California at Oregon State - 2018 Matchup Preview
California logo California Golden Bears at Oregon State BeaversOregon State logo
Saturday, October 20th 2018 (4:00 PM EDT)
California -8.5 (58.0)
California 49 - Oregon State: 7  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (23 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORST coming off BYE
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ CAL -20)

Projected Score: CAL: 33 - ORST: 24 (57)
CAL Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
CAL Travel: 465 miles
Beavers (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 46 (24 - 43 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 California vs North Carolina-7.057.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 9/8 California at BYU+2.547.5W 21 - 18UY
Sat 9/15 California vs Idaho State-36.558.5W 45 - 23ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 California vs Oregon+2.058.5L 24 - 42ON
Sat 10/6 California at Arizona-2.554.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/13 California vs UCLA-6.553.5L 7 - 30UN
Sat 10/20 California at Oregon State-8.558.0W 49 - 7UY
Sat 10/27 California vs Washington+12.046.0W 12 - 10UY
Sat 11/3 California at Washington State+7.051.0L 13 - 19UY
Sat 11/10 California at USC+5.545.5W 15 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/24 California vs Colorado-10.544.5W 33 - 21OY
Sat 12/1 California vs Stanford+3.046.5L 13 - 23UN
Wed 12/26 California vs TCU-1.538.5L 7 - 10UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Oregon State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Oregon State at Ohio State+40.062.0L 31 - 77ON
Sat 9/8 Oregon State vs Southern Utah-11.070.0W 48 - 25OY
Sat 9/15 Oregon State at Nevada+4.067.0L 35 - 37OY
Sat 9/22 Oregon State vs Arizona+4.072.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/29 Oregon State at Arizona State+21.564.0L 24 - 52ON
Sat 10/6 Oregon State vs Washington State+17.064.5L 37 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Oregon State vs California+8.558.0L 7 - 49UN
Sat 10/27 Oregon State at Colorado+26.559.5W 41 - 34OY
Sat 11/3 Oregon State vs USC+15.064.5L 21 - 38UN
Sat 11/10 Oregon State at Stanford+23.561.5L 17 - 48ON
Sat 11/17 Oregon State at Washington+32.557.5L 23 - 42OY
Fri 11/23 Oregon State vs Oregon+18.071.0L 15 - 55UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.0241%21.542%3.0215738%1852.73.0138%19.841%34%350.62.22.2
ORST.1742%26.141%2.6515642%2493.42.454%45.757%50%4.6250.21.50.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)47% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)50% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1321.52340.6%2.732.2193421571854.250%49%42%38%18%.02
ORST Defense1245.74354.2%4.620.7 - - - - - 55%44%57%50%11%.4
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1319.816.438.3%32.2 - - - - - 52%46%41%34%15%.01
ORST Offense1226.123.742.3%3.421.5224051562493.947%52%41%42%18%.17

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1329:5219.136%67%5.650.62.22.24.81.9630.7
Oregon State1230:1021.936%70%5.650.21.50.74.51.3027
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1350%42%37.1157.24.213.023.0270%11%0.83
ORST Defense1255%57% - - - - .383.6481%7%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1352%41% - - - - .062.8573%9%0.84
ORST Offense1247%41%40.4155.73.923.092.6579%12%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1349%38%19.231.8184.75.89.61620.011.332%30%.227%1.6
ORST Defense1244%50% - - - - - - 3.451.624%42%.614%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1346%34% - - - - - - 21-.031.535%28%.097%1.4
ORST Offense1252%42%21.635.8249.2711.5179.261.636%31%.266%1.9

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2018 Expected Record: -
California's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9  #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3  #118
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6  #13

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
California:    Oregon State: -5.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 3.9   Oregon State: -16.0




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -5.5 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0  #111
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #73
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.4  #126

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


California Scoring
Offense: 21.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.4

California's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
California 33
Oregon State 24


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
California 33
Oregon State 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
California 34
Oregon State 22

Total Points: 56
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 45.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 43

Oregon State's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Oregon State15California34Oregon State -3California51.5Under
202410/26California44Oregon State7California -13.0California51.0Push
202310/07California40Oregon State52Oregon State -7.5Oregon State51.0Over
202211/12Oregon State38California10Oregon State -11.5Oregon State47.0Over
202110/30California39Oregon State25Oregon State -2.5California56.5Over
202011/21Oregon State31California27California -1.0Oregon State46.5Over
201910/19California17Oregon State21California -10Oregon State51.0Under
201810/20Oregon State7California49California -8.5California58.0Under
201711/04California37Oregon State23California -7California54.0Over
201610/08Oregon State47California44California -10Oregon State70.0Over
201511/14California54Oregon State24California -17.5California64.0Over
201411/01Oregon State31California45Oregon State -4.5California0
201310/19California17Oregon State49Oregon State -7.5Oregon State0
201211/17Oregon State62California14
201111/12California23Oregon State6
201010/30Oregon State35California7
200911/07California14Oregon State31
200811/15Oregon State34California21
200710/13California28Oregon State31
200609/30Oregon State13California41
200510/15California20Oregon State23
200410/02Oregon State7California49
200310/04California21Oregon State35
200210/26Oregon State24California13
200110/27Oregon State19California10
200011/03California32Oregon State38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State1667 Overs
California1073 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 137 - 64 - 33 - 3
Road Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 33 - 4

(#) CAL at (#) ORST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALORST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #111
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #45 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCat
CAL OffORST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #118 #126
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffORST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
California Pass Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffORST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon State on Offense
CategoryCatORST OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #13
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon State Run Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffCAL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon State Pass Game
CategoryCatORST OffCAL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 8
California 8.5 (58.0)
California won at Oregon State this year (49-7)

Previous Matchups
California beat Oregon State last year (44-7)
Oregon State beat California in 2023 (52-40)
Oregon State beat California in 2022 (38-10)

  
CAL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CAL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ORST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ORST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD