Liberty at Massachusetts - 2019 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo   Liberty Flames at Massachusetts Minutemen  Massachusetts logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -23.5 (72.0)
Liberty 63 - Massachusetts: 21

 
Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB 2nd straight Road Game
UMASS 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -13.5  (SP+ LIB -32)
Projected Score: LIB: 30 - UMASS: 19 (49)
LIB Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
LIB Travel: 494 miles
Minutemen (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 35 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Syracuse+19.569.0L 0 - 24UN
Sat 9/7 Liberty at Louisiana+14.065.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs Buffalo+6.055.0W 35 - 17UY
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs Hampton-25.558.0W 62 - 27OY
Sat 9/28 Liberty vs New Mexico-7.572.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/5 Liberty at New Mexico State-4.562.5W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Liberty vs Maine-22
Sat 10/26 Liberty at Rutgers-7.544.0L 34 - 44ON
Sat 11/2 Liberty at Massachusetts-23.572.0W 63 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Liberty at BYU+17.061.0L 24 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Liberty at Virginia+16.558.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 11/30 Liberty vs New Mexico State-14.568.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 12/21 Liberty vs Georgia Southern+5.059.0W 23 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Massachusetts at Rutgers+17.054.0L 21 - 48ON
Sat 9/7 Massachusetts vs Southern Illinois-6.579.5L 20 - 45UN
Sat 9/14 Massachusetts at Charlotte+20.566.5L 17 - 52ON
Sat 9/21 Massachusetts vs Coastal Carolina+17.061.5L 28 - 62ON
Sat 9/28 Massachusetts vs Akron+7.560.5W 37 - 29OY
Sat 10/5 Massachusetts at Florida International+28.070.5L 0 - 44UN
Sat 10/12 Massachusetts at Louisiana Tech+31.564.5L 21 - 69ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Massachusetts vs UConn+9.562.0L 35 - 56ON
Sat 11/2 Massachusetts vs Liberty+23.572.0L 21 - 63ON
Sat 11/9 Massachusetts at Army+35.061.0L 7 - 63ON
Sat 11/16 Massachusetts at Northwestern+39.557.5L 6 - 45UY
Sat 11/23 Massachusetts vs BYU+41.569.0L 24 - 56OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.1542%25.643%2.7916241%2624.18.2147%26.551%41%438.221.8
UMASS.2145%11.145%2.9414044%2983.9.2850%38.651%46%4.4948.521.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1225.619.742.3%4.18223423162262449%51%43%41%16%.15
UMASS Defense1238.634.750.2%4.491.7 - - - - - 63%35%51%46%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1226.525.746.7%41.8 - - - - - 49%49%51%41%15%.21
UMASS Offense1211.112.845%3.92224381402984.144%54%45%44%19%.21

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1229:3023.142%60%4.338.221.85.12.2229.6
Massachusetts1227:2121.737%48%5.748.521.75.30.9329.4
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1249%43%40.7161.9430.082.7976%8%0.91
UMASS Defense1263%51% - - - - .233.0571%9%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1249%51% - - - - .233.2765%9%1
UMASS Offense1244%45%34.1139.54.122.112.9465%12%1

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1251%41%20.437.3261.5712.82118.231.731%35%.368%2
UMASS Defense1235%46% - - - - - - 12.41.828%41%.514%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1249%41% - - - - - - 12.211.631%33%.266%1.8
UMASS Offense1254%44%21.834.32988.713.72710.321.731%34%.377%2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2019 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #74
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #62
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Massachusetts: -14.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -2.6   Massachusetts: -34.6




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -14.8 NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Massachusetts's 2019 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -34.6  #130
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #126
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 49.3  #130

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 30
Massachusetts 19

Projected Total Points: 49
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Massachusetts's 2019 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Massachusetts34Liberty35Liberty -17Massachusetts53.0Over
202311/18Liberty49Massachusetts25Liberty -26.5Massachusetts64.5Over
202210/08Massachusetts24Liberty42Liberty -22.5Massachusetts45.5Over
202110/30Liberty62Massachusetts17Liberty -35.5Liberty56.0Over
202011/27Liberty45Massachusetts0Liberty -35Liberty57.5Under
201911/02Massachusetts21Liberty63Liberty -23.5Liberty72.0Over
201811/03Massachusetts62Liberty59Liberty -1.5Massachusetts66.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts146 Overs
Liberty631 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 35 - 22 - 13 - 1
Road Teams3 - 42 - 51 - 31 - 2

(#) LIB at (#) UMASS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBUMASS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #74 #130
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #134 #107
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffUMASS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #130
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCatUMASS OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #126 #86
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCatUMASS OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Liberty 23.5 (72.0)
Liberty won at Massachusetts this year (63-21)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2024 (35-34)
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2023 (49-25)

  
LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UMASS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD