New Mexico at Liberty - 2019 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Saturday, September 28th 2019 (6:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -7.5 (72.0)
Liberty 17 - New Mexico: 10

 
Lobos (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 37 (12 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB 3rd straight Home Game
LIB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ LIB -14)
Projected Score: UNM: 22 - LIB: 42 (64)
LIB Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UNM Travel: 1533 miles, 2 hrs behind
Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (37 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 New Mexico vs Sam Houston-6.562.5W 39 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 New Mexico at Notre Dame+34.564.0L 14 - 66ON
Sat 9/21 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-4.069.0W 55 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 New Mexico at Liberty+7.572.0L 10 - 17UY
Fri 10/4 New Mexico at San José State+6.570.0L 21 - 32UN
Fri 10/11 New Mexico vs Colorado State+4.066.5L 21 - 35UN
Sat 10/19 New Mexico at Wyoming+17.549.0L 10 - 23UY
Sat 10/26 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+10.070.5L 31 - 45ON
Sat 11/2 New Mexico at Nevada+3.558.0L 10 - 21UN
Sat 11/9 New Mexico vs Air Force+21.056.5
Sat 11/16 New Mexico at Boise State+27.559.0L 9 - 42UN
Sat 11/23 New Mexico vs Air Force+24.056.5L 22 - 44OY
Sat 11/30 New Mexico vs Utah State+12.063.0L 25 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Liberty's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Syracuse+19.569.0L 0 - 24UN
Sat 9/7 Liberty at Louisiana+14.065.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs Buffalo+6.055.0W 35 - 17UY
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs Hampton-25.558.0W 62 - 27OY
Sat 9/28 Liberty vs New Mexico-7.572.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/5 Liberty at New Mexico State-4.562.5W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Liberty vs Maine-22
Sat 10/26 Liberty at Rutgers-7.544.0L 34 - 44ON
Sat 11/2 Liberty at Massachusetts-23.572.0W 63 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Liberty at BYU+17.061.0L 24 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Liberty at Virginia+16.558.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 11/30 Liberty vs New Mexico State-14.568.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 12/21 Liberty vs Georgia Southern+5.059.0W 23 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM.0940%22.342%3.0920535%1953.13.2744%37.244%43%3.9560.82.21.3
LIB.2747%32.848%3.0415045%2894.06.1843%28.143%42%3.4661.61.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1222.312.339.9%3.132.2204002051954.957%42%42%35%18%.09
LIB Defense1328.12543.4%3.461.7 - - - - - 54%44%43%42%20%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1237.233.543.8%3.951.3 - - - - - 49%50%44%43%16%.27
LIB Offense1332.83747.4%4.061.2224391502894.544%55%48%45%18%.27

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1229:4820.437%38%6.860.82.21.36.22.6126.7
Liberty1327:5222.240%31%6.861.61.21.78.73.5226.7
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1257%42%41.8205.34.920.123.0977%11%1.01
LIB Defense1354%43% - - - - .113.0467%13%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1249%44% - - - - .152.8779%10%0.94
LIB Offense1344%48%33.5150.54.525.133.0478%10%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1242%35%13.627.61957.114.41315.031.734%29%.137%1.9
LIB Defense1344%42% - - - - - - 12.281.734%38%.396%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 4.391.831%33%.426%2.2
LIB Offense1355%45%19.834.8288.98.314.6298.391.630%32%.318%1.9

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2019 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0  #119
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #107
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #123

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico:    Liberty: 1.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -17.0   Liberty: -2.6




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 1.2 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2019 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #74
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #62
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.3
Defense: 37.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.5

New Mexico's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 42
New Mexico 22

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 48
New Mexico 22

Total Points: 70

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 35
New Mexico 22

Total Points: 57
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25

Liberty's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/28Liberty17New Mexico10Liberty -7.5New Mexico72.0Under
201809/29New Mexico43Liberty52New Mexico -7Liberty65.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty211 Overs
New Mexico011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 12 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) UNM at (#) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNMLIB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #118 #134
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCat
UNM OffLIB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #86
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCatLIB OffUNM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #123
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCatLIB OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 83°
Rematch from Week 5
Liberty -7.5 (72.0)
Liberty won vs New Mexico this year (17-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD