Western Michigan at Toledo - 2017 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo   Western Michigan Broncos at Toledo Rockets  Toledo logo
Friday, November 24th 2017 (11:30 AM EST)
Toledo -12 (62.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 37 - Western Michigan: 10  (Mid-American)

 
Broncos (6 - 6) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (18 - 22 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WMU 2nd straight Road Game
TOL is playing their 8th straight game
WMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ TOL -9)
Projected Score: WMU: 16 - TOL: 29 (45)
TOL Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
WMU Travel: 111 miles
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Western Michigan at USC+28.059.0L 31 - 49OY
Sat 9/9 Western Michigan at Michigan State+7.051.5L 14 - 28UN
Sat 9/16 Western Michigan vs Idaho-17.554.0W 37 - 28ON
Sat 9/23 Western Michigan vs Wagner-37.0
Sat 9/30 Western Michigan vs Ball State-13.053.5W 55 - 3OY
Sat 10/7 Western Michigan at Buffalo-7.051.0W 71 - 68ON
Sun 10/15 Western Michigan vs Akron-12.554.5L 13 - 14UN
Sat 10/21 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-2.051.5W 20 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-3.548.5L 28 - 35ON
Wed 11/8 Western Michigan vs Kent State-20.545.5W 48 - 20OY
Wed 11/15 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+9.049.5L 31 - 35OY
Fri 11/24 Western Michigan at Toledo+12.062.0L 10 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Toledo's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Toledo vs Elon-44.5
Sat 9/9 Toledo at Nevada-10.569.5W 37 - 24UY
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs Tulsa-7.074.0W 54 - 51ON
Sat 9/23 Toledo at Miami+13.561.0L 30 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-13.560.0W 20 - 15UN
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Central Michigan-9.555.0W 30 - 10UY
Sat 10/21 Toledo vs Akron-15.558.5W 48 - 21OY
Thu 10/26 Toledo at Ball State-26.555.5W 58 - 17OY
Thu 11/2 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.556.5W 27 - 17UY
Wed 11/8 Toledo at Ohio-3.063.5L 10 - 38UN
Wed 11/15 Toledo at Bowling Green-17.566.0W 66 - 37OY
Fri 11/24 Toledo vs Western Michigan-12.062.0W 37 - 10UY
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Akron-20.561.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 12/23 Toledo vs App State-6.061.5L 0 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU.3453%24.951%3.222853%2524.68.1343%17.443%40%3.1344.90.61.9
TOL.3349%30.845%3.2619550%3234.08.1639%13.338%39%3.3960.21.10.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1424.918.352.9%4.680.625481228252558%40%51%53%11%.34
TOL Defense1313.37.739.3%3.390.8 - - - - - 50%48%38%39%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1417.421.742.5%3.131.9 - - - - - 48%51%43%40%18%.13
TOL Offense1330.845.848.6%4.081.124518195323551%47%45%50%14%.33

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1434:0225.254%88%4.944.90.61.95.62630.6
Toledo1330:1024.251%40%760.21.10.85.91.6228.7
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1458%51%45.3228.1536.23.278%8%0.86
TOL Defense1350%38% - - - - .092.7665%10%1.15
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1448%43% - - - - .123.0770%11%0.96
TOL Offense1351%45%39.4195517.113.2679%8%0.8

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1440%53%18.827252.49.413.4334.611.627%41%.394%1.4
TOL Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 6.251.736%35%.316%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1451%40% - - - - - - 15.151.732%37%.47%2
TOL Offense1347%50%22.432.5322.89.914.4469.591.830%45%.725%2.1

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2017 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4  #78
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #84
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #73

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan:    Toledo: 5.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -2.4   Toledo: 6.6




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 5.8 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2017 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #45
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #44
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

Western Michigan's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 29
Western Michigan 16

Projected Total Points: 45
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Western Michigan14Toledo13Toledo -13.5Western Michigan48.5Under
202309/23Toledo49Western Michigan31Toledo -21.5Western Michigan52.5Over
202211/25Western Michigan20Toledo14Toledo -8.5Western Michigan50.5Under
202110/23Toledo34Western Michigan15Western Michigan -1.5Toledo54.5Under
202011/11Western Michigan41Toledo38Western Michigan -1.5Western Michigan58.5Over
201910/05Toledo31Western Michigan24Toledo -1.5Toledo74.0Under
201810/25Western Michigan24Toledo51Western Michigan -4Toledo69.0Over
201711/24Toledo37Western Michigan10Toledo -12Toledo62.0Under
201611/25Western Michigan55Toledo35Western Michigan -9.5Western Michigan71.5Over
201511/27Toledo30Western Michigan35Toledo -7Western Michigan58.0Over
201410/04Western Michigan19Toledo20Toledo -10Western Michigan0
201310/05Toledo47Western Michigan20Toledo -19Toledo0
201209/29Western Michigan17Toledo37
201111/08Toledo66Western Michigan63
201009/18Western Michigan24Toledo37
200910/10Toledo26Western Michigan58
200811/15Western Michigan27Toledo17
200709/29Toledo28Western Michigan42
200609/09Western Michigan31Toledo10
200509/10Toledo56Western Michigan23
200410/09Western Michigan33Toledo59
200311/22Toledo34Western Michigan17
200111/06Toledo41Western Michigan35
200009/22Western Michigan21Toledo14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1455 Overs
Western Michigan1075 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 89 - 35 - 34 - 0
Road Teams8 - 163 - 90 - 43 - 5

(#) WMU at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWMUTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #45
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #83 #95
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
WMU OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffWMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #73
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Toledo -12.0 (62.0)
Toledo won vs Western Michigan this year (37-10)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Toledo last year (14-13)
Toledo beat Western Michigan in 2023 (49-31)

  
WMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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WMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD