Toledo at Utah State - 2012 Matchup Preview
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Toledo Rockets vs Utah State Aggies

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Saturday, December 15th 2012 (4:30 PM EST)
Utah State 41 - Toledo: 15  (FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL)

 
Rockets (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 24 - USU: 25 (49)
TOL Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 1651 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Aggies (11 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (38 - 20 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Toledo at Arizona+2.5
Sat 9/8 Toledo at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 9/15 Toledo vs Bowling Green-23.5
Sat 9/22 Toledo vs Coastal Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/29 Toledo at Western Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/6 Toledo vs Central Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/13 Toledo at Eastern Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/20 Toledo vs Cincinnati-23.5
Sat 10/27 Toledo at Buffalo+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/6 Toledo vs Ball State-23.5
Wed 11/14 Toledo at Northern Illinois+2.5
Tue 11/20 Toledo vs Akron-23.5
Sat 12/15 Toledo vs Utah State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Utah State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Utah State vs Southern Utah-23.5
Fri 9/7 Utah State vs Utah-23.5
Sat 9/15 Utah State at Wisconsin+2.5
Sat 9/22 Utah State at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 9/29 Utah State vs UNLV-23.5
Fri 10/5 Utah State at BYU+2.5
Sat 10/13 Utah State at San José State+2.5
Sat 10/20 Utah State vs New Mexico State-23.5
Sat 10/27 Utah State at UTSA+2.5
Sat 11/3 Utah State vs Texas State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17 Utah State at Louisiana Tech+2.5
Sat 11/24 Utah State vs Idaho-23.5
Sat 12/15 Utah State vs Toledo-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.0946%30.844%3.119546%253-0.18.0341%13.339%41%054.41.11.8
USU.1145%30.948%3.3328338%1820.0343%28.744%41%0.0859.81.91.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1330.817.345.7%-0.181.122442195253554%44%44%46%2%.09
USU Defense1328.719.543.2%0.081.1 - - - - - 47%51%44%41%2%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1313.316.741%01.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%41%1%.03
USU Offense1330.938.344.9%01.9214572831825.966%34%48%38%1%.11

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1317:5421.748%57%6.454.41.11.800334.2
Utah State1318:352148%56%6.259.81.91.100026.6
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1354%44%38.8195.2531.043.176%0%0.76
USU Defense1347%44% - - - - -.062.6559%0%0.63
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1347%39% - - - - -.062.852%0%0.77
USU Offense1366%48%47.9282.75.937.113.3371%0%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1344%46%20.330.2252.68.412.4307.191.130%34%.272%1.5
USU Defense1351%41% - - - - - - 4.131.131%35%.262%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1352%41% - - - - - - 12.121.131%31%.221%1.5
USU Offense1334%38%14.322.3181.88.212.7236.111.428%36%.341%1.6

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2012 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Utah State: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Utah State:




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: 0 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2012 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 25
Toledo 24

Projected Total Points: 49
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Utah State's 2012 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201212/15Utah State41Toledo15
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State100 Overs
Toledo000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

Toledo Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2012Potato Bowl Toledo vs Utah State  L 15 - 41
2011Military Bowl Toledo vs Air Force  W 42 - 41
2010Caesars Bowl Toledo vs Florida International  L 32 - 34
Utah State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2012Potato Bowl Utah State vs Toledo  W 41 - 15
2011Potato Bowl Utah State vs Ohio  L 23 - 24
  
(#) TOL at (#) USU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLUSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffUSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCatUSU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCatUSU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
()
Utah State won vs Toledo this year (41-15)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD