App State at Louisiana - 2019 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Wednesday, October 9th 2019 (8:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana -2.5 (69.5)
App State 17 - Louisiana: 7 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

APP coming off BYE
ULL coming off BYE
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ APP -1.5)
Projected Score: APP: 26 - ULL: 31 (57)
ULL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 727 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Ragin' Cajuns (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	App State vs East Tennessee State	-33.0	51.5	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	App State vs Charlotte	-23.0	54.0	W 56 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	App State at North Carolina	+1.5	58.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/28	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-14.5	58.0	W 56 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9	App State at Louisiana	+2.5	69.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/19	App State vs UL Monroe	-16.5	65.5	W 52 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	App State at South Alabama	-27.5	51.0	W 30 - 3	U	N
Thu 10/31	App State vs Georgia Southern	-15.0	44.5	L 21 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/9	App State at South Carolina	+6.5	51.0	W 20 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/16	App State at Georgia State	-15.0	61.0	W 56 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/23	App State vs Texas State	-28.0	51.0	W 35 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/29	App State at Troy	-11.0	64.0	W 48 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/7	App State vs Louisiana	-6.0	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 12/21	App State vs UAB	-17.5	48.0	W 31 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Louisiana's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana vs Mississippi State	+19.0	61.5	L 28 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Louisiana vs Liberty	-14.0	65.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Louisiana vs Texas Southern	-47.0	75.0	W 77 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Louisiana at Ohio	+3.0	68.5	W 45 - 25	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Louisiana at Georgia Southern	-3.0	56.0	W 37 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9	Louisiana vs App State	-2.5	69.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Thu 10/17	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-6.0	69.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Louisiana vs Texas State	-23.0	55.0	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Thu 11/7	Louisiana at Coastal Carolina	-14.0	58.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana at South Alabama	-27.5	52.5	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/23	Louisiana vs Troy	-13.0	74.5	W 53 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-19.5	71.0	W 31 - 30	U	N
Sat 12/7	Louisiana at App State	+6.0	57.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Mon 1/6	Louisiana vs Miami (OH)	-15.5	55.5	W 27 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.25	43%	24.2	40%	2.92	240	46%	191	4.13		37%	29.8	36%	34%	2.55	57.5	1.3	1.8
ULL	.26	44%	26	44%	3.17	219	42%	206	3.99	.29	47%	29.2	47%	44%	4.2	44	1.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	13	24.2	21.6	43.5%	4.13	1.3	20	430	240	191	5.8	59%	40%	40%	46%	14%	.25
ULL Defense	14	29.2	27.2	46.7%	4.2	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	60%	38%	47%	44%	12%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	13	29.8	37.4	36.9%	2.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	36%	34%	18%
ULL Offense	14	26	30.3	44.4%	3.99	1.2	20	424	219	206	5.5	57%	41%	44%	42%	16%	.26

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	13	30:35	20.3	42%	59%	6.2	57.5	1.3	1.8	6.5	2.2	5	31.1
Louisiana	14	28:33	19.7	47%	42%	4.9	44	1.2	1.1	4.5	1.9	0	30.9

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	13	59%	40%	41.5	239.8	5.8	31	.2	2.92	75%	8%	1.25
ULL Defense	14	60%	47%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.22	78%	7%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.8	56%	11%	0.97
ULL Offense	14	57%	44%	39.5	218.7	5.5	31	.22	3.17	71%	11%	1.17

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	13	40%	46%	15.1	24.5	190.6	7.8	12.6	27	12	.35	1.7	32%	34%	.48	6%	2.2
ULL Defense	14	38%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.4	1.7	30%	35%	.37	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	13	46%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	-.03	1.4	35%	32%	.17	7%	1.6
ULL Offense	14	41%	42%	15.7	24.9	205.6	8.3	13.1	27	14	.35	1.8	30%	37%	.46	5%	2

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2019 Expected Record: -
App State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #27
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #31
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: Louisiana: 7.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 11.3 Louisiana: 9.6

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 7.3 NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana's 2019 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #32
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #15
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2019 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 31
App State 26

Projected Total Points: 57

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Louisiana	34	App State	24	Louisiana -10	Push	64.0	Under
2021	10/12	Louisiana	41	App State	13	Appalachian State -4.5	Louisiana	57.5	Under
2021	12/04	Louisiana	24	App State	16	Appalachian State -2.5	Louisiana	52.5	Under
2020	12/04	App State	21	Louisiana	24	Appalachian State -3	Louisiana	51.0	Under
2019	10/09	Louisiana	7	App State	17	Louisiana -2.5	App State	69.5	Under
2019	12/07	App State	45	Louisiana	38	Appalachian State -6.0	App State	57.5	Over
2018	12/01	App State	30	Louisiana	19	Appalachian State -17.5	Louisiana	54.0	Under
2018	10/20	App State	27	Louisiana	17	Appalachian State -25	Louisiana	65.0	Under
2017	12/02	App State	63	Louisiana	14	Appalachian State -14	App State	58.0	Over
2016	10/12	Louisiana	0	App State	24	Appalachian State -10.5	App State	50.0	Under
2015	11/28	App State	28	Louisiana	7	Appalachian State -22	Louisiana	59.0	Under
2014	11/22	Louisiana	16	App State	35	Louisiana -8	App State	62.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	4	6	2 Overs
App State	8	5	10 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	4 - 7	2 - 6	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 8	7 - 4	1 - 2	6 - 2

(#) APP at (#) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	ULL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#32
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#109	#92
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

App State Injury Report

Louisiana Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#15	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 15
App State -6.0 (57.5)
App State won at Louisiana this year (45-38)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat App State in 2024 (34-24)

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD