Troy at New Mexico State - 2017 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at New Mexico State AggiesNew Mexico State logo
Saturday, September 16th 2017 (8:00 PM EDT)
Troy -9.5 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Troy 27 - New Mexico State: 24  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (29 - 20 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
Our Line: -3  (SP+ TROY -11)
Projected Score: TROY: 24 - NMSU: 21 (45)
TROY Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TROY Travel: 1216 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aggies (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Troy at Boise State+11.059.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Troy vs Alabama State-43.5
Sat 9/16 Troy at New Mexico State-9.560.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 Troy vs Akron-17.055.5W 22 - 17UN
Sat 9/30 Troy at LSU+20.548.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11 Troy vs South Alabama-18.051.5L 8 - 19UN
Sat 10/21 Troy at Georgia State-7.051.5W 34 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Troy vs Georgia Southern-23.549.5W 38 - 16ON
Thu 11/2 Troy vs Idaho-18.050.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/11 Troy at Coastal Carolina-17.052.5W 42 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/24 Troy vs Texas State-23.553.5W 62 - 9OY
Sat 12/2 Troy at Arkansas State+1.060.0W 32 - 25UY
Sat 12/16 Troy vs North Texas-5.561.5W 50 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
New Mexico State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 New Mexico State at Arizona State+24.069.0L 31 - 37UY
Sat 9/9 New Mexico State at New Mexico+7.069.5W 30 - 28UY
Sat 9/16 New Mexico State vs Troy+9.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 9/23 New Mexico State vs UTEP-17.559.0W 41 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 New Mexico State at Arkansas+18.061.0L 24 - 42OY
Sat 10/7 New Mexico State at App State+13.555.5L 31 - 45ON
Sat 10/14 New Mexico State at Georgia Southern-5.559.0W 35 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 New Mexico State vs Arkansas State+3.571.0L 21 - 37UN
Sat 11/4 New Mexico State at Texas State-9.557.0W 45 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 New Mexico State at Louisiana-3.565.0L 34 - 47ON
Sat 11/25 New Mexico State vs Idaho-10.056.5W 17 - 10UN
Sat 12/2 New Mexico State vs South Alabama-11.554.0W 22 - 17UN
Fri 12/29 New Mexico State vs Utah State-4.061.0W 26 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1845%31.544%2.6414944%2703.41.0138%18.536%39%2.4257.11.51.9
NMSU.1442%29.343%2.9610740%3403.58.1141%29.741%40%3.1756.12.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)46% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)43% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1331.528.744.5%3.411.5204191492704.744%55%44%44%14%.18
NMSU Defense1329.72141.3%3.172.1 - - - - - 49%50%41%40%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1318.520.238.3%2.421.9 - - - - - 49%50%36%39%21%.01
NMSU Offense1329.32541.7%3.582.2224471073403.933%66%43%40%18%.14

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1327:3520.343%63%6.957.11.51.98.63.2432.6
New Mexico State1328:2022.344%54%6.856.12.22.17.33.4329.3
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1344%44%31.71494.730.092.6473%8%1
NMSU Defense1349%41% - - - - .072.7770%12%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1349%36% - - - - -.082.3565%14%0.85
NMSU Offense1333%43%27.5106.83.918.112.9666%9%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1355%44%22.535.4269.67.612197.271.532%33%.256%1.9
NMSU Defense1350%40% - - - - - - 16.151.533%31%.267%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1350%39% - - - - - - 17.091.637%30%.217%1.8
NMSU Offense1366%40%30.549.3340.26.911.12922.171.537%37%.419%1.9

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2017 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6  #65
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #73
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #39

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    New Mexico State: -2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 1.6   New Mexico State: -9.4




New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -2.2 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2017 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4  #99
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #94
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #94

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.7
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.2

Troy's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 24
New Mexico State 21

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 20
New Mexico State 19

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Troy 28
New Mexico State 23

Total Points: 51
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

New Mexico State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/16New Mexico State24Troy27Troy -9.5New Mexico State60.5Under
201609/24Troy52New Mexico State6Troy -17.5Troy66.0Under
201510/24New Mexico State7Troy52Troy -3.5Troy58.5Over
201410/11Troy41New Mexico State24Troy -7.5Troy0
200409/18New Mexico State22Troy18
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico State111 Overs
Troy432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 23 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams2 - 31 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#) TROY at (#) NMSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYNMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #99
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #99 #125
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffNMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCatNMSU OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #94 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCatNMSU OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 87° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Troy 9.5 (60.5)
Troy won at New Mexico State this year (27-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NMSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD