Middle Tennessee at North Texas - 2019 Matchup Preview
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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at North Texas Mean Green

North Texas logo
Saturday, October 19th 2019 (4:00 PM EDT)
North Texas -7 (59.5)
North Texas 33 - Middle Tennessee: 30  (Conference USA)

 
Blue Raiders (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 29 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ UNT -5)
Projected Score: MTSU: 23 - UNT: 38 (61)
UNT Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 641 miles
Mean Green (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Middle Tennessee at Michigan+36.056.5L 21 - 40OY
Sat 9/7 Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State-25.556.5W 45 - 26ON
Sat 9/14 Middle Tennessee vs Duke+6.551.0L 18 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Iowa+23.551.0L 3 - 48UN
Sat 10/5 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall+5.053.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 10/12 Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic+12.063.5L 13 - 28UN
Sat 10/19 Middle Tennessee at North Texas+7.059.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 10/26 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+1.058.5W 50 - 17OY
Sat 11/2 Middle Tennessee at Charlotte-5.065.0L 20 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Middle Tennessee vs Rice-13.046.5L 28 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 Middle Tennessee vs Old Dominion-13.547.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/30 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+10.546.0L 26 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
North Texas's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-23.058.5W 51 - 31ON
Sat 9/7 North Texas at SMU+3.572.5L 27 - 49ON
Sat 9/14 North Texas at California+14.550.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 9/21 North Texas vs UTSA-17.557.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/28 North Texas vs Houston-7.559.0L 25 - 46ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 North Texas at Southern Miss+3.058.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/19 North Texas vs Middle Tennessee-7.059.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 10/26 North Texas at Charlotte-4.064.0L 38 - 39ON
Sat 11/2 North Texas vs UTEP-22.558.0W 52 - 26OY
Sat 11/9 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+5.571.5L 17 - 52UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 North Texas at Rice-6.555.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 11/30 North Texas vs UAB+3.550.0L 21 - 26UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.1342%22.441%2.7812940%2603.33.1340%30.941%38%3.2950.91.41.6
UNT.1945%45.143%2.6715445%3073.87.0940%26.540%37%3.1149.51.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1422.420.841.6%3.331.4213891292603.644%54%41%40%16%.13
UNT Defense1326.52239.9%3.111.7 - - - - - 44%54%40%37%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1430.929.340.5%3.291.6 - - - - - 52%47%41%38%18%.13
UNT Offense1345.145.745.1%3.871.3254601543074.343%55%43%45%16%.19

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1430:2620.838%53%5.450.91.41.66.62.6531.9
North Texas1331:1324.637%42%4.449.51.31.77.52.6431.3
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1444%41%35.8128.83.615.052.7867%11%0.93
UNT Defense1344%40% - - - - .042.4869%12%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1452%41% - - - - .122.8672%11%0.99
UNT Offense1343%43%35.4153.54.328.052.6760%11%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1454%40%23.934.6259.97.510.92911.221.634%34%.295%1.8
UNT Defense1354%37% - - - - - - 18.151.734%30%.237%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1447%38% - - - - - - 16.151.734%32%.327%2
UNT Offense1355%45%24.738.8306.87.912.4289.331.631%35%.365%1.9

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2019 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3  #110
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #74
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #117

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    North Texas: -0.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -11.3   North Texas: -6.1




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -0.55 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2019 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1  #93
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #85
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #91

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Middle Tennessee's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 38
Middle Tennessee 23

Projected Total Points: 61
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202010/17Middle Tennessee35North Texas52Middle Tennessee -3.5North Texas70.5Over
201910/19North Texas33Middle Tennessee30North Texas -7Middle Tennessee59.5Over
201610/01North Texas13Middle Tennessee30Middle Tennessee -16Middle Tennessee65.0Under
201511/21Middle Tennessee41North Texas7Middle Tennessee -24Middle Tennessee63.0Under
201310/12North Texas34Middle Tennessee7North Texas -4.5North Texas0
201210/27Middle Tennessee38North Texas21
201112/03North Texas59Middle Tennessee7
201011/13Middle Tennessee17North Texas23
200909/26North Texas21Middle Tennessee37
200811/22Middle Tennessee52North Texas13
200710/27North Texas28Middle Tennessee48
200609/30North Texas0Middle Tennessee35
200509/10Middle Tennessee7North Texas14
200410/02North Texas30Middle Tennessee21
200310/25Middle Tennessee28North Texas33
200110/13North Texas24Middle Tennessee21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas922 Overs
Middle Tennessee732 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 82 - 32 - 20 - 1
Road Teams8 - 83 - 21 - 02 - 2

(#) MTSU at (#) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #93
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #96 #105
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #74 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Texas on Offense
CategoryCatUNT OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatUNT OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
North Texas -7.0 (59.5)
North Texas won vs Middle Tennessee this year (33-30)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MTSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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MTSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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UNT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD