Liberty at Virginia - 2019 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo   Liberty Flames at Virginia Cavaliers  Virginia logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2019 (12:00 PM EST)
Virginia -16.5 (58.0)
Virginia 55 - Liberty: 27

 
Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB coming off BYE
UVA coming off BYE
Our Line: -7  (SP+ UVA -9)

Projected Score: LIB: 21 - UVA: 30 (51)
UVA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
LIB Travel: 59 miles
Cavaliers (9 - 5) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Syracuse+19.569.0L 0 - 24UN
Sat 9/7 Liberty at Louisiana+14.065.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs Buffalo+6.055.0W 35 - 17UY
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs Hampton-25.558.0W 62 - 27OY
Sat 9/28 Liberty vs New Mexico-7.572.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/5 Liberty at New Mexico State-4.562.5W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Liberty vs Maine-22
Sat 10/26 Liberty at Rutgers-7.544.0L 34 - 44ON
Sat 11/2 Liberty at Massachusetts-23.572.0W 63 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Liberty at BYU+17.061.0L 24 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Liberty at Virginia+16.558.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 11/30 Liberty vs New Mexico State-14.568.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 12/21 Liberty vs Georgia Southern+5.059.0W 23 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Virginia's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia at Pittsburgh-2.546.5W 30 - 14UY
Fri 9/6 Virginia vs William & Mary-32.552.5W 52 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Florida State-7.054.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 9/21 Virginia vs Old Dominion-27.047.5W 28 - 17UN
Sat 9/28 Virginia at Notre Dame+10.546.5L 20 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Virginia at Miami+2.544.5L 9 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Virginia vs Duke-3.545.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia at Louisville-4.551.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/2 Virginia at North Carolina-1.048.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-16.045.5W 33 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs Liberty-16.558.0W 55 - 27OY
Fri 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+1.548.0W 39 - 30OY
Sat 12/7 Virginia vs Clemson+29.056.5L 17 - 62ON
Mon 12/30 Virginia vs Florida+16.055.5L 28 - 36OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.1542%25.643%2.7916241%2624.18.2147%26.551%41%438.221.8
UVA.246%30.845%3.2617345%2123.76.1239%19.639%36%3.0440.71.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1225.619.742.3%4.18223423162262449%51%43%41%16%.15
UVA Defense1319.617.738.8%3.041.6 - - - - - 52%46%39%36%19%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1226.525.746.7%41.8 - - - - - 49%49%51%41%15%.21
UVA Offense1330.836.445.9%3.761.4213841732124.552%46%45%45%15%.2

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1229:3023.142%60%4.338.221.85.12.2229.6
Virginia1334:4821.249%62%4.540.71.41.64.71.8132.6
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1249%43%40.7161.9430.082.7976%8%0.91
UVA Defense1352%39% - - - - .112.8667%9%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1249%51% - - - - .233.2765%9%1
UVA Offense1352%45%38.2172.74.519.173.2682%11%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1251%41%20.437.3261.5712.82118.231.731%35%.368%2
UVA Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 17.141.634%30%.2410%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1249%41% - - - - - - 12.211.631%33%.266%1.8
UVA Offense1346%45%17.527.5211.57.712.1269.281.528%29%.295%1.7

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2019 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #74
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #62
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Virginia: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -2.6   Virginia: 6.3




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 5.65 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2019 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3  #43
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #47
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 30
Liberty 21


Projected Total Points: 51
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2019 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201911/23Virginia55Liberty27Virginia -16.5Virginia58.0Over
201811/10Virginia45Liberty24Virginia -24Liberty58.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia212 Overs
Liberty010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) LIB at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #74 #43
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #134 #59
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #86
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Virginia -16.5 (58.0)
Virginia won vs Liberty this year (55-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD