Wake Forest at App State - 2017 Matchup Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, September 23rd 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wake Forest -5.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Wake Forest 20 - App State: 19

Demon Deacons (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 28 (32 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

APP is playing their 4th straight game
WAKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ WAKE -6.5)
Projected Score: WAKE: 26 - APP: 31 (57)
WAKE Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
WAKE Travel: 80 miles

Mountaineers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 20 (41 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WAKE Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wake Forest's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Wake Forest vs Presbyterian	-42.5
Sat 9/9	Wake Forest at Boston College	+1.0	45.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Wake Forest vs Utah State	-14.0	51.5	W 46 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Wake Forest at App State	-5.5	48.5	W 20 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/30	Wake Forest vs Florida State	+7.5	46.5	L 19 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Wake Forest at Clemson	+21.0	50.5	L 14 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Wake Forest at Georgia Tech	+3.5	49.0	L 24 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/28	Wake Forest vs Louisville	+3.0	66.5	W 42 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Wake Forest at Notre Dame	+16.5	56.0	L 37 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Wake Forest at Syracuse	-2.5	64.5	W 64 - 43	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Wake Forest vs NC State	-3.0	62.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Wake Forest vs Duke	-10.5	59.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Fri 12/29	Wake Forest vs Texas A&M	-3.5	63.0	W 55 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

App State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	App State at Georgia	+12.5	46.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/9	App State vs Savannah State	-50.5
Sat 9/16	App State at Texas State	-21.5	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/23	App State vs Wake Forest	+5.5	48.5	L 19 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	App State vs New Mexico State	-13.5	55.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/14	App State at Idaho	-11.5	50.5	W 23 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/21	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-20.0	52.0	W 37 - 29	O	N
Sat 10/28	App State at Massachusetts	-4.0	57.0	L 27 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/4	App State at UL Monroe	-8.0	62.5	L 45 - 52	O	N
Thu 11/9	App State vs Georgia Southern	-17.5	51.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25	App State at Georgia State	-6.0	50.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/2	App State vs Louisiana	-14.0	58.0	W 63 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/23	App State vs Toledo	+6.0	61.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	.22	45%	35.3	39%	2.95	189	48%	277	3.93	.15	43%	28.3	40%	43%	3.15	41.8	1	1.5
APP	.25	43%	33.5	42%	2.98	223	42%	216	3.72	.11	40%	20.2	38%	39%	3.12	63.9	1.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	#104 (.13)	42% (81)		43% (79)	3 (79)	131	41% (75)	240	3.2 (121)	#118 (.27)	51% (134)		48% (110)	53% (133)	4.12 (99)	45.9	1.8	1.4
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Offense	13	35.3	32.2	44.7%	3.93	1	23	466	189	277	4.6	52%	46%	39%	48%	15%	.22
APP Defense	13	20.2	17.8	39.9%	3.12	2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	48%	38%	39%	20%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Defense	13	28.3	31	42.5%	3.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	40%	43%	19%	.15
APP Offense	13	33.5	40.8	43.1%	3.72	1.1	21	440	223	216	5.5	56%	42%	42%	42%	15%	.25

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wake Forest	13	27:03	22.8	39%	60%	5.3	41.8	1	1.5	8.1	2.2	2	31.4
App State	13	31:15	20.9	40%	54%	7	63.9	1.1	2	6.8	3	0	35.8

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense	13	52%	39%	41.3	188.9	4.6	22	.09	2.95	72%	9%	0.96
APP Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.79	74%	13%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense	13	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.48	76%	12%	1.17
APP Offense	13	56%	42%	40.7	223.4	5.5	27	.18	2.98	68%	10%	1.25

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense	13	46%	48%	20.6	32.8	276.8	8.5	13.4	33	7	.42	1.6	32%	38%	.41	6%	1.7
APP Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.16	1.5	35%	33%	.23	8%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.19	1.5	35%	33%	.25	7%	1.8
APP Offense	13	42%	42%	16.5	27.4	216.2	7.9	13.1	28	6	.35	1.7	31%	38%	.42	5%	1.8

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wake Forest's 2017 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #31
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #21
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #49

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: App State: 4.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: 10.5 App State: 3.8

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 4.4 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2017 Expected Record: -
App State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #58
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #55
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Wake Forest's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
App State 31
Wake Forest 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 28
Wake Forest 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
App State 33
Wake Forest 27

Total Points: 60

App State Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.8
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

App State's 2017 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	09/23	App State	19	Wake Forest	20	Wake Forest -5.5	App State	48.5	Under
2001	09/08	Wake Forest	20	App State	10
2000	08/30	Wake Forest	16	App State	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	1	1	0 Overs
Wake Forest	2	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#) WAKE at (#) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WAKE	APP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#58
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#66	#105
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wake Forest Injury Report

App State Injury Report

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	APP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	WAKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#55	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 79°

Rematch from Week 4
Wake Forest 5.5 (48.5)
Wake Forest won at App State this year (20-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WAKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD