Toledo at Air Force - 2011 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets vs Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Wednesday, December 28th 2011 (4:30 PM EST)
Toledo 42 - Air Force: 41  (MILITARY BOWL - PRESENTED BY NORTHROP GRUMMAN)

 
Rockets (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 32 (34 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 31 - AFA: 33 (64)
TOL Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 1130 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Falcons (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 28 (33 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Toledo vs New Hampshire-23.5
Sat 9/10 Toledo at Ohio State+2.5
Fri 9/16 Toledo vs Boise State-23.5
Sat 9/24 Toledo at Syracuse+2.5
Sat 10/1 Toledo at Temple+2.5
Sat 10/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/15 Toledo at Bowling Green+2.5
Sat 10/22 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-23.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-23.5
Tue 11/8 Toledo vs Western Michigan-23.5
Fri 11/18 Toledo at Central Michigan+2.5
Fri 11/25 Toledo at Ball State+2.5
Wed 12/28 Toledo vs Air Force+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Air Force's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Air Force vs South Dakota-23.5
Sat 9/10 Air Force vs TCU-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Air Force vs Tennessee State-23.5
Sat 10/1 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/8 Air Force at Notre Dame+2.5
Thu 10/13 Air Force vs San Diego State-23.5
Sat 10/22 Air Force at Boise State+2.5
Sat 10/29 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 11/5 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/12 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 11/19 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/26 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
Wed 12/28 Air Force vs Toledo-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.0946%42.244%3.119546%253-0.18.0341%31.739%41%054.41.11.8
AFA.1648%34.948%3.231543%145-0.14.147%28.449%43%0.0943.222
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1342.234.245.7%-0.181.122442195253554%44%44%46%2%.09
AFA Defense1328.425.147.3%0.092 - - - - - 61%38%49%43%3%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1331.723.241%01.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%41%1%.03
AFA Offense1334.933.147.9%-0.142234553151455.774%25%48%43%2%.16

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1317:5421.748%57%6.454.41.11.800334.2
Air Force1317:5823.247%81%4.743.22200030.6
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1354%44%38.8195.2531.043.176%0%0.76
AFA Defense1361%49% - - - - .133.3780%0%0.73
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1347%39% - - - - -.062.852%0%0.77
AFA Offense1374%48%55.6314.85.743.183.274%0%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1344%46%20.330.2252.68.412.4307.191.130%34%.272%1.5
AFA Defense1338%43% - - - - - - 12.08127%34%.263%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1352%41% - - - - - - 12.121.131%31%.221%1.5
AFA Offense1325%43%9.515.71459.215.3168.151.126%33%.312%1.7

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2011 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Air Force: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Air Force:




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 0 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2011 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 42.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Toledo's 2011 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 33
Toledo 31

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 34
Toledo 30

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 32
Air Force 31

Total Points: 63
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Air Force's 2011 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201112/28Air Force41Toledo42
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force000 Overs
Toledo100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

Toledo Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2011Military Bowl Toledo vs Air Force  W 42 - 41
2010Caesars Bowl Toledo vs Florida International  L 32 - 34
2005N/A Toledo vs UTEP  W 45 - 13
Air Force Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2011Military Bowl Air Force vs Toledo  L 41 - 42
2010Independence Bowl Air Force vs Georgia Tech  W 14 - 7
2009N/A Air Force vs Houston  W 47 - 20
2008N/A Air Force vs Houston  L 28 - 34
2007N/A Air Force vs California  L 36 - 42
  
(#) TOL at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
()
Toledo won at Air Force this year (42-41)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD