Duke at Alabama - 2019 Matchup Preview

Duke Blue Devils vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Saturday, August 31st 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -33.5 (57.5)
Alabama 42 - Duke: 3

Blue Devils (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -17 (SP+ ALA -34)
Projected Score: DUKE: 26 - ALA: 32 (58)
ALA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 46%
DUKE Travel: 346 miles

Crimson Tide (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
DUKE Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Duke's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Duke vs Alabama	+33.5	57.5	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/7	Duke vs North Carolina A&T	-27.5	52.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Duke at Middle Tennessee	-6.5	51.0	W 41 - 18	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27	Duke at Virginia Tech	+2.5	51.5	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Duke vs Pittsburgh	-3.5	48.5	L 30 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/12	Duke vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	47.5	W 41 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Duke at Virginia	+3.5	45.0	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/26	Duke at North Carolina	+2.5	52.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Duke vs Notre Dame	+7.0	50.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/16	Duke vs Syracuse	-9.0	49.5	L 6 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	Duke at Wake Forest	+6.5	50.0	L 27 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/30	Duke vs Miami	+9.5	44.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Alabama's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Alabama vs Duke	-33.5	57.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Alabama vs New Mexico State	-54.5	65.0	W 62 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/14	Alabama at South Carolina	-25.5	59.5	W 47 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/21	Alabama vs Southern Miss	-36.5	63.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-37.5	62.5	W 59 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Alabama at Texas A&M	-17.0	61.0	W 47 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Alabama vs Tennessee	-35.0	62.0	W 35 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/26	Alabama vs Arkansas	-32.0	56.0	W 48 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Alabama vs LSU	-5.0	65.5	L 41 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/16	Alabama at Mississippi State	-19.0	61.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Alabama vs Western Carolina	-58.5	61.5	W 66 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Alabama at Auburn	-3.5	51.0	L 45 - 48	O	N
Wed 1/1	Alabama vs Michigan	-8.5	62.0	W 35 - 16	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE	.15	43%	34.6	44%	2.93	160	41%	246	3.71	.16	40%	29.4	42%	36%	3.59	34.8	1.5	1
ALA	.44	57%	29.5	57%	3.64	198	55%	324	4.54	.08	35%	19.2	33%	36%	2.87	53.1	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Offense	13	34.6	37	42.7%	3.71	1.5	21	406	160	246	4.3	45%	54%	44%	41%	17%	.15
ALA Defense	15	19.2	11.4	35.4%	2.87	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	33%	36%	20%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Defense	13	29.4	27.5	39.8%	3.59	1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	42%	36%	15%	.16
ALA Offense	15	29.5	39.3	56.7%	4.54	1.1	25	522	198	324	5.2	49%	49%	57%	55%	11%	.44

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Duke	13	27:42	20.5	42%	43%	4.2	34.8	1.5	1	6	1.8	1	32.2
Alabama	15	30:27	24.8	52%	44%	5.7	53.1	1.1	1.3	7	2.9	6	31.3

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense	13	45%	44%	36.9	159.6	4.3	19	.13	2.93	73%	10%	0.96
ALA Defense	15	44%	33%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.5	66%	12%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense	13	53%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	3	75%	10%	1.1
ALA Offense	15	49%	57%	38.1	198.3	5.2	33	.28	3.64	79%	7%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense	13	54%	41%	21.4	36.6	246.1	6.7	11.5	31	10	.17	1.5	33%	32%	.3	7%	1.9
ALA Defense	15	54%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.16	1.7	40%	31%	.36	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense	13	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.13	1.7	35%	32%	.35	4%	2
ALA Offense	15	49%	55%	20.1	29.2	323.6	11.1	16.1	52	8	.62	1.8	25%	46%	.73	4%	2.1

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2019 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #68
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #112
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: Alabama: 16.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -1.8 Alabama: 32.4

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 16.2 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2019 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.4 #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.7 #2
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Duke's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 32
Duke 26

Projected Total Points: 58

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	08/31	Alabama	42	Duke	3	Alabama -33.5	Alabama	57.5	Under
2010	09/18	Duke	13	Alabama	62
2006	10/07	Alabama	30	Duke	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	3	1	0 Overs
Duke	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) DUKE at (#) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	DUKE	ALA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#68	#3
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#44	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Duke Injury Report

Alabama Injury Report

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	ALA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#3
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	ALA Off	DUKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#2	#36
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Alabama -33.5 (57.5)
Alabama won vs Duke this year (42-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

DUKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ALA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD