Virginia at Louisville - 2019 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo   Virginia Cavaliers at Louisville Cardinals  Louisville logo
Saturday, October 26th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Virginia -4.5 (51.0)
Louisville 28 - Virginia: 21  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (9 - 5) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LOU 2nd straight Home Game
LOU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ UVA -6)
Projected Score: UVA: 25 - LOU: 27 (52)
UVA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 394 miles
Cardinals (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia at Pittsburgh-2.546.5W 30 - 14UY
Fri 9/6 Virginia vs William & Mary-32.552.5W 52 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Florida State-7.054.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 9/21 Virginia vs Old Dominion-27.047.5W 28 - 17UN
Sat 9/28 Virginia at Notre Dame+10.546.5L 20 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Virginia at Miami+2.544.5L 9 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Virginia vs Duke-3.545.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia at Louisville-4.551.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/2 Virginia at North Carolina-1.048.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-16.045.5W 33 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs Liberty-16.558.0W 55 - 27OY
Fri 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+1.548.0W 39 - 30OY
Sat 12/7 Virginia vs Clemson+29.056.5L 17 - 62ON
Mon 12/30 Virginia vs Florida+16.055.5L 28 - 36OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Louisville's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/2 Louisville vs Notre Dame+19.055.0L 17 - 35UY
Sat 9/7 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-21.060.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Louisville vs Western Kentucky-10.549.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Louisville at Florida State+6.561.0L 24 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Louisville vs Boston College-3.561.0W 41 - 39ON
Sat 10/12 Louisville at Wake Forest+7.065.0W 62 - 59OY
Sat 10/19 Louisville vs Clemson+24.062.0L 10 - 45UN
Sat 10/26 Louisville vs Virginia+4.551.0W 28 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Louisville at Miami+6.549.0L 27 - 52ON
Sat 11/16 Louisville at NC State-4.552.0W 34 - 20OY
Sat 11/23 Louisville vs Syracuse-9.064.0W 56 - 34OY
Sat 11/30 Louisville at Kentucky+3.551.0L 13 - 45ON
Mon 12/30 Louisville vs Mississippi State+5.064.5W 38 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.246%30.845%3.2617345%2123.76.1239%19.639%36%3.0440.71.41.6
LOU.0841%29.943%2.6714237%2112.79.3252%21.253%48%4.4766.52.11.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1330.828.645.9%3.761.4213841732124.552%46%45%45%15%.2
LOU Defense1221.218.952.1%4.471.1 - - - - - 61%38%53%48%9%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1319.623.238.8%3.041.6 - - - - - 52%46%39%36%19%.12
LOU Offense1229.933.840.8%2.792.1173531422114.247%52%43%37%19%.08

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1334:4821.249%62%4.540.71.41.64.71.8132.6
Louisville1227:1617.137%36%7.666.52.11.13.40.9227.5
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1352%45%38.2172.74.519.173.2682%11%0.97
LOU Defense1261%53% - - - - .263.388%6%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1352%39% - - - - .112.8667%9%1.07
LOU Offense1247%43%33.6141.54.218.052.6761%14%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1346%45%17.527.5211.57.712.1269.281.528%29%.295%1.7
LOU Defense1238%48% - - - - - - 6.421.627%37%.443%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 17.141.634%30%.2410%1.7
LOU Offense1252%37%17.532.8211.16.512.11015.111.436%28%.186%1.8

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2019 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3  #43
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #47
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Louisville: 2.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 6.3   Louisville: 0.2




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 2.6 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2019 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2  #61
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #29
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2019 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 27
Virginia 25

Projected Total Points: 52
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Louisville27Virginia30Louisville -6.5Virginia59.5Under
202410/12Virginia20Louisville24Louisville -7Virginia54.0Under
202311/09Louisville31Virginia24Louisville -20.5Virginia49.5Over
202210/08Virginia17Louisville34Virginia -1.5Louisville47.5Over
202110/09Louisville33Virginia34Louisville -2.5Virginia69.5Under
202011/14Virginia31Louisville17Virginia -5.5Virginia64.5Under
201910/26Louisville28Virginia21Virginia -4.5Louisville51.0Under
201809/22Virginia27Louisville3Virginia -4.5Virginia51.5Under
201711/11Louisville38Virginia21Louisville -14Louisville66.5Under
201610/29Virginia25Louisville32Louisville -27Virginia69.5Under
201511/14Louisville38Virginia31Louisville -8.5Virginia48.0Over
201409/13Virginia23Louisville21Louisville -10Virginia0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville733 Overs
Virginia598 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 57 - 53 - 54 - 0
Road Teams5 - 75 - 70 - 45 - 3

(#) UVA at (#) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVALOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #61
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #59 #43
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffLOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCatLOU OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCatLOU OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Virginia 4.5 (51.0)
Louisville won vs Virginia this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Louisville last year (30-27)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2024 (24-20)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2023 (31-24)

  
UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LOU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD