Duke at Middle Tennessee - 2019 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 14th 2019 (7:00 PM EDT)
Duke -6.5 (51.0)
Duke 41 - Middle Tennessee: 18

 
Blue Devils (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 29 (29 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ DUKE -9.5)
Projected Score: DUKE: 22 - MTSU: 31 (53)
DUKE Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
DUKE Travel: 416 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blue Raiders (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Duke vs Alabama+33.557.5L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/7 Duke vs North Carolina A&T-27.552.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 9/14 Duke at Middle Tennessee-6.551.0W 41 - 18OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27 Duke at Virginia Tech+2.551.5W 45 - 10OY
Sat 10/5 Duke vs Pittsburgh-3.548.5L 30 - 33ON
Sat 10/12 Duke vs Georgia Tech-17.547.5W 41 - 23OY
Sat 10/19 Duke at Virginia+3.545.0L 14 - 48ON
Sat 10/26 Duke at North Carolina+2.552.5L 17 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Duke vs Notre Dame+7.050.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/16 Duke vs Syracuse-9.049.5L 6 - 49ON
Sat 11/23 Duke at Wake Forest+6.550.0L 27 - 39ON
Sat 11/30 Duke vs Miami+9.544.0W 27 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Middle Tennessee at Michigan+36.056.5L 21 - 40OY
Sat 9/7 Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State-25.556.5W 45 - 26ON
Sat 9/14 Middle Tennessee vs Duke+6.551.0L 18 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Iowa+23.551.0L 3 - 48UN
Sat 10/5 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall+5.053.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 10/12 Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic+12.063.5L 13 - 28UN
Sat 10/19 Middle Tennessee at North Texas+7.059.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 10/26 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+1.058.5W 50 - 17OY
Sat 11/2 Middle Tennessee at Charlotte-5.065.0L 20 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Middle Tennessee vs Rice-13.046.5L 28 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 Middle Tennessee vs Old Dominion-13.547.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/30 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+10.546.0L 26 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.0638%25.339%2.7315035%1793.96.1539%29.240%35%3.6145.32.42
MTSU.2344%26.345%3.0717441%2353.61.247%29.947%44%3.6742.61.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1225.328.838.3%3.962.4193301501793.649%49%39%35%21%.06
MTSU Defense1229.924.247.2%3.672.1 - - - - - 49%48%47%44%20%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1229.22739%3.612 - - - - - 52%46%40%35%20%.15
MTSU Offense1226.333.844%3.611.2214081742355.150%49%45%41%20%.23

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1229:0118.733%61%5.345.32.427.22.9331.1
Middle Tennessee1226:4520.635%53%4.842.61.22.18.41.3126.5
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1249%39%41.3150.33.616.042.7365%12%0.91
MTSU Defense1249%47% - - - - .143.0465%13%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1252%40% - - - - .132.7168%12%1.06
MTSU Offense1250%45%33.8173.85.118.153.0774%12%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1249%35%17.831.5179.35.710.11814.081.536%29%.179%1.7
MTSU Defense1248%44% - - - - - - 8.291.529%33%.197%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1246%35% - - - - - - 9.181.835%32%.218%1.7
MTSU Offense1249%41%18.830.4234.67.712.5229.331.731%35%.349%1.7

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2019 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8  #68
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7  #112
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Middle Tennessee: -3.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -1.8   Middle Tennessee: -11.3




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -3.15 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2019 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3  #110
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #74
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #117

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Duke's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 31
Duke 22

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 34
Duke 16

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 29
Duke 27

Total Points: 56
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Middle Tennessee's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Middle Tennessee17Duke45Duke -14.5Duke51.0Over
201909/14Middle Tennessee18Duke41Duke -6.5Duke51.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee002 Overs
Duke220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0

(#) DUKE at (#) MTSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEMTSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #110
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #44 #96
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffMTSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatMTSU OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #74 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatMTSU OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 90° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Duke 6.5 (51.0)
Duke won at Middle Tennessee this year (41-18)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Middle Tennessee last year (45-17)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MTSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MTSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD