Toledo at Central Michigan - 2017 Matchup Preview

Toledo Rockets at Central Michigan Chippewas

Saturday, October 14th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -9.5 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Toledo 30 - Central Michigan: 10 (Mid-American)

Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (39 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CMU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ TOL -15)
Projected Score: TOL: 33 - CMU: 26 (59)
TOL Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TOL Travel: 145 miles

Chippewas (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TOL Players
CMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Toledo's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Toledo vs Elon	-44.5
Sat 9/9	Toledo at Nevada	-10.5	69.5	W 37 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Toledo vs Tulsa	-7.0	74.0	W 54 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/23	Toledo at Miami	+13.5	61.0	L 30 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Toledo vs Eastern Michigan	-13.5	60.0	W 20 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/14	Toledo at Central Michigan	-9.5	55.0	W 30 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Toledo vs Akron	-15.5	58.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Thu 10/26	Toledo at Ball State	-26.5	55.5	W 58 - 17	O	Y
Thu 11/2	Toledo vs Northern Illinois	-7.5	56.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Wed 11/8	Toledo at Ohio	-3.0	63.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Wed 11/15	Toledo at Bowling Green	-17.5	66.0	W 66 - 37	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Toledo vs Western Michigan	-12.0	62.0	W 37 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Toledo vs Akron	-20.5	61.5	W 45 - 28	O	N
Sat 12/23	Toledo vs App State	-6.0	61.5	L 0 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Central Michigan's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Central Michigan vs Rhode Island	-34.5
Sat 9/9	Central Michigan at Kansas	+3.0	56.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Central Michigan at Syracuse	+7.5	67.0	L 17 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/23	Central Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+1.5	51.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Central Michigan at Boston College	+10.5	51.5	L 8 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/7	Central Michigan at Ohio	+11.0	54.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Central Michigan vs Toledo	+9.5	55.0	L 10 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Central Michigan at Ball State	-3.0	48.0	W 56 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Central Michigan at Western Michigan	+3.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Wed 11/8	Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	+1.5	51.0	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Tue 11/14	Central Michigan at Kent State	-17.5	45.0	W 42 - 23	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+3.0	51.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Fri 12/22	Central Michigan vs Wyoming	+1.0	44.5	L 14 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL	.27	47%	36.4	43%	3.12	204	48%	280	3.77	.18	41%	26.2	45%	36%	3.44	67.9	1.4	1.4
CMU	.08	37%	28.5	36%	2.31	134	37%	256	3.13	.07	40%	27.5	42%	36%	3.21	61.8	2.4	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL	#111 (.11)	41% (95)		38% (120)	2.66 (121)	111	44% (46)	227	3.55 (99)	#20 (.09)	40% (43)		42% (60)	38% (35)	3.87 (79)	46.7	1.3	1.3
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)		42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)		41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Offense	14	36.4	38.5	46.9%	3.77	1.4	23	484	204	280	5.1	52%	45%	43%	48%	13%	.27
CMU Defense	13	27.5	28.4	40.1%	3.21	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	42%	36%	15%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Defense	14	26.2	29.7	41.3%	3.44	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	45%	36%	15%	.18
CMU Offense	13	28.5	25.4	36.8%	3.13	2.4	18	390	134	256	3.8	46%	53%	36%	37%	19%	.08

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Toledo	14	31:36	22.9	39%	44%	7.6	67.9	1.4	1.4	5.4	1.6	2	36.4
Central Michigan	13	28:31	18.3	30%	56%	6.4	61.8	2.4	2.4	6.1	2.6	2	29.4

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Offense	14	52%	43%	39.9	204	5.1	32	.14	3.12	60%	8%	0.99
CMU Defense	13	53%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.02	70%	10%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Defense	14	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	.21	3	67%	9%	1.09
CMU Offense	13	46%	36%	34.9	134.1	3.8	19	-.02	2.31	71%	11%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Offense	14	45%	48%	19.1	30.2	279.9	9.3	14.7	28	9	.46	1.7	31%	41%	.43	5%	1.6
CMU Defense	13	45%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.07	1.5	32%	27%	.13	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Defense	14	49%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.16	1.6	33%	28%	.27	6%	1.9
CMU Offense	13	53%	37%	20.2	36.1	255.7	7.1	12.6	27	17	.18	1.8	34%	28%	.18	7%	1.9

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2017 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #45
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #44
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: Central Michigan: -1.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 6.6 Central Michigan: -8.6

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -1.8 NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Central Michigan's 2017 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.6 #98
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #109
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #68

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 36.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.5
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.7

Toledo's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 33
Central Michigan 26

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 33
Central Michigan 26

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 33
Central Michigan 27

Total Points: 60

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.4
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.4

Central Michigan's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Central Michigan	3	Toledo	21	Toledo -11.5	Toledo	46.5	Under
2024	11/12	Toledo	37	Central Michigan	10	Toledo -15	Toledo	52.5	Under
2023	11/24	Central Michigan	17	Toledo	32	Toledo -12.5	Toledo	54.5	Under
2022	10/01	Toledo	38	Central Michigan	17	Toledo -6.5	Toledo	56.0	Under
2021	10/16	Central Michigan	26	Toledo	23	Toledo -5	Central Michigan	53.0	Under
2020	12/12	Toledo	24	Central Michigan	23	Toledo -10	Central Michigan	54.5	Under
2019	11/29	Central Michigan	49	Toledo	7	Central Michigan -14.5	Central Michigan	64.0	Under
2018	11/23	Toledo	51	Central Michigan	13	Toledo -19	Toledo	58.0	Over
2017	10/14	Central Michigan	10	Toledo	30	Toledo -9.5	Toledo	55.0	Under
2016	10/22	Toledo	31	Central Michigan	17	Toledo -10	Toledo	61.5	Under
2015	11/10	Central Michigan	23	Toledo	28	Toledo -6	Central Michigan	54.5	Under
2014	09/27	Toledo	42	Central Michigan	28	Toledo -15	Central Michigan	0
2013	09/21	Central Michigan	17	Toledo	38	Toledo -14	Toledo	0
2012	10/06	Toledo	50	Central Michigan	35
2011	11/18	Central Michigan	17	Toledo	44
2010	11/26	Toledo	42	Central Michigan	31
2009	11/11	Central Michigan	56	Toledo	28
2008	10/25	Toledo	23	Central Michigan	24
2007	09/08	Central Michigan	52	Toledo	31
2006	10/07	Toledo	20	Central Michigan	42
2005	10/29	Central Michigan	21	Toledo	17
2004	10/23	Toledo	27	Central Michigan	22
2003	10/18	Central Michigan	13	Toledo	31
2002	11/09	Toledo	44	Central Michigan	17
2001	09/22	Central Michigan	28	Toledo	52
2000	09/29	Toledo	41	Central Michigan	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Central Michigan	7	5	1 Overs
Toledo	19	8	10 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	7 - 6	5 - 2	2 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 16	6 - 7	4 - 2	2 - 5

(#) TOL at (#) CMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TOL	CMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#45	#98
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#95	#89
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Toledo Injury Report

Central Michigan Injury Report

Toledo on Offense


CategoryCat	TOL Off	CMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Toledo Run Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Toledo Pass Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Central Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	CMU Off	TOL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Central Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	TOL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Central Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	TOL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 58° - Wind: 8 mph
Rain: 0.031

Rematch from Week 7
Toledo 9.5 (55.0)
Toledo won at Central Michigan this year (30-10)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Central Michigan last year (37-10)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (32-17)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2022 (38-17)

TOL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD