Western Kentucky at Ball State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Ball State Cardinals

Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (3:00 PM EDT)
Ball State -3 (52.5)
Western Kentucky 28 - Ball State: 20

Hilltoppers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (17 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WKU 2nd straight Road Game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
WKU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ WKU -3)
Projected Score: WKU: 21 - BALL: 27 (48)
BALL Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WKU Travel: 230 miles, 1 hrs behind

Cardinals (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (32 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WKU Players
BALL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Western Kentucky at Wisconsin	+36.5	52.0	L 3 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Western Kentucky vs Maine	-10.0	50.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/15	Western Kentucky at Louisville	+24.5	53.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Western Kentucky at Ball State	+3.0	52.5	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Western Kentucky vs Marshall	+3.5	52.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Western Kentucky at Charlotte	-9.5	44.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/20	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	-4.0	55.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/27	Western Kentucky vs Florida International	+3.0	54.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/2	Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee	+13.5	53.0	L 10 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/10	Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic	+17.5	59.5	L 15 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/17	Western Kentucky vs UTEP	-6.5	47.5	W 40 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	+10.5	49.0	W 30 - 15	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Ball State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Ball State vs Central Connecticut	-19.5	61.5	W 42 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Ball State at Notre Dame	+34.0	60.5	L 16 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Ball State at Indiana	+15.5	61.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/22	Ball State vs Western Kentucky	-3.0	52.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/29	Ball State vs Kent State	-7.0	62.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	+3.0	52.5	L 16 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/13	Ball State at Central Michigan	+2.5	54.5	W 24 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	+2.5	45.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
Thu 10/25	Ball State at Ohio	+10.5	66.0	L 14 - 52	U	N
Wed 10/31	Ball State at Toledo	+19.5	64.0	L 13 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/13	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+10.0	58.0	W 42 - 41	O	Y
Tue 11/20	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+16.5	55.0	L 21 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	.1	41%	21.1	45%	2.92	137	36%	223	2.94	.13	46%	27.8	47%	41%	3.28	54.8	1.3	1.5
BALL	.17	44%	24.2	46%	3.17	156	41%	252	3.26	.23	50%	32.4	50%	49%	3.72	66.9	1.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)		38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)		48% (113)	40% (60)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	12	21.1	16.7	41%	2.94	1.3	19	360	137	223	3.7	46%	53%	45%	36%	17%	.1
BALL Defense	12	32.4	27.5	49.9%	3.72	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	50%	49%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	12	27.8	27.4	45.7%	3.28	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	49%	47%	41%	16%	.13
BALL Offense	12	24.2	32	44.1%	3.26	1.8	24	408	156	252	4.2	46%	53%	46%	41%	16%	.17

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	12	27:05	18.8	38%	39%	6.2	54.8	1.3	1.5	5.3	2.3	2	29.3
Ball State	12	27:53	23.6	43%	60%	6.8	66.9	1.8	1.4	5.5	1.7	0	27.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	12	46%	45%	36.7	136.7	3.7	15	.08	2.92	74%	10%	0.75
BALL Defense	12	57%	50%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.25	72%	9%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	12	48%	47%	-	-	-	-	.11	3	82%	9%	0.87
BALL Offense	12	46%	46%	37.3	155.7	4.2	20	.17	3.17	72%	9%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	12	53%	36%	20.9	35.6	223	6.3	10.7	15	10	.14	1.6	36%	30%	.24	7%	2
BALL Defense	12	42%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.24	1.4	28%	38%	.46	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	12	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.6	31%	31%	.18	8%	1.8
BALL Offense	12	53%	41%	24	39.7	251.9	6.4	10.5	17	12	.18	1.4	32%	36%	.37	6%	1.9

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2018 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #112
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #120
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #93

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: Ball State: -6.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -16.1 Ball State: -18.9

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -6.95 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.9 #119
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #110
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.2 #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 21.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.7
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Western Kentucky's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ball State 27
Western Kentucky 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Ball State 27
Western Kentucky 17

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Ball State 28
Western Kentucky 25

Total Points: 53

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 32.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.5

Ball State's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/22	Ball State	20	Western Kentucky	28	Ball State -3	Western Kentucky	52.5	Under
2017	09/23	Western Kentucky	33	Ball State	21	Western Kentucky -12.5	Ball State	50.5	Over
2008	10/11	Western Kentucky	7	Ball State	24
2007	10/13	Ball State	35	Western Kentucky	12

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ball State	2	1	1 Overs
Western Kentucky	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#) WKU at (#) BALL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WKU	BALL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#119
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#112	#109
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Ball State Injury Report

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	BALL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#120
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	WKU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 63° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Ball State -3.0 (52.5)
Western Kentucky won at Ball State this year (28-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WKU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BALL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD