Florida State at Virginia - 2019 Matchup Preview

(#10)Florida State Seminoles at Virginia Cavaliers

Saturday, September 14th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
Virginia -7 (54.5)
Virginia 31 - Florida State: 24 (ACC)

Seminoles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UVA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ UVA -5)
Projected Score: FSU: 21 - UVA: 32 (53)
UVA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
FSU Travel: 620 miles

Cavaliers (9 - 5) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Florida State vs Boise State	-6.5	55.0	L 31 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/7	Florida State vs UL Monroe	-22.5	65.5	W 45 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/14	Florida State at Virginia	+7.0	54.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Florida State vs Louisville	-6.5	61.0	W 35 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Florida State vs NC State	-7.0	62.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Florida State at Clemson	+25.5	60.5	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/19	Florida State at Wake Forest	-3.0	69.0	L 20 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/26	Florida State vs Syracuse	-12.0	60.0	W 35 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Florida State vs Miami	-3.0	50.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/9	Florida State at Boston College	+1.0	64.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Florida State vs Alabama State	-41.0	53.0	W 49 - 12	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Florida State at Florida	+16.5	55.0	L 17 - 40	O	N
Tue 12/31	Florida State vs Arizona State	+3.5	51.5	L 14 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Virginia's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Virginia at Pittsburgh	-2.5	46.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/6	Virginia vs William & Mary	-32.5	52.5	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Virginia vs Florida State	-7.0	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/21	Virginia vs Old Dominion	-27.0	47.5	W 28 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/28	Virginia at Notre Dame	+10.5	46.5	L 20 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Virginia at Miami	+2.5	44.5	L 9 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/19	Virginia vs Duke	-3.5	45.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Virginia at Louisville	-4.5	51.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/2	Virginia at North Carolina	-1.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	-16.0	45.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Virginia vs Liberty	-16.5	58.0	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	+1.5	48.0	W 39 - 30	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Virginia vs Clemson	+29.0	56.5	L 17 - 62	O	N
Mon 12/30	Virginia vs Florida	+16.0	55.5	L 28 - 36	O	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	.19	41%	27.9	40%	2.62	141	41%	268	3.7	.13	44%	27.8	44%	42%	3.3	73.3	1.6	1.9
UVA	.16	46%	32.1	44%	2.95	121	45%	268	3.93	.19	41%	27.1	43%	37%	3.58	43.7	1.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)		40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)		42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5
UVA	#102 (.13)	40% (103)		43% (77)	3.29 (25)	133	37% (113)	229	3.47 (106)	#116 (.27)	43% (80)		44% (77)	42% (77)	4.04 (94)	45.3	1.6	1.3

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	13	27.9	22.6	41.2%	3.7	1.6	20	408	141	268	3.8	48%	52%	40%	41%	23%	.19
UVA Defense	14	27.1	22.4	41%	3.58	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	43%	37%	22%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	13	27.8	33.8	44.4%	3.3	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	51%	44%	42%	18%	.13
UVA Offense	14	32.1	40.9	45.5%	3.93	1.5	21	389	121	268	3.8	40%	58%	44%	45%	21%	.16

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	13	26:15	20.4	35%	58%	9.2	73.3	1.6	1.9	6.5	3.2	1	27.2
Virginia	14	33:03	21.1	45%	56%	4.7	43.7	1.5	1.6	8.3	4.3	4	34.3

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	13	48%	40%	36.7	140.7	3.8	24	.07	2.62	60%	15%	1.1
UVA Defense	14	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	.2	2.94	77%	14%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	13	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.87	64%	10%	0.75
UVA Offense	14	40%	44%	31.6	121.2	3.8	28	.12	2.95	69%	12%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	13	52%	41%	21.5	33.2	267.6	8.1	12.5	24	13	.29	1.7	34%	30%	.34	8%	2
UVA Defense	14	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.18	1.7	36%	33%	.35	9%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.25	1.5	33%	36%	.32	8%	1.6
UVA Offense	14	58%	45%	24.1	37.1	267.7	7.2	11.1	23	15	.19	1.4	32%	32%	.2	9%	1.7

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #57
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: Virginia: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 1.8 Virginia: 6.3

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 5.65 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2019 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3 #43
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.8

Florida State's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia 32
Florida State 21

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 31
Florida State 17

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Virginia 34
Florida State 25

Total Points: 59

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.9
Defense: 27.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.4

Virginia's 2019 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/26	Virginia	46	Florida State	38	Florida State -7	Virginia	59.5	Over
2019	09/14	Virginia	31	Florida State	24	Virginia -7	Push	54.5	Over
2014	11/08	Florida State	34	Virginia	20	Florida State -21.5	Virginia	0
2011	11/19	Florida State	13	Virginia	14
2010	10/02	Virginia	14	Florida State	34
2006	11/04	Florida State	33	Virginia	0
2005	10/15	Virginia	26	Florida State	21
2004	10/16	Florida State	36	Virginia	3
2003	10/18	Virginia	14	Florida State	19
2002	08/31	Florida State	40	Virginia	19
2001	10/20	Virginia	7	Florida State	43
2000	10/20	Florida State	37	Virginia	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	4	2	2 Overs
Florida State	8	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 8	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#) FSU at (#) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FSU	UVA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#43
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#8	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida State Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	UVA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	FSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 75°

Rematch from Week 3
Virginia -7.0 (54.5)
Virginia won vs Florida State this year (31-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UVA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD