Fresno State at Alabama - 2017 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide(#21)Alabama logo
Saturday, September 9th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -42.5 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 41 - Fresno State: 10

 
Bulldogs (10 - 4) (10 - 2 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 18 (20 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 15 MPH
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -20.5  (SP+ ALA -36)
Projected Score: FRES: 14 - ALA: 21 (35)
ALA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%
FRES Travel: 1831 miles, 2 hrs behind
Crimson Tide (13 - 1) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 12 (45 - 9 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Fresno State vs Incarnate Word-35.0
Sat 9/9 Fresno State at Alabama+42.554.0L 10 - 41UY
Sat 9/16 Fresno State at Washington+34.056.5L 16 - 48OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Fresno State vs Nevada-7.559.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Fresno State at San José State-17.059.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 10/14 Fresno State vs New Mexico+2.554.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 10/21 Fresno State at San Diego State+6.549.5W 27 - 3UY
Sat 10/28 Fresno State vs UNLV-21.559.0L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/4 Fresno State vs BYU-10.048.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 11/11 Fresno State at Hawai'i-10.053.0W 31 - 21UN
Sat 11/18 Fresno State at Wyoming-2.539.0W 13 - 7UY
Sat 11/25 Fresno State vs Boise State+6.549.0W 28 - 17UY
Sat 12/2 Fresno State at Boise State+9.551.0L 14 - 17UY
Sun 12/24 Fresno State vs Houston+2.552.0W 33 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Alabama's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Alabama vs Florida State-7.551.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Alabama vs Fresno State-42.554.0W 41 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Alabama vs Colorado State-31.055.5W 41 - 23ON
Sat 9/23 Alabama at Vanderbilt-20.042.5W 59 - 0OY
Sat 9/30 Alabama vs Ole Miss-30.056.0W 66 - 3OY
Sat 10/7 Alabama at Texas A&M-26.556.5W 27 - 19UN
Sat 10/14 Alabama vs Arkansas-37.054.5W 41 - 9UN
Sat 10/21 Alabama vs Tennessee-36.551.5W 45 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Alabama vs LSU-20.545.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 11/11 Alabama at Mississippi State-14.550.0W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/18 Alabama vs Mercer-49.0
Sat 11/25 Alabama at Auburn-5.047.5L 14 - 26UN
Mon 1/1 Alabama vs Clemson-3.546.5W 24 - 6UY
Mon 1/8 Alabama vs Georgia-3.545.5W 26 - 23ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES.1645%27.144%2.7815543%2383.56.0542%17.942%40%2.8443.60.91.4
ALA.2447%37.149%3.6125142%1934.13-.0235%11.934%34%2.1140.60.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1427.119.745.2%3.560.9193931552384.251%46%44%43%12%.16
ALA Defense1411.98.934.8%2.111.6 - - - - - 48%50%34%34%21%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1417.92141.9%2.841.4 - - - - - 46%52%42%40%17%.05
ALA Offense1437.144.947.4%4.130.7224442511935.758%40%49%42%11%.24

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1431:1619.236%67%5.343.60.91.46.42.4232.7
Alabama1429:4522.241%83%540.60.71.67.12.9234.6
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1451%44%36.81554.222.042.7872%7%0.75
ALA Defense1448%34% - - - - -.052.673%12%0.79
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1446%42% - - - - -.042.8163%11%0.75
ALA Offense1458%49%43.7250.65.736.293.6180%8%1

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1446%43%19.131.2237.97.612.4197.351.529%30%.095%1.5
ALA Defense1450%34% - - - - - - 19-1.536%27%.139%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1452%40% - - - - - - 9.141.432%28%.086%1.5
ALA Offense1440%42%14.623.7193.48.213.3283.191.626%35%.24%1.6

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7  #81
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #105
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #53

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State:    Alabama: 19.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -2.7   Alabama: 33.5




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 19.25 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2017 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 33.5  #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.7  #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 5.6  #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Fresno State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 2
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 21
Fresno State 14

Total Points: 35

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 12
Fresno State 11

Total Points: 23

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 31
Fresno State 17

Total Points: 48
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.9
Defense: 11.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.9

Alabama's 2017 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/09Alabama41Fresno State10Alabama -42.5Fresno State54.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama100 Overs
Fresno State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) FRES at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #1
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #92 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCat
FRES OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #1
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Alabama -42.5 (54.0)
Alabama won vs Fresno State this year (41-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
FRES's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FRES's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD