Arizona State at Oregon - 2018 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo Arizona State Sun Devils at Oregon Ducks(#8)Oregon logo
Saturday, November 17th 2018 (10:30 PM EST)
Oregon -3.5 (64.0)
Oregon 31 - Arizona State: 29  (Pac-12)

 
Sun Devils (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (28 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORE is playing their 6th straight game
ASU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ ORE -2)
Projected Score: ASU: 29 - ORE: 33 (62)
ORE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ASU Travel: 947 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Ducks (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (41 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Arizona State vs UTSA-17.053.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 9/8 Arizona State vs Michigan State+4.554.0W 16 - 13UY
Sat 9/15 Arizona State at San Diego State-4.548.5L 21 - 28ON
Sat 9/22 Arizona State at Washington+17.553.0L 20 - 27UY
Sat 9/29 Arizona State vs Oregon State-21.564.0W 52 - 24OY
Sat 10/6 Arizona State at Colorado+2.564.0L 21 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/18 Arizona State vs Stanford+2.057.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/27 Arizona State at USC+3.052.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/3 Arizona State vs Utah+7.554.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 11/10 Arizona State vs UCLA-11.564.5W 31 - 28UN
Sat 11/17 Arizona State at Oregon+3.564.0L 29 - 31UY
Sat 11/24 Arizona State at Arizona-1.566.0W 41 - 40ON
Sat 12/15 Arizona State vs Fresno State+6.054.0L 20 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Oregon's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Oregon vs Bowling Green-34.571.0W 58 - 24ON
Sat 9/8 Oregon vs Portland State-49.5
Sat 9/15 Oregon vs San José State-42.570.5W 35 - 22UN
Sat 9/22 Oregon vs Stanford+2.559.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/29 Oregon at California-2.058.5W 42 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Oregon vs Washington+3.559.0W 30 - 27UY
Sat 10/20 Oregon at Washington State+3.070.0L 20 - 34UN
Sat 10/27 Oregon at Arizona-7.564.5L 15 - 44UN
Sat 11/3 Oregon vs UCLA-10.559.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/10 Oregon at Utah+5.551.0L 25 - 32ON
Sat 11/17 Oregon vs Arizona State-3.564.0W 31 - 29UN
Fri 11/23 Oregon at Oregon State-18.071.0W 55 - 15UY
Mon 12/31 Oregon vs Michigan State+1.047.0W 7 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU.2245%29.946%2.9318442%2333.61.1847%25.546%45%3.4948.90.81.6
ORE.2345%34.847%3.118041%2484.45.1242%25.438%44%3.1547.91.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1329.928.345.4%3.610.8214171842334.853%45%46%42%15%.22
ORE Defense1325.42542.4%3.151.8 - - - - - 49%49%38%44%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1325.531.546.5%3.491.6 - - - - - 53%45%46%45%16%.18
ORE Offense1334.841.344.9%4.451.4214271802484.452%47%47%41%15%.23

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1329:2621.342%78%6.248.90.81.66.42.2228.4
Oregon1327:5421.543%61%547.91.41.84.52330.3
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1353%46%38.5184.14.826.172.9369%9%0.98
ORE Defense1349%38% - - - - .022.7870%8%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1353%46% - - - - .092.9375%11%0.88
ORE Offense1352%47%40.5179.64.427.143.181%8%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1345%42%18.930.4232.57.712.3207.311.630%37%.296%1.6
ORE Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 17.251.532%33%.158%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1345%45% - - - - - - 12.31.529%35%.36%1.6
ORE Offense1347%41%18.932.2247.87.713.1298.331.830%35%.467%2.1

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arizona State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0  #51
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #35
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #86

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State:    Oregon: 6.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 5.0   Oregon: 7.3




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 6.15 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2018 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.3  #41
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #31
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #50

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.3
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.5

Arizona State's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 33
Arizona State 29

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon 32
Arizona State 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Oregon 33
Arizona State 27

Total Points: 60
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25

Oregon's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Arizona State13Oregon49Oregon -21.5Oregon52.5Over
201911/23Arizona State31Oregon28Oregon -13Arizona State54.0Over
201811/17Oregon31Arizona State29Oregon -3.5Arizona State64.0Under
201709/23Arizona State37Oregon35Oregon -14.5Arizona State76.5Under
201610/29Oregon54Arizona State35Oregon -7.5Oregon72.5Over
201510/29Arizona State55Oregon61Arizona State -2.5Oregon65.5Over
201210/18Arizona State21Oregon43
201110/15Oregon41Arizona State27
201009/25Arizona State31Oregon42
200911/14Oregon44Arizona State21
200810/25Arizona State20Oregon54
200711/03Oregon35Arizona State23
200609/30Arizona State13Oregon48
200510/08Arizona State17Oregon31
200410/02Oregon13Arizona State28
200310/11Arizona State59Oregon14
200210/19Oregon42Arizona State45
200111/03Oregon42Arizona State24
200010/27Arizona State55Oregon56
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon1434 Overs
Arizona State532 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 103 - 31 - 22 - 1
Road Teams10 - 93 - 31 - 22 - 1

(#) ASU at (#) ORE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUORE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #41
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #29 #26
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arizona State on Offense
CategoryCat
ASU OffORE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona State Run Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arizona State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCatORE OffASU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #86
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffASU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCatORE OffASU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 48° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Oregon -3.5 (64.0)
Oregon won vs Arizona State this year (31-29)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Arizona State in 2023 (49-13)

  
ASU's OC ()
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ASU's DC ()
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ORE's OC ()
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ORE's DC ()
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