California at Ole Miss - 2019 Matchup Preview
California logo California Golden Bears at Ole Miss Rebels(#13)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, September 21st 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -3 (43.0)
California 28 - Ole Miss: 20

 
Golden Bears (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (18 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS 3rd straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 4th straight game
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ MISS -6)
Projected Score: CAL: 23 - MISS: 23 (46)
MISS Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CAL Travel: 1833 miles, 2 hrs behind
Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 27 (31 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 California vs UC Davis-15.548.0W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/7 California at Washington+13.542.5W 20 - 19UY
Sat 9/14 California vs North Texas-14.550.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 9/21 California at Ole Miss+3.043.0W 28 - 20OY
Fri 9/27 California vs Arizona State-4.042.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/5 California at Oregon+21.546.5L 7 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 California vs Oregon State-10.051.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 California at Utah+21.036.5L 0 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 California vs Washington State+8.551.5W 33 - 20OY
Sat 11/16 California vs USC+4.547.5L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/23 California at Stanford-1.041.5W 24 - 20OY
Sat 11/30 California at UCLA-1.050.5W 28 - 18UY
Mon 12/30 California vs Illinois-6.047.5W 35 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ole Miss at Memphis+3.063.5L 10 - 15UN
Sat 9/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-5.050.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Ole Miss vs SE Louisiana-30.553.0W 40 - 29ON
Sat 9/21 Ole Miss vs California-3.043.0L 20 - 28ON
Sat 9/28 Ole Miss at Alabama+37.562.5L 31 - 59OY
Sat 10/5 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-6.563.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 10/12 Ole Miss at Missouri+12.055.5L 27 - 38OY
Sat 10/19 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M+6.054.5L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Ole Miss at Auburn+17.053.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 11/9 Ole Miss vs New Mexico State-28.564.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 11/16 Ole Miss vs LSU+21.066.0L 37 - 58OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State+1.059.0L 20 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.1439%21.241%2.8213235%1973.62.1143%21.943%40%3.1941.811.5
MISS.1642%26.643%2.7225139%1943.13.245%26.544%43%3.0948.81.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1321.217.839.3%3.621193291321973.652%47%41%35%19%.14
MISS Defense1226.523.644.8%3.091.7 - - - - - 46%53%44%43%21%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1321.921.542.8%3.191.5 - - - - - 43%55%43%40%20%.11
MISS Offense1226.63142%3.131.2234452511945.459%40%43%39%22%.16

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1329:0118.838%38%4.841.811.58.13.2026.5
Ole Miss1228:1322.637%55%4.948.81.21.794.3127.5
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1352%41%36.5131.53.616.12.8264%13%0.99
MISS Defense1246%44% - - - - .113.1174%14%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1343%43% - - - - .082.9971%13%0.84
MISS Offense1259%43%46.62515.429.12.7274%11%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1347%35%15.728.1197712.6199.181.834%35%.387%1.9
MISS Defense1253%43% - - - - - - 10.31.632%36%.457%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1355%40% - - - - - - 8.151.533%34%.328%1.7
MISS Offense1240%39%15.527.6194712.5115.291.832%32%.2411%1.8

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2019 Expected Record: -
California's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #74
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #94
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #45

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
California:    Ole Miss: 3.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: -2.6   Ole Miss: 2.9




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 3.95 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2019 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9  #52
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #67
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #41

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


California Scoring
Offense: 21.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.5

California's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
California 23
Ole Miss 23

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
California 24
Ole Miss 21

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 25
California 22

Total Points: 47
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.6

Ole Miss's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/21Ole Miss20California28Ole Miss -3California43.0Over
201709/16California27Ole Miss16Ole Miss -7California69.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss001 Overs
California221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#) CAL at (#) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #74 #52
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #50 #25
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCat
CAL OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #94 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
California Pass Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCatMISS OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffCAL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatMISS OffCAL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Ole Miss -3.0 (43.0)
California won at Ole Miss this year (28-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CAL's OC ()
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CAL's DC ()
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MISS's OC ()
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MISS's DC ()
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