LSU at Ole Miss - 2019 Matchup Preview
LSU logo   LSU Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels  Ole Miss logo
Saturday, November 16th 2019 (7:00 PM EST)
LSU -21 (66.0)
LSU 58 - Ole Miss: 37  (SEC)

 
Tigers (15 - 0) (10 - 3 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LSU 2nd straight Road Game
MISS 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ LSU -30)

Projected Score: LSU: 19 - MISS: 29 (48)
LSU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
LSU Travel: 289 miles
Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 LSU vs Georgia Southern-27.051.0W 55 - 3OY
Sat 9/7 LSU at Texas-6.557.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 9/14 LSU vs Northwestern State-51.568.0W 65 - 14ON
Sat 9/21 LSU at Vanderbilt-24.062.5W 66 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 LSU vs Utah State-27.072.5W 42 - 6UY
Sat 10/12 LSU vs Florida-14.055.5W 42 - 28ON
Sat 10/19 LSU at Mississippi State-17.562.0W 36 - 13UY
Sat 10/26 LSU vs Auburn-11.559.5W 23 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 LSU at Alabama+5.065.5W 46 - 41OY
Sat 11/16 LSU at Ole Miss-21.066.0W 58 - 37ON
Sat 11/23 LSU vs Arkansas-42.069.5W 56 - 20ON
Sat 11/30 LSU vs Texas A&M-17.063.0W 50 - 7UY
Sat 12/7 LSU vs Georgia-7.057.0W 37 - 10UY
Sat 12/28 LSU vs Oklahoma-13.075.0W 63 - 28OY
Mon 1/13 LSU vs Clemson-5.067.0W 42 - 25UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ole Miss at Memphis+3.063.5L 10 - 15UN
Sat 9/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-5.050.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Ole Miss vs SE Louisiana-30.553.0W 40 - 29ON
Sat 9/21 Ole Miss vs California-3.043.0L 20 - 28ON
Sat 9/28 Ole Miss at Alabama+37.562.5L 31 - 59OY
Sat 10/5 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-6.563.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 10/12 Ole Miss at Missouri+12.055.5L 27 - 38OY
Sat 10/19 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M+6.054.5L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Ole Miss at Auburn+17.053.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 11/9 Ole Miss vs New Mexico State-28.564.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 11/16 Ole Miss vs LSU+21.066.0L 37 - 58OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State+1.059.0L 20 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU.1543%22.842%2.917440%2283.72.0739%19.844%33%2.936111.9
MISS.3151%36.951%3.1416448%3463.84.2148%21.150%43%3.7166.91.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1322.816.442.9%3.72123402174228454%43%42%40%16%.15
MISS Defense1221.115.647.8%3.711.3 - - - - - 53%45%50%43%17%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1319.820.439.2%2.931.9 - - - - - 45%53%44%33%19%.07
MISS Offense1236.93950.7%3.841.2245111643464.742%55%51%48%17%.31

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1331:4922.740%75%6.46111.96.22.5130.6
Ole Miss1226:202435%53%7.366.91.21.37.21.9225.9
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1354%42%43.3173.7429.12.972%10%0.92
MISS Defense1253%50% - - - - .193.2275%11%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1345%44% - - - - .083.0268%10%0.85
MISS Offense1242%51%34.8164.34.724.23.1473%9%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1343%40%17.229.8228.47.713.3175.241.634%35%.236%1.4
MISS Defense1245%43% - - - - - - 7.261.630%33%.36%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1353%33% - - - - - - 17.071.636%30%.229%1.8
MISS Offense1255%48%23.536.7346.49.514.7219.421.629%40%.48%1.7

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2019 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 33.1  #2
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 48.9  #1
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU:    Ole Miss: 3.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 33.1   Ole Miss: 2.9




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 3.95 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2019 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9  #52
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #67
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #41

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2019 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 2
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 29
LSU 19


Projected Total Points: 48
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Ole Miss24LSU19Ole Miss -2.5Ole Miss57.5Under
202410/12LSU29Ole Miss26Ole Miss -3.5LSU64.5Under
202309/30Ole Miss55LSU49LSU -3Ole Miss67.0Over
202210/22LSU45Ole Miss20Ole Miss -0.0LSU64.0Over
202110/23Ole Miss31LSU17Ole Miss -9.0Ole Miss76.5Under
202012/19LSU53Ole Miss48Ole Miss -0.0LSU74.5Over
201911/16Ole Miss37LSU58LSU -21NA66.0Over
201809/29LSU45Ole Miss16LSU -10.5LSU61.0Push
201710/21Ole Miss24LSU40LSU -6.5LSU59.0Over
201610/22LSU38Ole Miss21LSU -4.5LSU59.0Push
201511/21Ole Miss38LSU17Ole Miss -4.5Ole Miss58.5Under
201410/25LSU10Ole Miss7Ole Miss -3LSU0
201310/19Ole Miss27LSU24LSU -8Ole Miss0
201211/17LSU41Ole Miss35
201111/19Ole Miss3LSU52
201011/20LSU43Ole Miss36
200911/21Ole Miss25LSU23
200811/22LSU13Ole Miss31
200711/17Ole Miss24LSU41
200611/18LSU23Ole Miss20
200511/19Ole Miss7LSU40
200411/20LSU27Ole Miss24
200311/22Ole Miss14LSU17
200110/27LSU24Ole Miss35
200011/10Ole Miss9LSU20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss855 Overs
LSU1774 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 911 - 17 - 04 - 1
Road Teams9 - 161 - 111 - 40 - 7

(#) LSU at (#) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLSUMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #52
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #5 #25
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCat
LSU OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCatMISS OffLSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatMISS OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
LSU 21.0 (66.0)
LSU won at Ole Miss this year (58-37)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat LSU last year (24-19)
LSU beat Ole Miss in 2024 (29-26)
Ole Miss beat LSU in 2023 (55-49)

  
LSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MISS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD