Ole Miss at Missouri - 2019 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 12th 2019 (7:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -12 (55.5)
Missouri 38 - Ole Miss: 27 (SEC)

Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ MIZ -5)
Projected Score: MISS: 28 - MIZ: 30 (58)
MIZ Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
MISS Travel: 352 miles

Tigers (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ole Miss at Memphis	+3.0	63.5	L 10 - 15	U	N
Sat 9/7	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-5.0	50.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Ole Miss vs SE Louisiana	-30.5	53.0	W 40 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/21	Ole Miss vs California	-3.0	43.0	L 20 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/28	Ole Miss at Alabama	+37.5	62.5	L 31 - 59	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-6.5	63.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Ole Miss at Missouri	+12.0	55.5	L 27 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	+6.0	54.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Ole Miss at Auburn	+17.0	53.5	L 14 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Ole Miss vs New Mexico State	-28.5	64.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Ole Miss vs LSU	+21.0	66.0	L 37 - 58	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	+1.0	59.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Missouri's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Missouri at Wyoming	-16.5	53.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/7	Missouri vs West Virginia	-13.5	62.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Missouri vs Southeast Missouri State	-34.0	68.5	W 50 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Missouri vs South Carolina	-9.5	61.0	W 34 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Missouri vs Troy	-25.5	65.0	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Missouri vs Ole Miss	-12.0	55.5	W 38 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/19	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-21.0	56.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/26	Missouri at Kentucky	-10.0	43.5	L 7 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Missouri at Georgia	+18.5	48.0	L 0 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/16	Missouri vs Florida	+7.0	51.0	L 6 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/23	Missouri vs Tennessee	-3.0	47.0	L 20 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/29	Missouri at Arkansas	-15.0	53.0	W 24 - 14	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.31	51%	36.9	51%	3.14	164	48%	346	3.84	.21	48%	21.1	50%	43%	3.71	66.9	1.2	1.3
MIZ	.25	50%	30.2	51%	3.08	202	47%	279	3.97	.13	41%	18.9	39%	41%	3.12	61.5	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	12	36.9	34.3	50.7%	3.84	1.2	24	511	164	346	4.7	42%	55%	51%	48%	17%	.31
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	20.6	41.2%	3.12	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	39%	41%	15%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	12	21.1	27.8	47.8%	3.71	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	50%	43%	17%	.21
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	39.5	50%	3.97	1.2	25	482	202	279	4.8	51%	46%	51%	47%	12%	.25

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	12	26:20	24	35%	53%	7.3	66.9	1.2	1.3	7.2	1.9	2	25.9
Missouri	13	30:36	24.5	46%	53%	6.9	61.5	1.2	1.2	5.8	2.1	1	30

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	12	42%	51%	34.8	164.3	4.7	24	.2	3.14	73%	9%	0.97
MIZ Defense	13	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.63	49%	10%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	12	53%	50%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.22	75%	11%	0.94
MIZ Offense	13	51%	51%	42.5	202.4	4.8	27	.13	3.08	75%	6%	0.77

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	12	55%	48%	23.5	36.7	346.4	9.5	14.7	21	9	.42	1.6	29%	40%	.4	8%	1.7
MIZ Defense	13	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.28	1.7	33%	34%	.29	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	12	45%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.26	1.6	30%	33%	.3	6%	1.8
MIZ Offense	13	46%	47%	21.6	34.7	279.4	8.1	12.9	28	8	.43	1.6	28%	41%	.35	5%	1.6

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2019 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #52
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #67
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #41

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: Missouri: 6.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 2.9 Missouri: 7.8

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 6.4 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2019 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #39
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #89
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 30
Ole Miss 28

Projected Total Points: 58

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	10/12	Missouri	38	Ole Miss	27	Missouri -12	Ole Miss	55.5	Over
2013	11/23	Ole Miss	10	Missouri	24	Missouri -2	Missouri	0
2007	09/08	Ole Miss	25	Missouri	38
2006	09/09	Missouri	34	Ole Miss	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	4	1	1 Overs
Ole Miss	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#) MISS at (#) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#39
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#25	#39
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ole Miss Injury Report

Missouri Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Missouri -12.0 (55.5)
Missouri won vs Ole Miss this year (38-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MISS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIZ's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD