Florida State at Virginia - 2019 Matchup Preview
Florida State logo   Florida State Seminoles at Virginia Cavaliers  Virginia logo
Saturday, September 14th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
Virginia -7 (54.5)
Virginia 31 - Florida State: 24  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (19 - 30 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ UVA -5)
Projected Score: FSU: 22 - UVA: 30 (52)
UVA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
FSU Travel: 620 miles
Cavaliers (9 - 5) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Florida State vs Boise State-6.555.0L 31 - 36ON
Sat 9/7 Florida State vs UL Monroe-22.565.5W 45 - 44ON
Sat 9/14 Florida State at Virginia+7.054.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 9/21 Florida State vs Louisville-6.561.0W 35 - 24UY
Sat 9/28 Florida State vs NC State-7.062.0W 31 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Florida State at Clemson+25.560.5L 14 - 45UN
Sat 10/19 Florida State at Wake Forest-3.069.0L 20 - 22UN
Sat 10/26 Florida State vs Syracuse-12.060.0W 35 - 17UY
Sat 11/2 Florida State vs Miami-3.050.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/9 Florida State at Boston College+1.064.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Florida State vs Alabama State-41.053.0W 49 - 12ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Florida State at Florida+16.555.0L 17 - 40ON
Tue 12/31 Florida State vs Arizona State+3.551.5L 14 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Virginia's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia at Pittsburgh-2.546.5W 30 - 14UY
Fri 9/6 Virginia vs William & Mary-32.552.5W 52 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Florida State-7.054.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 9/21 Virginia vs Old Dominion-27.047.5W 28 - 17UN
Sat 9/28 Virginia at Notre Dame+10.546.5L 20 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Virginia at Miami+2.544.5L 9 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Virginia vs Duke-3.545.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia at Louisville-4.551.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/2 Virginia at North Carolina-1.048.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-16.045.5W 33 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs Liberty-16.558.0W 55 - 27OY
Fri 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+1.548.0W 39 - 30OY
Sat 12/7 Virginia vs Clemson+29.056.5L 17 - 62ON
Mon 12/30 Virginia vs Florida+16.055.5L 28 - 36OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU.0935%3332%2.159135%2713.42.0841%2240%39%3.3770.32.21.3
UVA.246%30.845%3.2617345%2123.76.1239%19.639%36%3.0440.71.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense123318.634.6%3.422.217362912712.844%55%32%35%20%.09
UVA Defense1319.617.738.8%3.041.6 - - - - - 52%46%39%36%19%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense122230.240.6%3.371.3 - - - - - 47%51%40%39%16%.08
UVA Offense1330.836.445.9%3.761.4213841732124.552%46%45%45%15%.2

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1227:3517.329%50%970.32.21.35.72.3226
Virginia1334:4821.249%62%4.540.71.41.64.71.8132.6
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1244%32%32.7912.811-.082.1566%14%0.9
UVA Defense1352%39% - - - - .112.8667%9%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1247%40% - - - - .022.7459%9%0.9
UVA Offense1352%45%38.2172.74.519.173.2682%11%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1255%35%21.737.9270.67.112.52013.251.839%27%.246%2
UVA Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 17.141.634%30%.2410%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1251%39% - - - - - - 12.181.634%31%.247%1.8
UVA Offense1346%45%17.527.5211.57.712.1269.281.528%29%.295%1.7

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #57
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #48
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State:    Virginia: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 1.8   Virginia: 6.3




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 5.65 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2019 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3  #43
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #47
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 30
Florida State 22

Projected Total Points: 52
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2019 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/26Virginia46Florida State38Florida State -7Virginia59.5Over
201909/14Virginia31Florida State24Virginia -7Push54.5Over
201411/08Florida State34Virginia20Florida State -21.5Virginia0
201111/19Florida State13Virginia14
201010/02Virginia14Florida State34
200611/04Florida State33Virginia0
200510/15Virginia26Florida State21
200410/16Florida State36Virginia3
200310/18Virginia14Florida State19
200208/31Florida State40Virginia19
200110/20Virginia7Florida State43
200010/20Florida State37Virginia3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia422 Overs
Florida State800 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 41 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams4 - 81 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#) FSU at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFSUUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #57 #43
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #8 #59
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCat
FSU OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffFSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Virginia -7.0 (54.5)
Virginia won vs Florida State this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Florida State last year (46-38)

  
FSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD