Toledo at Colorado State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 21st 2019 (10:15 PM EDT)
Toledo -6 (67.5)
Toledo 41 - Colorado State: 35

Rockets (6 - 6) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ CSU -10)
Projected Score: TOL: 27 - CSU: 17 (44)
TOL Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
TOL Travel: 1118 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Rams (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TOL Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Toledo's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Toledo at Kentucky	+9.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Toledo vs Murray State	-36.5	70.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Toledo at Colorado State	-6.0	67.5	W 41 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/28	Toledo vs BYU	+1.5	63.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Toledo vs Western Michigan	-1.5	74.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Toledo at Bowling Green	-26.5	65.0	L 7 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/19	Toledo at Ball State	+3.5	58.5	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/26	Toledo vs Eastern Michigan	-2.5	52.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Toledo vs Kent State	-5.5	62.5	W 35 - 33	O	N
Wed 11/13	Toledo vs Northern Illinois	-2.5	54.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Wed 11/20	Toledo at Buffalo	+9.5	55.0	L 30 - 49	O	N
Fri 11/29	Toledo at Central Michigan	+14.5	64.0	L 7 - 49	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Colorado State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Colorado State vs Colorado	+12.0	55.0	L 31 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/7	Colorado State vs Western Illinois	-12.0	57.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Colorado State at Arkansas	+9.0	63.5	L 34 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/21	Colorado State vs Toledo	+6.0	67.5	L 35 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Colorado State at Utah State	+24.0	69.0	L 24 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Colorado State vs San Diego State	+7.5	49.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/11	Colorado State at New Mexico	-4.0	66.5	W 35 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Colorado State at Fresno State	+13.5	57.0	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Colorado State vs UNLV	-7.5	63.5	W 37 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Colorado State vs Air Force	+11.0	63.5	L 21 - 38	U	N
Fri 11/22	Colorado State at Wyoming	+5.5	50.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/29	Colorado State vs Boise State	+13.5	56.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL	.22	46%	30.8	49%	3.44	216	41%	228	3.91	.22	45%	13.3	46%	43%	4.11	70.1	1.4	1.6
CSU	.15	42%	18.5	36%	2.56	106	45%	305	3.23	.26	50%	30.8	50%	46%	4.13	68.6	1.8	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Offense	13	30.8	17.3	46.1%	3.91	1.4	23	444	216	228	5.3	53%	45%	49%	41%	16%	.22
CSU Defense	12	30.8	27.1	49.9%	4.13	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	50%	46%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Defense	13	13.3	16.7	44.9%	4.11	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	46%	43%	18%	.22
CSU Offense	12	18.5	19.9	41.6%	3.23	1.8	23	411	106	305	3.2	40%	58%	36%	45%	17%	.15

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Toledo	13	29:19	23.1	37%	45%	7.5	70.1	1.4	1.6	6.9	2.5	6	34.6
Colorado State	12	30:30	22.8	43%	53%	7.8	68.6	1.8	0.9	5.1	1.3	1	27.2

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Offense	13	53%	49%	41	216.1	5.3	30	.25	3.44	74%	10%	1.05
CSU Defense	12	57%	50%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.41	75%	9%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Defense	13	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.22	2.99	64%	12%	1.08
CSU Offense	12	40%	36%	32.7	105.6	3.2	8	-	2.56	69%	9%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Offense	13	45%	41%	16.9	30.3	227.9	7.5	13.5	32	11	.21	1.6	31%	34%	.26	6%	1.8
CSU Defense	12	41%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.38	1.7	28%	35%	.41	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Defense	13	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.22	1.5	29%	34%	.41	7%	2
CSU Offense	12	58%	45%	25.3	41.8	304.9	7.3	12.1	26	16	.27	1.5	34%	31%	.16	9%	1.7

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2019 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #114
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #83
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #121

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: Colorado State: 0.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -13.7 Colorado State: -3.9

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: 0.55 NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #78
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #79
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #78

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 27
Colorado State 17

Projected Total Points: 44

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/18	Toledo	6	Colorado State	22	Toledo -14.5	Colorado State	59.0	Under
2019	09/21	Colorado State	35	Toledo	41	Toledo -6	NA	67.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	1	1	1 Overs
Toledo	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) TOL at (#) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TOL	CSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#78
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#81	#79
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Toledo Injury Report

Colorado State Injury Report

Toledo on Offense


CategoryCat	TOL Off	CSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Toledo Run Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Toledo Pass Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	TOL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	TOL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	TOL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Toledo 6.0 (67.5)
Toledo won at Colorado State this year (41-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TOL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD