UNLV at Fresno State - 2017 Matchup Preview
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UNLV Rebels at Fresno State Bulldogs

Fresno State logo
Saturday, October 28th 2017 (10:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -21.5 (59.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
UNLV 26 - Fresno State: 16  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FRES is playing their 5th straight game
UNLV is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ FRES -12)
Projected Score: UNLV: 26 - FRES: 27 (53)
FRES Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
UNLV Travel: 260 miles
Bulldogs (10 - 4) (10 - 2 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UNLV vs Howard-45.0
Sat 9/9 UNLV at Idaho+4.569.5W 44 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 UNLV at Ohio State+40.067.5L 21 - 54OY
Sat 9/30 UNLV vs San José State-16.563.0W 41 - 13UY
Sat 10/7 UNLV vs San Diego State+9.556.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 10/14 UNLV at Air Force+9.565.5L 30 - 34UY
Sat 10/21 UNLV vs Utah State-3.560.5L 28 - 52ON
Sat 10/28 UNLV at Fresno State+21.559.0W 26 - 16UY
Sat 11/4 UNLV vs Hawai'i-7.059.5W 31 - 23UY
Fri 11/10 UNLV vs BYU-1.049.5L 21 - 31ON
Fri 11/17 UNLV at New Mexico+3.055.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/25 UNLV at Nevada+3.070.0L 16 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Fresno State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Fresno State vs Incarnate Word-35.0
Sat 9/9 Fresno State at Alabama+42.554.0L 10 - 41UY
Sat 9/16 Fresno State at Washington+34.056.5L 16 - 48OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Fresno State vs Nevada-7.559.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Fresno State at San José State-17.059.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 10/14 Fresno State vs New Mexico+2.554.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 10/21 Fresno State at San Diego State+6.549.5W 27 - 3UY
Sat 10/28 Fresno State vs UNLV-21.559.0L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/4 Fresno State vs BYU-10.048.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 11/11 Fresno State at Hawai'i-10.053.0W 31 - 21UN
Sat 11/18 Fresno State at Wyoming-2.539.0W 13 - 7UY
Sat 11/25 Fresno State vs Boise State+6.549.0W 28 - 17UY
Sat 12/2 Fresno State at Boise State+9.551.0L 14 - 17UY
Sun 12/24 Fresno State vs Houston+2.552.0W 33 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV.2242%34.144%3.0324237%1634.11.2746%2850%40%4.0551.21.11.2
FRES.0636%25.836%2.3711635%2132.83.248%18.852%39%3.8555.81.50.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1234.134.742.1%4.111.1204042421635.661%37%44%37%15%.22
FRES Defense1218.815.348.2%3.850.7 - - - - - 66%33%52%39%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense122829.345.7%4.051.2 - - - - - 51%48%50%40%17%.27
FRES Offense1225.826.536.3%2.831.5173291162133.248%50%36%35%18%.06

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1228:2619.738%56%5.651.21.11.25.41.7226.1
Fresno State1228:4817.238%35%6.355.81.50.74.61.2028.7
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1261%44%43.4241.55.628.243.0383%9%1.12
FRES Defense1266%52% - - - - .183.4280%8%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1251%50% - - - - .213.385%9%0.95
FRES Offense1248%36%36.7116.23.211-.032.3770%11%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1237%37%11.524.5162.96.714.21610.221.734%35%.376%1.7
FRES Defense1233%39% - - - - - - 5.271.627%33%.325%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1248%40% - - - - - - 5.341.933%35%.397%1.9
FRES Offense1250%35%17.533.8213.16.312.21313.151.740%31%.227%1.7

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2017 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.5  #112
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #82
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #118

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV:    Fresno State: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -14.5   Fresno State: -2.7




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 1.15 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7  #81
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #105
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #53

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 27
UNLV 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 2
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28UNLV59Fresno State14UNLV -2.5UNLV51.0Over
202310/28Fresno State31UNLV24Fresno State -10.5UNLV56.0Under
202211/11UNLV30Fresno State37Fresno State -9UNLV61.5Over
202109/24Fresno State38UNLV30Fresno State -30UNLV59.0Over
202011/07UNLV27Fresno State40Fresno State -11Fresno State57.5Over
201910/18Fresno State56UNLV27Fresno State -14.5Fresno State52.0Over
201811/03UNLV3Fresno State48Fresno State -27Fresno State58.5Under
201710/28Fresno State16UNLV26Fresno State -21.5UNLV59.0Under
201610/01UNLV45Fresno State20UNLV -11.5UNLV56.5Over
201510/16Fresno State31UNLV28UNLV -5.5Fresno State49.0Over
201410/10UNLV30Fresno State27Fresno State -9UNLV0
201310/19Fresno State38UNLV14Fresno State -21Fresno State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State857 Overs
UNLV473 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 47 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams4 - 85 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#) UNLV at (#) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #81
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #109 #92
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCat
UNLV OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCatFRES OffUNLV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCatFRES OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Fresno State -21.5 (59.0)
UNLV won at Fresno State this year (26-16)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Fresno State in 2024 (59-14)
Fresno State beat UNLV in 2023 (31-24)

  
UNLV's OC ()
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNLV's DC ()
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FRES's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FRES's DC ()
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