New Mexico at Fresno State - 2017 Matchup Preview

New Mexico Lobos at Fresno State Bulldogs

Saturday, October 14th 2017 (10:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -2.5 (54.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Fresno State 38 - New Mexico: 0 (Mountain West)

Lobos (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNM coming off BYE
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ FRES -10)
Projected Score: UNM: 22 - FRES: 25 (47)
UNM Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNM Travel: 744 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bulldogs (10 - 4) (10 - 2 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNM Players
FRES Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	New Mexico vs Abilene Christian	-34.0
Sat 9/9	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-7.0	69.5	L 28 - 30	U	N
Thu 9/14	New Mexico at Boise State	+16.0	56.5	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/23	New Mexico at Tulsa	+9.0	68.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/30	New Mexico vs Air Force	+3.0	50.5	W 56 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	New Mexico at Fresno State	-2.5	54.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Fri 10/20	New Mexico vs Colorado State	+10.0	61.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/28	New Mexico at Wyoming	+2.5	47.0	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/4	New Mexico vs Utah State	-3.5	52.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+18.5	51.5	L 14 - 55	O	N
Fri 11/17	New Mexico vs UNLV	-3.0	55.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/24	New Mexico at San Diego State	+20.5	48.5	L 10 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Fresno State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Fresno State vs Incarnate Word	-35.0
Sat 9/9	Fresno State at Alabama	+42.5	54.0	L 10 - 41	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Fresno State at Washington	+34.0	56.5	L 16 - 48	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Fresno State vs Nevada	-7.5	59.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Fresno State at San José State	-17.0	59.5	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/14	Fresno State vs New Mexico	+2.5	54.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Fresno State at San Diego State	+6.5	49.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Fresno State vs UNLV	-21.5	59.0	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/4	Fresno State vs BYU	-10.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Fresno State at Hawai'i	-10.0	53.0	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/18	Fresno State at Wyoming	-2.5	39.0	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Fresno State vs Boise State	+6.5	49.0	W 28 - 17	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Fresno State at Boise State	+9.5	51.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sun 12/24	Fresno State vs Houston	+2.5	52.0	W 33 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	.32	46%	27.1	48%	3.23	350	37%	107	4.26	.25	44%	22.3	42%	44%	4.07	56.7	1.1	0.9
FRES	.06	36%	25.8	36%	2.37	116	35%	213	2.83	.2	48%	18.8	52%	39%	3.85	55.8	1.5	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Offense	13	27.1	27.5	46.2%	4.26	1.1	21	457	350	107	6.6	76%	23%	48%	37%	13%	.32
FRES Defense	12	18.8	15.3	48.2%	3.85	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	66%	33%	52%	39%	12%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Defense	13	22.3	26.3	43.8%	4.07	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	42%	44%	17%	.25
FRES Offense	12	25.8	26.5	36.3%	2.83	1.5	17	329	116	213	3.2	48%	50%	36%	35%	18%	.06

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico	13	33:54	20.8	46%	73%	6.3	56.7	1.1	0.9	5.6	2.1	3	28.2
Fresno State	12	28:48	17.2	38%	35%	6.3	55.8	1.5	0.7	4.6	1.2	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Offense	13	76%	48%	52.9	350	6.6	48	.32	3.23	77%	10%	1.23
FRES Defense	12	66%	52%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.42	80%	8%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Defense	13	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.19	2.88	72%	10%	1.2
FRES Offense	12	48%	36%	36.7	116.2	3.2	11	-.03	2.37	70%	11%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Offense	13	23%	37%	7.4	13.8	106.8	7.8	14.5	11	6	.34	2	30%	35%	.45	4%	2
FRES Defense	12	33%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.27	1.6	27%	33%	.32	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Defense	13	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.33	1.7	33%	38%	.48	6%	2.1
FRES Offense	12	50%	35%	17.5	33.8	213.1	6.3	12.2	13	13	.15	1.7	40%	31%	.22	7%	1.7

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2017 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4 #107
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #112
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: Fresno State: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -12.4 Fresno State: -2.7

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 1.15 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7 #81
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #105
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #53

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 25
New Mexico 22

Projected Total Points: 47

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	New Mexico	21	Fresno State	38	Fresno State -12	Fresno State	61.0	Under
2023	11/18	Fresno State	17	New Mexico	25	Fresno State -22.5	New Mexico	58.5	Under
2022	10/22	New Mexico	9	Fresno State	41	Fresno State -9.5	Fresno State	40.0	Over
2021	11/13	Fresno State	34	New Mexico	7	Fresno State -24	Fresno State	51.0	Under
2020	12/12	New Mexico	49	Fresno State	39	Fresno State -15	New Mexico	56.5	Over
2018	10/20	New Mexico	7	Fresno State	38	Fresno State -14	Fresno State	52.5	Under
2017	10/14	Fresno State	38	New Mexico	0	New Mexico -2.5	Fresno State	54.5	Under
2014	09/26	New Mexico	24	Fresno State	35	Fresno State -3	Fresno State	0
2013	11/23	Fresno State	69	New Mexico	28	Fresno State -31	Fresno State	0
2012	10/27	New Mexico	32	Fresno State	49

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Fresno State	8	7	2 Overs
New Mexico	2	2	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	4 - 5	2 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	6 - 4	5 - 4	4 - 2	1 - 2

(#) UNM at (#) FRES

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNM	FRES
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#81
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#102	#92
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico Injury Report

Fresno State Injury Report

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	FRES Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#53
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#105	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
New Mexico 2.5 (54.5)
Fresno State won vs New Mexico this year (38-0)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat New Mexico in 2024 (38-21)
New Mexico beat Fresno State in 2023 (25-17)

UNM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD