Arizona at Oregon State - 2018 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo Arizona Wildcats at Oregon State BeaversOregon State logo
Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (4:00 PM EDT)
Arizona -4 (72.5)
Arizona 35 - Oregon State: 14  (Pac-12)

 
Wildcats (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
ARIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ ARIZ -19.5)

Projected Score: ARIZ: 35 - ORST: 35 (70)
ARIZ Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ARIZ Travel: 1080 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Beavers (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 46 (24 - 43 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Arizona vs BYU-10.060.5L 23 - 28UN
Sat 9/8 Arizona at Houston+3.071.0L 18 - 45UN
Sat 9/15 Arizona vs Southern Utah-26.570.5W 62 - 31OY
Sat 9/22 Arizona at Oregon State-4.072.5W 35 - 14UY
Sat 9/29 Arizona vs USC+3.561.0L 20 - 24UN
Sat 10/6 Arizona vs California+2.554.5W 24 - 17UY
Fri 10/12 Arizona at Utah+13.553.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 10/20 Arizona at UCLA+10.055.0L 30 - 31OY
Sat 10/27 Arizona vs Oregon+7.564.5W 44 - 15UY
Fri 11/2 Arizona vs Colorado-3.057.0W 42 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17 Arizona at Washington State+10.563.5L 28 - 69ON
Sat 11/24 Arizona vs Arizona State+1.566.0L 40 - 41OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Oregon State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Oregon State at Ohio State+40.062.0L 31 - 77ON
Sat 9/8 Oregon State vs Southern Utah-11.070.0W 48 - 25OY
Sat 9/15 Oregon State at Nevada+4.067.0L 35 - 37OY
Sat 9/22 Oregon State vs Arizona+4.072.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/29 Oregon State at Arizona State+21.564.0L 24 - 52ON
Sat 10/6 Oregon State vs Washington State+17.064.5L 37 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Oregon State vs California+8.558.0L 7 - 49UN
Sat 10/27 Oregon State at Colorado+26.559.5W 41 - 34OY
Sat 11/3 Oregon State vs USC+15.064.5L 21 - 38UN
Sat 11/10 Oregon State at Stanford+23.561.5L 17 - 48ON
Sat 11/17 Oregon State at Washington+32.557.5L 23 - 42OY
Fri 11/23 Oregon State vs Oregon+18.071.0L 15 - 55UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ.2343%31.341%3.1620242%2553.51.242%32.641%41%3.94711.61.3
ORST.1742%26.141%2.6515642%2493.42.454%45.757%50%4.6250.21.50.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)47% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)50% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1231.324.243.3%3.511.6224582022554.954%44%41%42%11%.23
ORST Defense1245.74354.2%4.620.7 - - - - - 55%44%57%50%11%.4
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1232.640.241.7%3.941.3 - - - - - 49%50%41%41%15%.2
ORST Offense1226.123.742.3%3.421.5224051562493.947%52%41%42%18%.17

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1226:002245%62%7.5711.61.35.91.9228.3
Oregon State1230:1021.936%70%5.650.21.50.74.51.3027
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1254%41%41.1202.44.914.133.1666%6%0.95
ORST Defense1255%57% - - - - .383.6481%7%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1249%41% - - - - .122.7869%10%1.08
ORST Offense1247%41%40.4155.73.923.092.6579%12%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1244%42%1832.4255.37.914.22910.371.831%35%.454%1.9
ORST Defense1244%50% - - - - - - 3.451.624%42%.614%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1250%41% - - - - - - 7.311.634%35%.426%1.9
ORST Offense1252%42%21.635.8249.2711.5179.261.636%31%.266%1.9

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arizona's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6  #57
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #43
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #73

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona:    Oregon State: -5.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 3.6   Oregon State: -16.0




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -5.5 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0  #111
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #73
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.4  #126

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Arizona's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 35
Oregon State 35


Total Points: 70

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon State 40
Arizona 34

Total Points: 73

Based on Entire Season
Arizona 36
Oregon State 31

Total Points: 67
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 45.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 43

Oregon State's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Arizona27Oregon State24Oregon State -3Arizona57.5Under
201911/02Arizona38Oregon State56Arizona -4.5Oregon State72.0Over
201809/22Oregon State14Arizona35Arizona -4Arizona72.5Under
201711/11Arizona49Oregon State28Arizona -21Push69.5Over
201611/19Oregon State42Arizona17Oregon State -5Oregon State61.5Under
201510/10Arizona44Oregon State7Arizona -12.5Arizona66.5Under
201209/29Arizona35Oregon State38
201110/08Oregon State37Arizona27
201010/09Arizona27Oregon State29
200909/26Oregon State32Arizona37
200811/22Arizona17Oregon State19
200710/06Oregon State31Arizona16
200610/21Arizona10Oregon State17
200510/29Oregon State27Arizona29
200410/30Arizona14Oregon State28
200311/01Oregon State52Arizona23
200211/02Oregon State38Arizona3
200110/13Oregon State38Arizona3
200011/10Arizona9Oregon State33
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State1322 Overs
Arizona634 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 103 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams10 - 92 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#) ARIZ at (#) ORST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARIZORST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #57 #111
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #50 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffORST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #126
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffORST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffORST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon State on Offense
CategoryCatORST OffARIZ Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #73
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon State Run Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffARIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon State Pass Game
CategoryCatORST OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 69° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Arizona 4.0 (72.5)
Arizona won at Oregon State this year (35-14)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Oregon State in 2023 (27-24)

  
ARIZ's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARIZ's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ORST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ORST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD