Eastern Michigan at Toledo - 2017 Matchup Preview

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Toledo Rockets

Saturday, October 7th 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -13.5 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Toledo 20 - Eastern Michigan: 15 (Mid-American)

Eagles (5 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (25 - 35 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

EMU 2nd straight Road Game
TOL coming off BYE
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ TOL -12)
Projected Score: EMU: 18 - TOL: 35 (53)
TOL Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
EMU Travel: 41 miles

Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
EMU Players
TOL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Eastern Michigan's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Eastern Michigan vs Charlotte	-14.0	59.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Eastern Michigan at Rutgers	+5.5	51.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Eastern Michigan vs Ohio	-1.0	54.0	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/30	Eastern Michigan at Kentucky	+14.0	50.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+13.5	60.0	L 15 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Eastern Michigan at Army	+4.5	50.0	L 27 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+2.0	51.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Thu 10/26	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+7.5	47.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Thu 11/2	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	-24.5	47.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Wed 11/8	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	-1.5	51.0	L 30 - 42	O	N
Wed 11/15	Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)	+2.5	51.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Tue 11/21	Eastern Michigan vs Bowling Green	-14.5	62.5	W 34 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Toledo's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Toledo vs Elon	-44.5
Sat 9/9	Toledo at Nevada	-10.5	69.5	W 37 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Toledo vs Tulsa	-7.0	74.0	W 54 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/23	Toledo at Miami	+13.5	61.0	L 30 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Toledo vs Eastern Michigan	-13.5	60.0	W 20 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/14	Toledo at Central Michigan	-9.5	55.0	W 30 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Toledo vs Akron	-15.5	58.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Thu 10/26	Toledo at Ball State	-26.5	55.5	W 58 - 17	O	Y
Thu 11/2	Toledo vs Northern Illinois	-7.5	56.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Wed 11/8	Toledo at Ohio	-3.0	63.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Wed 11/15	Toledo at Bowling Green	-17.5	66.0	W 66 - 37	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Toledo vs Western Michigan	-12.0	62.0	W 37 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Toledo vs Akron	-20.5	61.5	W 45 - 28	O	N
Sat 12/23	Toledo vs App State	-6.0	61.5	L 0 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	.18	46%	24.1	43%	2.79	159	46%	296	3.62	.2	49%	29.8	51%	47%	3.67	59.5	1.8	1.8
TOL	.33	49%	30.8	45%	3.26	195	50%	323	4.08	.16	39%	13.3	38%	39%	3.39	60.2	1.1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TOL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Offense	13	24.1	24.5	45.7%	3.62	1.8	23	455	159	296	4.3	46%	52%	43%	46%	13%	.18
TOL Defense	13	13.3	7.7	39.3%	3.39	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	38%	39%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Defense	13	29.8	34.7	49.2%	3.67	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	51%	47%	15%	.2
TOL Offense	13	30.8	45.8	48.6%	4.08	1.1	24	518	195	323	5	51%	47%	45%	50%	14%	.33

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan	13	30:47	23.3	47%	62%	5.8	59.5	1.8	1.8	4.6	1.5	1	28.8
Toledo	13	30:10	24.2	51%	40%	7	60.2	1.1	0.8	5.9	1.6	2	28.7

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Offense	13	46%	43%	36.9	159.1	4.3	21	.05	2.79	66%	6%	0.82
TOL Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.76	65%	10%	1.15

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Defense	13	50%	51%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.19	79%	9%	0.84
TOL Offense	13	51%	45%	39.4	195	5	17	.11	3.26	79%	8%	0.8

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Offense	13	52%	46%	23.8	39.9	296.1	7.4	12.5	25	17	.32	1.6	31%	38%	.36	8%	1.8
TOL Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.25	1.7	36%	35%	.31	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Defense	13	49%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.28	1.4	27%	33%	.21	6%	1.6
TOL Offense	13	47%	50%	22.4	32.5	322.8	9.9	14.4	46	9	.59	1.8	30%	45%	.72	5%	2.1

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Eastern Michigan's 2017 Expected Record: -
Eastern Michigan's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.3 #90
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #106
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #60

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: Toledo: 5.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -5.3 Toledo: 6.6

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 5.8 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2017 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #45
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #44
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

Eastern Michigan's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 6 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 35
Eastern Michigan 18

Projected Total Points: 53

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	29	Toledo -10	Eastern Michigan	54.5	Over
2023	11/08	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	23	Toledo -19.5	Toledo	45.5	Over
2022	10/29	Eastern Michigan	24	Toledo	27	Toledo -4	Eastern Michigan	54.0	Under
2021	11/02	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	52	Toledo -9	Eastern Michigan	54.5	Over
2020	11/18	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	45	Toledo -6.5	Toledo	62.5	Over
2019	10/26	Toledo	37	Eastern Michigan	34	Toledo -2.5	Toledo	52.0	Over
2018	10/13	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	26	Toledo -2	Eastern Michigan	62.0	Under
2017	10/07	Toledo	20	Eastern Michigan	15	Toledo -13.5	Eastern Michigan	60.0	Under
2016	10/08	Eastern Michigan	20	Toledo	35	Toledo -17.5	Eastern Michigan	65.5	Under
2015	10/17	Toledo	63	Eastern Michigan	20	Toledo -28	Toledo	63.0	Over
2014	11/28	Eastern Michigan	16	Toledo	52	Toledo -21.5	Toledo	0
2013	11/02	Toledo	55	Eastern Michigan	16	Toledo -28	Toledo	0
2012	10/13	Eastern Michigan	47	Toledo	52
2011	10/08	Toledo	54	Eastern Michigan	16
2010	10/30	Eastern Michigan	7	Toledo	42
2009	11/20	Toledo	47	Eastern Michigan	21
2008	09/13	Eastern Michigan	17	Toledo	41
2007	11/03	Toledo	52	Eastern Michigan	28
2006	10/21	Eastern Michigan	17	Toledo	13
2005	10/08	Toledo	30	Eastern Michigan	3
2004	09/18	Eastern Michigan	32	Toledo	42
2003	10/11	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	14
2002	09/07	Eastern Michigan	13	Toledo	65
2001	11/17	Toledo	28	Eastern Michigan	7
2000	10/06	Eastern Michigan	14	Toledo	42

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Toledo	22	6	6 Overs
Eastern Michigan	3	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	8 - 4	4 - 2	4 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 13	4 - 8	2 - 4	2 - 4

(#) EMU at (#) TOL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	EMU	TOL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#45
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#118	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Toledo Injury Report

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	TOL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	TOL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	TOL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Toledo on Offense


CategoryCat	TOL Off	EMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Toledo Run Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Toledo Pass Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

EMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Toledo -13.5 (60.0)
Toledo won vs Eastern Michigan this year (20-15)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2024 (29-28)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (49-23)

EMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TOL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD