexico at Notre Dame	+34.5	64.0	L 14 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/21	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-4.0	69.0	W 55 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/28	New Mexico at Liberty	+7.5	72.0	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Fri 10/4	New Mexico at San José State	+6.5	70.0	L 21 - 32	U	N
Fri 10/11	New Mexico vs Colorado State	+4.0	66.5	L 21 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/19	New Mexico at Wyoming	+17.5	49.0	L 10 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/26	New Mexico vs Hawai'i	+10.0	70.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/2	New Mexico at Nevada	+3.5	58.0	L 10 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/9	New Mexico vs Air Force	+21.0	56.5
Sat 11/16	New Mexico at Boise State	+27.5	59.0	L 9 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/23	New Mexico vs Air Force	+24.0	56.5	L 22 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/30	New Mexico vs Utah State	+12.0	63.0	L 25 - 38	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AFA	.2	46%	29.8	46%	3.01	284	45%	131	3.71	.18	40%	30.3	35%	46%	3.78	43.4	1.3	1.2
UNM	.11	42%	27.1	44%	2.69	153	36%	178	4.02	.28	47%	22.3	49%	42%	3.81	48.7	2.2	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AFA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AFA Offense	12	29.8	32.2	46.4%	3.71	1.3	22	415	284	131	4.8	79%	20%	46%	45%	11%	.2
UNM Defense	12	22.3	18.7	46.7%	3.81	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	49%	42%	14%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AFA Defense	12	30.3	32.8	40.4%	3.78	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	35%	46%	13%	.18
UNM Offense	12	27.1	28.3	41.6%	4.02	2.2	18	331	153	178	3.7	61%	38%	44%	36%	18%	.11

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Air Force	12	34:13	22	41%	62%	4.5	43.4	1.3	1.2	4.3	1	3	27.8
New Mexico	12	27:29	17.5	37%	33%	4.8	48.7	2.2	1.8	5.5	2.2	2	29.7

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AFA Offense	12	79%	46%	59.4	283.7	4.8	33	.13	3.01	78%	8%	0.94
UNM Defense	12	54%	49%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.31	75%	9%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AFA Defense	12	53%	35%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.4	69%	9%	1.06
UNM Offense	12	61%	44%	42	153.2	3.7	17	.04	2.69	74%	12%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AFA Offense	12	20%	45%	7.8	14	131.3	9.4	17	10	5	.49	1.9	25%	31%	.36	3%	2
UNM Defense	12	44%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.38	1.9	29%	38%	.48	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AFA Defense	12	46%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.38	1.8	36%	34%	.34	4%	2.1
UNM Offense	12	38%	36%	12.8	24	178.1	7.4	14	21	17	.21	2	30%	30%	.36	6%	2.3

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2019 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #25
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #17
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #53

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: New Mexico: -6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 12.1 New Mexico: -17.0

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -6 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2019 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0 #119
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #107
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.2 #123

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Air Force's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 30
Air Force 26

Projected Total Points: 56

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Air Force	3	New Mexico	20	New Mexico -3.5	New Mexico	53.5	Under
2024	10/12	New Mexico	52	Air Force	37	New Mexico -7	New Mexico	56.0	Over
2022	11/12	Air Force	35	New Mexico	3	Air Force -21	Air Force	37.5	Over
2021	10/02	New Mexico	10	Air Force	38	Air Force -11.5	Air Force	46.0	Over
2020	11/20	Air Force	28	New Mexico	0	Air Force -9.5	Air Force	56.5	Under
2019	11/23	New Mexico	22	Air Force	44	Air Force -24	New Mexico	56.5	Over
2018	11/10	Air Force	42	New Mexico	24	Air Force -14	Air Force	55.0	Over
2017	09/30	New Mexico	56	Air Force	38	Air Force -3	New Mexico	50.5	Over
2016	10/15	Air Force	40	New Mexico	45	Air Force -15	New Mexico	53.5	Over
2015	11/28	New Mexico	47	Air Force	35	Air Force -10.5	New Mexico	53.5	Over
2014	10/18	Air Force	35	New Mexico	31	Air Force -12	New Mexico	0
2013	11/08	New Mexico	45	Air Force	37	New Mexico -1.5	New Mexico	0
2012	10/20	Air Force	28	New Mexico	23
2011	10/29	New Mexico	0	Air Force	42
2010	11/13	Air Force	48	New Mexico	23
2009	09/19	New Mexico	13	Air Force	37
2008	10/23	Air Force	23	New Mexico	10
2007	10/25	New Mexico	34	Air Force	31
2006	09/30	Air Force	24	New Mexico	7
2005	11/19	New Mexico	24	Air Force	42
2004	10/09	Air Force	28	New Mexico	23
2003	11/15	New Mexico	24	Air Force	12
2002	09/07	Air Force	38	New Mexico	31
2001	10/27	New Mexico	52	Air Force	33
2000	10/20	Air Force	23	New Mexico	29

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	10	8	8 Overs
Air Force	15	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	17 - 8	8 - 4	5 - 2	3 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 17	4 - 8	2 - 3	2 - 5

(#) AFA at (#) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AFA	UNM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#119
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#131	#118
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Air Force Injury Report

New Mexico Injury Report

Air Force on Offense


CategoryCat	AFA Off	UNM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Air Force Run Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Air Force Pass Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	AFA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#53
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	AFA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	AFA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Air Force 24.0 (56.5)
Air Force won at New Mexico this year (44-22)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Air Force last year (20-3)
New Mexico beat Air Force in 2024 (52-37)

AFA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD