North Texas at California - 2019 Matchup Preview

North Texas Mean Green at California Golden Bears

Saturday, September 14th 2019 (4:15 PM EDT)
California -14.5 (50.5)
California 23 - North Texas: 17

Mean Green (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNT 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ CAL -4)
Projected Score: UNT: 35 - CAL: 27 (62)
CAL Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
UNT Travel: 1442 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Golden Bears (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
CAL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	North Texas vs Abilene Christian	-23.0	58.5	W 51 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/7	North Texas at SMU	+3.5	72.5	L 27 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/14	North Texas at California	+14.5	50.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/21	North Texas vs UTSA	-17.5	57.0	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/28	North Texas vs Houston	-7.5	59.0	L 25 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	North Texas at Southern Miss	+3.0	58.5	L 27 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/19	North Texas vs Middle Tennessee	-7.0	59.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/26	North Texas at Charlotte	-4.0	64.0	L 38 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/2	North Texas vs UTEP	-22.5	58.0	W 52 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/9	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+5.5	71.5	L 17 - 52	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	North Texas at Rice	-6.5	55.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/30	North Texas vs UAB	+3.5	50.0	L 21 - 26	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

California's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	California vs UC Davis	-15.5	48.0	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/7	California at Washington	+13.5	42.5	W 20 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/14	California vs North Texas	-14.5	50.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/21	California at Ole Miss	+3.0	43.0	W 28 - 20	O	Y
Fri 9/27	California vs Arizona State	-4.0	42.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/5	California at Oregon	+21.5	46.5	L 7 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	California vs Oregon State	-10.0	51.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/26	California at Utah	+21.0	36.5	L 0 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	California vs Washington State	+8.5	51.5	W 33 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/16	California vs USC	+4.5	47.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/23	California at Stanford	-1.0	41.5	W 24 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/30	California at UCLA	-1.0	50.5	W 28 - 18	U	Y
Mon 12/30	California vs Illinois	-6.0	47.5	W 35 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.19	45%	45.1	43%	2.67	154	45%	307	3.87	.09	40%	26.5	40%	37%	3.11	49.5	1.3	1.7
CAL	.02	41%	25.3	42%	3.02	157	38%	185	2.73	.01	38%	27.2	41%	34%	3	50.6	2.2	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	13	45.1	43.7	45.1%	3.87	1.3	25	460	154	307	4.3	43%	55%	43%	45%	16%	.19
CAL Defense	13	27.2	24.3	38.3%	3	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	41%	34%	15%	.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	13	26.5	28.3	39.9%	3.11	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	40%	37%	19%	.09
CAL Offense	13	25.3	27.2	40.6%	2.73	2.2	19	342	157	185	4.2	50%	49%	42%	38%	18%	.02

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	13	31:13	24.6	37%	42%	4.4	49.5	1.3	1.7	7.5	2.6	4	31.3
California	13	29:52	19.1	36%	67%	5.6	50.6	2.2	2.2	4.8	1.9	6	30.7

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	13	43%	43%	35.4	153.5	4.3	28	.05	2.67	60%	11%	0.93
CAL Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.85	73%	9%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	13	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.48	69%	12%	0.96
CAL Offense	13	50%	42%	37.1	157.2	4.2	13	.02	3.02	70%	11%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	13	55%	45%	24.7	38.8	306.8	7.9	12.4	28	9	.33	1.6	31%	35%	.36	5%	1.9
CAL Defense	13	46%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	21	-.03	1.5	35%	28%	.09	7%	1.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.15	1.7	34%	30%	.23	7%	1.9
CAL Offense	13	49%	38%	19.2	31.8	184.7	5.8	9.6	16	20	.01	1.3	32%	30%	.22	7%	1.6

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2019 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #93
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #85
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #91

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: California: 1.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -6.1 California: -2.6

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 1.2 NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
California's 2019 Expected Record: -
California's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #74
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #94
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #45

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 35
California 27

Projected Total Points: 62

California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	North Texas	21	California	58	California -5	California	53.5	Over
2019	09/14	California	23	North Texas	17	California -14.5	North Texas	50.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
California	2	1	1 Overs
North Texas	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#) UNT at (#) CAL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	CAL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#74
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#105	#50
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Texas Injury Report

California Injury Report

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	CAL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	UNT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
California -14.5 (50.5)
California won vs North Texas this year (23-17)

Previous Matchups
California beat North Texas in 2023 (58-21)

UNT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CAL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD