Air Force at Hawai'i - 2019 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo   Air Force Falcons at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors  Hawai
Saturday, October 19th 2019 (11:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -4.5 (66.5)
Air Force 56 - Hawai'i: 26  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ AFA -14)
Projected Score: AFA: 26 - HAW: 31 (57)
AFA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 3344 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (10 - 5) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 17 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Air Force vs Colgate-23.543.5W 48 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Air Force at Colorado+3.058.0W 30 - 23UY
Fri 9/20 Air Force at Boise State+7.553.0L 19 - 30UN
Fri 9/27 Air Force vs San José State-19.558.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 10/5 Air Force at Navy-3.046.5L 25 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 Air Force vs Fresno State-2.550.5W 43 - 24OY
Sat 10/19 Air Force at Hawai'i-4.566.5W 56 - 26OY
Sat 10/26 Air Force vs Utah State-4.058.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 11/2 Air Force vs Army-17.044.5W 17 - 13UN
Sat 11/9 Air Force at New Mexico-21.056.5
Sat 11/16 Air Force at Colorado State-11.063.5W 38 - 21UY
Sat 11/23 Air Force at New Mexico-24.056.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 11/30 Air Force vs Wyoming-13.541.5W 20 - 6UY
Fri 12/27 Air Force vs Washington State-3.073.0W 31 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Hawai'i's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Hawai'i vs Arizona+10.071.0W 45 - 38OY
Sat 9/7 Hawai'i vs Oregon State-6.577.0W 31 - 28UN
Sat 9/14 Hawai'i at Washington+21.560.0L 20 - 52ON
Sat 9/21 Hawai'i vs Central Arkansas-16.566.5W 35 - 16UY
Sat 9/28 Hawai'i at Nevada+2.064.0W 54 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Hawai'i at Boise State+11.560.5L 37 - 59ON
Sat 10/19 Hawai'i vs Air Force+4.566.5L 26 - 56ON
Sat 10/26 Hawai'i at New Mexico-10.070.5W 45 - 31OY
Sat 11/2 Hawai'i vs Fresno State-2.069.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/9 Hawai'i vs San José State-7.578.5W 42 - 40ON
Sat 11/16 Hawai'i at UNLV-6.572.5W 21 - 7UY
Sat 11/23 Hawai'i vs San Diego State-1.047.0W 14 - 11UY
Sat 11/30 Hawai'i vs Army-2.555.0W 52 - 31OY
Sat 12/7 Hawai'i at Boise State+14.065.0L 10 - 31UN
Tue 12/24 Hawai'i vs BYU+3.065.5W 38 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.246%29.846%3.0128445%1313.71.1840%30.335%46%3.7843.41.31.2
HAW.2146%2944%3.1910946%3104.2445%24.143%45%3.8552.61.50.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1229.832.246.4%3.711.3224152841314.879%20%46%45%11%.2
HAW Defense1424.11744.8%3.850.7 - - - - - 56%43%43%45%14%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1230.332.840.4%3.781.2 - - - - - 53%46%35%46%13%.18
HAW Offense14293146.1%41.5224191093103.739%59%44%46%18%.21

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1234:132241%62%4.543.41.31.24.31327.8
Hawai'i1429:0021.633%58%5.952.61.50.74.92.1127.8
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1279%46%59.4283.74.833.133.0178%8%0.94
HAW Defense1456%43% - - - - .152.9469%9%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1253%35% - - - - .022.469%9%1.06
HAW Offense1439%44%29.7108.93.711.063.1976%10%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1220%45%7.814131.39.417105.491.925%31%.363%2
HAW Defense1443%45% - - - - - - 4.391.731%32%.355%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1246%46% - - - - - - 7.381.836%34%.344%2.1
HAW Offense1459%46%22.938.9310.3813.64312.331.632%31%.288%2

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2019 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1  #25
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #17
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #53

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Hawai'i: 1.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 12.1   Hawai'i: -1.9




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: 1.55 NR
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: NR
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Hawai'i's 2019 Expected Record: -
Hawai'i's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #69
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #27
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #113

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Air Force's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 31
Air Force 26

Projected Total Points: 57
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Hawai'i's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Air Force35Hawai'i44Air Force -7Hawai'i52.5Over
202311/11Hawai'i27Air Force13Air Force -22.5Hawai'i47.5Under
201910/19Hawai'i26Air Force56Air Force -4.5Air Force66.5Over
201610/22Air Force27Hawai'i34Air Force -17.5Hawai'i58.0Over
201510/31Hawai'i7Air Force58Air Force -7.5Air Force50.0Over
201211/16Air Force21Hawai'i7
200111/24Hawai'i52Air Force30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i434 Overs
Air Force321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 41 - 40 - 21 - 2
Road Teams4 - 34 - 12 - 12 - 0

(#) AFA at (#) HAW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFAHAW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #69
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #131 #123
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffHAW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #113
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffHAW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffHAW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Hawai'i on Offense
CategoryCatHAW OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Hawai'i Run Game
CategoryCat
HAW OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Hawai'i Pass Game
CategoryCatHAW OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aloha Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Air Force 4.5 (66.5)
Air Force won at Hawai'i this year (56-26)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Air Force last year (44-35)
Hawai'i beat Air Force in 2023 (27-13)

  
AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

HAW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD