Ole Miss at Auburn - 2019 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo   Ole Miss Rebels at Auburn Tigers  Auburn logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2019 (7:00 PM EDT)
Auburn -17 (53.5)
Auburn 20 - Ole Miss: 14  (SEC)

 
Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS coming off BYE
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ AUB -18)

Projected Score: MISS: 27 - AUB: 26 (53)
AUB Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
MISS Travel: 263 miles
Tigers (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ole Miss at Memphis+3.063.5L 10 - 15UN
Sat 9/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-5.050.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Ole Miss vs SE Louisiana-30.553.0W 40 - 29ON
Sat 9/21 Ole Miss vs California-3.043.0L 20 - 28ON
Sat 9/28 Ole Miss at Alabama+37.562.5L 31 - 59OY
Sat 10/5 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-6.563.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 10/12 Ole Miss at Missouri+12.055.5L 27 - 38OY
Sat 10/19 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M+6.054.5L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Ole Miss at Auburn+17.053.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 11/9 Ole Miss vs New Mexico State-28.564.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 11/16 Ole Miss vs LSU+21.066.0L 37 - 58OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State+1.059.0L 20 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Auburn's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Auburn vs Oregon-4.055.0W 27 - 21UY
Sat 9/7 Auburn vs Tulane-15.051.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 9/14 Auburn vs Kent State-36.054.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/21 Auburn at Texas A&M+4.048.5W 28 - 20UY
Sat 9/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-7.547.0W 56 - 23OY
Sat 10/5 Auburn at Florida-2.548.5L 13 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Auburn at Arkansas-20.556.0W 51 - 10OY
Sat 10/26 Auburn at LSU+11.559.5L 20 - 23UY
Sat 11/2 Auburn vs Ole Miss-17.053.5W 20 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Auburn vs Georgia+3.042.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/23 Auburn vs Samford-45.564.0W 52 - 0UY
Sat 11/30 Auburn vs Alabama+3.551.0W 48 - 45OY
Wed 1/1 Auburn vs Minnesota-7.054.0L 24 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.3151%36.951%3.1416448%3463.84.2148%21.150%43%3.7166.91.21.3
AUB.1743%26.844%2.9116741%2223.42.0838%20.738%35%2.4850.111.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1236.934.350.7%3.841.2245111643464.742%55%51%48%17%.31
AUB Defense1320.716.438.2%2.481.7 - - - - - 48%49%38%35%19%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1221.127.847.8%3.711.3 - - - - - 53%45%50%43%17%.21
AUB Offense1326.826.443.5%3.421193901672224.348%50%44%41%14%.17

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1226:202435%53%7.366.91.21.37.21.9225.9
Auburn1325:5719.137%50%5.650.111.76.92.8532.1
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1242%51%34.8164.34.724.23.1473%9%0.97
AUB Defense1348%38% - - - - .012.7564%12%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1253%50% - - - - .193.2275%11%0.94
AUB Offense1348%44%39.4167.54.325.072.9166%10%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1255%48%23.536.7346.49.514.7219.421.629%40%.48%1.7
AUB Defense1349%35% - - - - - - 14.151.838%32%.237%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1245%43% - - - - - - 7.261.630%33%.36%1.8
AUB Offense1350%41%17.929.4222.57.612.4215.281.629%32%.325%1.9

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2019 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9  #52
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #67
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #41

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Auburn: 13

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 2.9   Auburn: 21.0




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 13 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2019 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.0  #9
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #34
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9  #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 27
Auburn 26


Projected Total Points: 53
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2019 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Auburn21Ole Miss28Ole Miss -6.5Ole Miss55.5Under
202210/15Ole Miss48Auburn34Ole Miss -15.5Auburn55.5Over
202110/30Auburn31Ole Miss20Auburn -3Auburn67.5Under
202010/24Ole Miss28Auburn35Auburn -3.5Auburn74.0Under
201911/02Auburn20Ole Miss14Auburn -17Ole Miss53.5Under
201810/20Ole Miss16Auburn31Auburn -5Auburn64.0Under
201710/07Auburn44Ole Miss23Auburn -21.5Ole Miss55.5Over
201610/29Ole Miss29Auburn40Auburn -2Auburn65.5Over
201510/31Auburn19Ole Miss27Ole Miss -6Ole Miss57.5Under
201411/01Ole Miss31Auburn35Ole Miss -3Auburn0
201310/05Auburn30Ole Miss22Ole Miss -2Auburn0
201210/13Ole Miss41Auburn20
201110/29Auburn41Ole Miss23
201010/30Ole Miss31Auburn51
200910/31Auburn33Ole Miss20
200811/01Ole Miss17Auburn7
200710/27Auburn17Ole Miss3
200610/28Ole Miss17Auburn23
200510/29Auburn27Ole Miss3
200410/30Ole Miss14Auburn35
200311/08Auburn20Ole Miss24
200211/02Ole Miss24Auburn31
200109/08Auburn27Ole Miss21
200009/08Ole Miss27Auburn35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn1873 Overs
Ole Miss646 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 122 - 91 - 41 - 5
Road Teams12 - 129 - 25 - 14 - 1

(#) MISS at (#) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #52 #9
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #25 #12
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Auburn -17.0 (53.5)
Auburn won vs Ole Miss this year (20-14)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2023 (28-21)

  
MISS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MISS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AUB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AUB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD