Boise State at Fresno State - 2017 Matchup Preview

Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs

Saturday, November 25th 2017 (3:30 PM EST)
Boise State -6.5 (49.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Fresno State 28 - Boise State: 17 (Mountain West)

Broncos (11 - 3) (8 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FRES is playing their 9th straight game
BSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ BSU -12)
Projected Score: BSU: 21 - FRES: 25 (46)
BSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BSU Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bulldogs (10 - 4) (10 - 2 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
FRES Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boise State vs Troy	-11.0	59.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Boise State at Washington State	+7.5	58.0	L 44 - 47	O	Y
Thu 9/14	Boise State vs New Mexico	-16.0	56.5	W 28 - 14	U	N
Fri 9/22	Boise State vs Virginia	-13.5	50.0	L 23 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Boise State at BYU	-7.5	46.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Boise State at San Diego State	+5.5	47.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Boise State vs Wyoming	-15.0	44.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/28	Boise State at Utah State	-13.0	51.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Boise State vs Nevada	-20.5	63.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Boise State at Colorado State	-6.5	59.0	W 59 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Boise State vs Air Force	-17.5	60.5	W 44 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Boise State at Fresno State	-6.5	49.0	L 17 - 28	U	N
Sat 12/2	Boise State vs Fresno State	-9.5	51.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs Oregon	+7.0	63.0	W 38 - 28	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Fresno State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Fresno State vs Incarnate Word	-35.0
Sat 9/9	Fresno State at Alabama	+42.5	54.0	L 10 - 41	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Fresno State at Washington	+34.0	56.5	L 16 - 48	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Fresno State vs Nevada	-7.5	59.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Fresno State at San José State	-17.0	59.5	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/14	Fresno State vs New Mexico	+2.5	54.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Fresno State at San Diego State	+6.5	49.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Fresno State vs UNLV	-21.5	59.0	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/4	Fresno State vs BYU	-10.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Fresno State at Hawai'i	-10.0	53.0	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/18	Fresno State at Wyoming	-2.5	39.0	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Fresno State vs Boise State	+6.5	49.0	W 28 - 17	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Fresno State at Boise State	+9.5	51.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sun 12/24	Fresno State vs Houston	+2.5	52.0	W 33 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.28	49%	29.9	48%	3.04	174	49%	298	4.35	.12	43%	24.1	43%	40%	2.86	37.8	1.4	0.7
FRES	.06	36%	25.8	36%	2.37	116	35%	213	2.83	.2	48%	18.8	52%	39%	3.85	55.8	1.5	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	13	29.9	19.8	48.9%	4.35	1.4	23	473	174	298	4.6	51%	47%	48%	49%	14%	.28
FRES Defense	12	18.8	15.3	48.2%	3.85	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	66%	33%	52%	39%	12%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	13	24.1	23.8	42.6%	2.86	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	43%	40%	15%	.12
FRES Offense	12	25.8	26.5	36.3%	2.83	1.5	17	329	116	213	3.2	48%	50%	36%	35%	18%	.06

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	13	28:01	23.1	48%	53%	4.3	37.8	1.4	0.7	6.2	3.2	1	26.2
Fresno State	12	28:48	17.2	38%	35%	6.3	55.8	1.5	0.7	4.6	1.2	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	13	51%	48%	37.9	174.5	4.6	29	.17	3.04	75%	10%	0.98
FRES Defense	12	66%	52%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.42	80%	8%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	13	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.95	85%	9%	0.91
FRES Offense	12	48%	36%	36.7	116.2	3.2	11	-.03	2.37	70%	11%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	13	47%	49%	19.5	31.2	298.3	9.6	15.3	28	8	.43	1.7	28%	42%	.52	4%	1.9
FRES Defense	12	33%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.27	1.6	27%	33%	.32	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.17	1.5	33%	32%	.19	6%	1.7
FRES Offense	12	50%	35%	17.5	33.8	213.1	6.3	12.2	13	13	.15	1.7	40%	31%	.22	7%	1.7

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #37
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #63
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: Fresno State: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 9.1 Fresno State: -2.7

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 1.15 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7 #81
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #105
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #53

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 25
Boise State 21

Projected Total Points: 46

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Boise State	7	Fresno State	30	Boise State -17.5	Fresno State	47.5	Under
2023	11/04	Fresno State	37	Boise State	30	Fresno State -2.5	Fresno State	53.5	Over
2022	10/08	Boise State	40	Fresno State	20	Boise State -9	Boise State	45.0	Over
2022	12/03	Boise State	16	Fresno State	28	Boise State -3	Fresno State	54.5	Under
2021	11/06	Fresno State	14	Boise State	40	Fresno State -4	Boise State	61.5	Under
2018	11/09	Boise State	24	Fresno State	17	Fresno State -2.5	Boise State	56.0	Under
2018	12/01	Boise State	16	Fresno State	19	Boise State -2	Fresno State	51.5	Under
2017	12/02	Boise State	17	Fresno State	14	Boise State -9.5	Fresno State	51.0	Under
2017	11/25	Fresno State	28	Boise State	17	Boise State -6.5	Fresno State	49.0	Under
2014	10/17	Boise State	37	Fresno State	27	Boise State -16	Fresno State	0
2014	12/06	Boise State	28	Fresno State	14	Boise State -17	Fresno State	0
2013	09/20	Fresno State	41	Boise State	40	Fresno State -3	Boise State	0
2012	10/13	Boise State	20	Fresno State	10
2011	10/07	Fresno State	7	Boise State	57
2010	11/19	Boise State	51	Fresno State	0
2009	09/18	Fresno State	34	Boise State	51
2008	11/28	Boise State	61	Fresno State	10
2007	10/26	Fresno State	21	Boise State	34
2006	11/01	Boise State	45	Fresno State	21
2005	11/10	Fresno State	27	Boise State	7
2004	10/23	Boise State	33	Fresno State	16
2003	11/21	Fresno State	17	Boise State	31
2002	10/18	Boise State	67	Fresno State	21
2001	10/19	Fresno State	30	Boise State	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Fresno State	7	8	2 Overs
Boise State	17	4	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	4 - 8	2 - 8	2 - 0
Road Teams	9 - 15	8 - 4	0 - 2	8 - 2

(#) BSU at (#) FRES

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	FRES
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#81
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#71	#92
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boise State Injury Report

Fresno State Injury Report

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	FRES Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#53
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#105	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Boise State 6.5 (49.0)
Fresno State won vs Boise State this year (28-17)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Boise State last year (30-7)
Fresno State beat Boise State in 2023 (37-30)

BSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD